Kavares Tears

RF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 200 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP42MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ASD	475	.227/.324/.385	13	6	45	—	.169/.245/.279
2026	23	A+SD	279	.225/.329/.471	13	1	61	—	.164/.245/.328
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBSD	1	.179/.255/.318	0	0	63	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBSD	82	.183/.259/.326	2	1	66	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO88

BB%59

wOBA53

wRC+51

Speed29

Chase%24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Epps (age 24) · Dillon Paulson (age 24) · Jared Dupere (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .255 / .318

PA1

HR0

K%37

BB%9

BABIP265

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	240	54	14	3	13	35	91	2	1	3	225	329	471	799	246	297	33	13	349	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	426	72	15	1	10	42	196	1	6	5	169	245	279	525	110	269	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	250	41	10	2	9	25	116	2	1	3	164	245	328	573	164	255	42	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	426	72	15	1	10	42	196	1	6	5	169	245	279	525	110	274	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	250	41	10	2	9	25	116	2	1	3	164	245	328	573	164	252	42	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	240	54	14	3	13	35	91	2	1	3	225	329	471	799	246	297	33	13	349	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	429	72	15	1	10	42	196	1	6	5	168	245	277	523	110	269	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	250	41	10	2	9	25	116	2	1	3	164	245	328	573	164	255	42	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	429	72	15	1	10	42	196	1	6	5	168	245	277	523	110	269	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	279	250	41	10	2	9	25	116	2	1	3	164	245	328	573	164	255	42	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	0%	329	295	55	12	2	9	29	123	2	4	3	182	257	321	579	139	271	37	9	261	63	-15	-0	+1	-4	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	179	255	318	573	139	265	0	0	258	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	30%	270	243	45	10	1	7	24	99	1	4	3	186	262	330	591	143	272	37	9	266	66	-11	-0	+1	-3	+6	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	30%	82	75	13	3	0	2	7	30	0	1	1	183	259	326	586	143	266	37	9	263	66	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	75	13	3	0	2	7	30	0	1	1	173	244	293	537	120	256	37	9	263	56	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	103	24	0	16	55	238	0	8	8	173	243	294	537	121	255	37	8	263	56	-26	-2	+2	-7	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1251	1123	195	43	5	32	111	496	5	14	13	174	251	306	557	133	269	40	9	251	56	-21	-1	+1	-5	+11	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	102	22	3	17	58	258	3	7	7	175	253	310	564	136	272	40	9	251	56	-27	-1	+2	-7	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kavares Tears (OGILVIE)	24	34	50	52	52	180/255/319	138	271	6	3	37%	9%	63	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→50	48→45	42	208/271/349	142	295	16	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	198/271/337	139	291	14	9	35%	9%	72	-0.7	187/267/334	148	273	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.7
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	40→36	47→50	48→30	48	201/284/341	140	287	14	4	33%	10%	78	-0.3	221/287/339	118	294	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	276	7	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jared Dupere 2023 · A	24	38→34	48→55	54→50	35	192/245/330	138	306	16	9	42%	6%	60	-1.6	182/235/296	114	349	12	10	48%	6%	49	-2.4	159/213/268	109	323	11	11	51%	5%	31	-2.6
✕Nick Yarnall 2019 · A	24	38	47→50	46→45	41	198/261/329	132	288	16	6	36%	8%	66	-1.1	200/272/336	136	318	15	7	39%	9%	72	-0.7	156/251/306	150	251	16	4	42%	11%	56	-0.7
✕PK Morris 2023 · A	24	40→41	46→45	51→40	45	194/278/320	126	302	13	4	38%	10%	71	-0.8	196/270/309	113	313	10	6	37%	9%	65	-1.2	143/235/235	93	240	6	0	39%	11%	34	-1.0
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/325	146	259	19	7	38%	8%	69	-0.9	196/276/333	137	263	16	6	30%	9%	73	-0.6	162/237/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Connor Panas 2017 · A	24	37→42	49→45	44→40	41	194/271/334	140	278	17	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	207/271/333	126	276	14	5	29%	6%	71	-0.8	203/266/325	122	263	13	4	27%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	47→50	51→45	39	190/256/321	131	285	15	8	37%	7%	63	-1.4	204/263/327	123	281	15	6	32%	7%	66	-1.1	199/258/304	105	260	13	4	28%	7%	56	-1.3
✕Rixon Wingrove 2024 · AA	24	36→34	49→50	45→40	36	190/253/332	143	295	18	5	41%	6%	64	-1.3	206/272/352	146	285	17	5	32%	7%	76	-0.4	185/259/346	161	227	21	0	28%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Mickey Hall 2009 · AA	24	41→44	47→50	50→45	43	199/276/338	139	306	13	7	37%	9%	74	-0.6	202/279/314	112	293	10	9	32%	9%	69	-0.9	172/260/252	80	244	7	8	30%	10%	47	-1.3
✕Mason Martin 2023 · AAA	24	36	50→55	48→45	34	187/243/346	159	302	17	8	43%	6%	63	-1.3	185/264/333	148	320	17	9	44%	8%	69	-0.9	152/253/292	140	261	19	8	46%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Devin Harris 2012 · A	24	37→40	48→55	50→40	36	190/244/327	137	289	16	6	39%	6%	59	-1.6	194/245/345	151	272	17	3	34%	6%	63	-1.3	199/244/363	164	259	19	3	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Nick Schnell 2024 · A	24	35→45	46→50	47→50	34	174/233/298	124	309	15	7	46%	7%	49	-2.4	209/259/352	143	318	16	11	37%	6%	70	-0.8	212/263/364	153	309	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	40→39	47→50	43→45	42	204/266/337	133	281	15	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	209/261/319	110	293	12	5	31%	6%	63	-1.3	162/194/237	75	208	11	0	28%	4%	16	-1.0
✕Cole Cummings 2023 · A	25	39→37	46→45	50→45	45	196/285/321	125	283	14	7	34%	9%	74	-0.5	192/264/308	116	290	12	7	36%	7%	63	-1.4	179/249/289	111	273	12	6	37%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	37	48→50	46→40	41	194/265/333	138	266	17	5	33%	7%	69	-0.9	185/257/315	130	260	15	4	34%	7%	61	-1.5	162/236/289	126	226	15	1	35%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2024 · AAA	24	43→33	46→45	50	42	212/276/337	125	302	14	12	33%	7%	73	-0.6	192/270/301	109	289	10	11	34%	9%	63	-1.3	145/240/234	89	226	7	9	36%	10%	36	-2.1
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	188/273/305	116	293	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	220/303/367	147	343	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	203/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Kevin Rivers 2013 · A	24	41→43	45→50	45	43	202/273/326	124	287	12	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	209/271/335	126	289	11	6	30%	7%	70	-0.8	205/266/333	128	279	10	4	29%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Bryce Ball 2022 · A	24	38→48	47→45	47→30	50	190/286/325	135	285	14	3	36%	12%	75	-0.5	205/279/320	115	302	10	2	33%	9%	71	-0.8	199/271/309	110	292	9	1	33%	9%	62	-0.9