Andrew Lindsey — OGILVIE

Andrew Lindsey P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 216 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%19.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	2	2	4	20	2	1	0	100%	2.2	10.0%	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	8.31	2.89	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	2	2	4	20	2	1	0	100%	2.2	10.0%	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	8.31	2.89	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	2	2	4	20	2	1	0	100%	2.2	10.0%	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	8.31	2.87	—
2024	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	2	1	8	35	9	6	1	50%	4.0	25.7%	17.1%	8.6%	2.9%	3.38	4.67	—
2024	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	2	1	8	35	9	6	1	50%	4.0	25.7%	17.1%	8.6%	2.9%	3.38	4.67	—
2024	24	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	2	1	8	35	9	6	1	50%	4.0	25.7%	17.1%	8.6%	2.9%	3.38	4.72	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	10	23	108	22	11	1	91%	2.1	12.0%	11.2%	0.8%	1.5%	6.65	4.33	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	10	23	108	22	11	1	91%	2.1	12.0%	11.2%	0.8%	1.5%	6.65	4.33	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	10	23	108	22	11	1	91%	2.1	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	0.9%	6.65	3.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	36	0	56	239	68	20	5	0%	1.6	22.5%	9.4%	13.2%	2.6%	4.47	3.79	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	36	0	56	239	68	20	5	0%	1.6	22.5%	9.4%	13.2%	2.6%	4.47	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	TB	16	0	26	105	30	7	3	0%	1.6	28.6%	6.7%	21.9%	2.9%	4.21	3.10	—
2026	26	AA RAW	TB	20	0	31	134	38	13	2	0%	1.5	28.4%	9.7%	18.7%	1.5%	4.70	2.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TB	52	0	54	230	45	24	7	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.3%	9.2%	3.0%	4.77	4.78	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	TB	50	0	53	223	44	23	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.79	4.83	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	TB	19	0	20	84	17	9	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.3%	9.2%	3.0%	4.77	4.78	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TB	30	0	31	131	26	14	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.79	4.83	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	52	219	43	23	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	89	27	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.4%	9.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		51	13	92	402	78	41	9	25%	1.8	19.4%	10.3%	9.1%	2.2%	5.11	3.97	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	28	200	877	170	90	19	25%	1.8	19.4%	10.3%	9.1%	2.2%	5.11	3.97	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Lindsey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	19.2%	10.4%	2.9%	—	4.80	19.6%	9.3%	107	+0.01	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	80
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	80
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	80
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	79
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	79
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	78
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	78
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	78
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	78
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	78
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	198	77
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	77
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	77
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	77
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	77
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	77
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	19.6%	10.4%	1.18	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86