Xavier Casserilla

Xavier Casserilla3B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 225 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 129 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .247 / .268

PA129

HR1

K%30

BB%6

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	35	5	3	0	0	3	6	0	2	1	143	211	229	439	86	172	16	8	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	33	7	3	0	1	5	5	0	2	1	212	316	394	710	182	222	13	13	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	230	209	33	9	0	0	9	86	12	6	2	158	235	201	436	43	268	37	4	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	230	203	46	15	0	0	15	63	12	6	2	227	317	300	618	74	329	27	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	HOU	—	129	119	23	5	1	1	7	38	2	2	1	193	250	277	527	84	264	29	5	237	40	-9	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	161	148	29	6	1	2	9	46	3	3	1	196	256	291	547	95	268	29	6	249	49	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	268	245	49	10	1	4	16	76	5	5	1	200	263	298	561	98	271	28	6	257	55	-14	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	205	271	318	589	114	271	29	6	239	41	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	118	108	22	4	1	2	7	33	2	2	1	204	265	315	580	111	273	28	6	247	47	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	166	152	31	6	1	3	10	47	3	3	1	204	267	316	582	112	272	28	6	244	45	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	121	23	4	12	39	184	12	12	4	203	266	316	582	113	270	28	6	244	45	-40	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	826	756	139	33	3	7	44	252	22	18	6	184	249	263	513	79	264	31	5	235	38	-58	+1	+0	+3	+23	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	110	26	2	6	35	198	17	14	5	185	250	266	516	81	265	30	5	235	38	-46	+1	+0	+2	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	38	33	7	3	0	1	5	5	0	2	1	212	316	394	710	182	222	13	13	319	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	230	203	46	15	0	0	15	63	12	6	2	227	317	300	618	74	329	27	7	290	80	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	296	4	6	196	255	287	+1	+1	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	8	13	196	255	287	+2.4	+2.2	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Casserilla (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	28→33	48→53	41	188/247/268	80	264	1	2	30%	6%	40	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Gunnar Heidt 2016 · A	23	34→39	35→45	49→50	36	169/210/231	62	247	3	11	32%	5%	13	-4.3	191/247/294	103	286	9	12	34%	6%	46	-2.0	189/248/295	106	281	10	12	35%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	27	-3.3	211/252/282	71	285	4	6	26%	5%	43	-2.2	222/252/273	52	290	2	3	23%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	41→40	38→40	48→55	40	195/249/275	80	270	4	10	28%	6%	42	-2.3	203/265/296	93	273	8	14	27%	6%	54	-1.4	185/251/274	89	253	8	18	29%	6%	40	-1.7
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2017 · A	23	40	38→45	48→50	43	195/265/267	72	264	5	12	27%	6%	47	-1.9	180/270/270	90	282	8	7	36%	9%	51	-1.7	161/260/254	93	255	9	8	37%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	35→41	35→40	48→50	35	173/219/230	57	265	3	14	35%	4%	17	-4.0	199/249/278	79	265	7	10	26%	5%	43	-2.2	193/253/275	82	267	8	10	29%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	190/239/260	71	258	4	9	28%	6%	33	-2.9	188/239/271	83	286	6	10	34%	5%	37	-2.7	131/183/198	67	212	4	13	38%	4%	-6	-1.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	187/268/265	78	282	6	5	33%	7%	49	-1.8	180/252/267	87	346	8	5	46%	7%	42	-2.3	150/225/232	81	315	9	4	51%	7%	19	-1.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	40	-2.4	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Leosdany Molina 2023 · A	23	40→34	38→40	53→50	37	193/242/267	74	280	6	17	32%	5%	37	-2.7	199/246/281	82	281	9	14	31%	5%	42	-2.3	184/229/246	61	251	10	18	30%	5%	24	-1.9