Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 3 | 15 | 72 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 60% | 3.1 | 11.7% | 14.5% | -2.8% | 0.0% | 7.04 | 3.95 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 3 | 15 | 72 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 60% | 3.1 | 12.5% | 15.3% | -2.8% | 0.0% | 7.04 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 15 | 73 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 71% | 2.1 | 13.1% | 30.1% | -17.0% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 5.81 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 15 | 73 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 71% | 2.1 | 23.3% | 23.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 4.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 6 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 17% | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 17 | 69 | 18 | 10 | 1 | — | — | 26.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 1.1% | 3.35 | 1.75 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 9 | 41 | 187 | 30 | 39 | 0 | 50% | 2.3 | 16.0% | 21.1% | -5.1% | 0.0% | 5.53 | 4.42 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 44 | 200 | 920 | 147 | 194 | 0 | 50% | 2.3 | 16.0% | 21.1% | -5.1% | 0.0% | 5.53 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Hollan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.40 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 76 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 75 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 73 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 71 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 71 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 71 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 71 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 70 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 69 |
| Max Roberts L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.07 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .330 | 4.59 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 115 | -0.48 | 4.03 | 173 | 69 |
| Tommy Vail L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 69 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.06 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% | .240 | 4.73 | 19.5% | 5.0% | 190 | -0.33 | 1.91 | 302 | 68 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 68 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 68 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 68 |
| Braulio Lara L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 67 |
| Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.4% | .315 | 4.10 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 100 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 540 | 67 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.67 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 208 | +0.95 | 2.03 | 402 | 66 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 66 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 66 |