Chris Arroyo — OGILVIE

Chris Arroyo1B Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 L/L 6'1" / 225 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .279 / .331

PA88

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	123	109	20	3	3	1	9	34	4	7	1	183	270	294	564	110	253	28	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	123	105	23	2	2	2	13	34	4	7	1	219	328	333	661	114	300	28	11	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	MIA	—	88	81	17	3	1	1	6	24	1	2	0	210	273	309	581	99	290	27	7	277	70	-3	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	191	172	38	6	3	3	14	52	3	5	1	221	291	343	634	122	291	27	7	284	76	-5	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	18	1	2	0	217	288	333	621	117	286	27	8	270	65	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	18	1	2	0	217	288	333	621	117	293	27	8	270	65	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	129	20	10	10	49	177	10	20	0	218	289	337	626	118	295	27	8	270	65	-26	+4	+0	-12	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	402	362	75	12	7	5	29	110	8	14	2	207	281	320	601	113	281	27	7	273	67	-15	+2	+0	-7	+11	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	120	19	11	8	47	178	13	23	3	205	279	316	595	111	279	27	7	273	67	-24	+3	+0	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	79	68	15	2	2	1	8	16	2	6	0	221	321	353	673	132	269	20	10	304	90	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	20	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	44	37	8	0	0	1	5	18	2	1	1	216	341	297	638	81	389	41	11	304	91	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Arroyo (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	214/279/331	118	290	1	2	28%	7%	70	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→55	55→50	40	201/267/329	128	288	12	8	33%	6%	64	-0.8	209/259/340	131	294	14	8	32%	5%	63	-0.8	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Drew Vettleson 2012 · A	21	44→49	44→45	53→50	42	218/273/335	118	292	11	15	29%	7%	67	-0.5	221/268/328	107	307	8	9	29%	6%	63	-0.8	218/263/326	108	302	9	7	30%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	44→52	43→50	52→50	41	221/259/327	106	273	11	9	23%	5%	59	-1.1	206/261/312	106	261	11	10	24%	7%	56	-1.3	215/285/358	143	270	16	7	26%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	45→46	40→55	54→55	45	215/283/311	96	305	7	21	30%	8%	66	-0.6	200/274/302	102	291	11	16	32%	8%	60	-1.0	211/296/388	177	282	22	17	32%	10%	91	+0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕William Beckwith 2011 · A	20	44→39	41→50	52→50	47	212/283/313	101	273	9	9	25%	8%	66	-0.6	213/279/357	144	288	16	10	31%	6%	77	+0.1	202/270/354	153	275	19	11	33%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	40→46	46→50	49→55	42	204/258/333	129	267	13	11	28%	6%	61	-1.0	214/265/332	118	288	11	11	28%	6%	63	-0.8	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	46	44→55	54→55	45	221/283/350	129	308	10	11	30%	8%	76	+0.0	200/252/294	94	334	8	18	40%	6%	47	-1.9	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	39	204/264/292	88	314	7	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/259/315	98	324	6	13	33%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/307	94	313	5	14	32%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41→43	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	192/263/308	116	299	11	12	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/281/329	128	296	13	13	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	60	-1.0	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	50	-1.7	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Juan Perez 2013 · A	21	45→51	43→45	52→55	45	219/275/335	116	265	9	14	21%	6%	68	-0.5	207/247/305	98	270	7	17	25%	5%	48	-1.9	227/271/349	122	293	14	24	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	63	-0.8	224/271/333	109	314	11	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Francisco Santana 2010 · A	22	43	42→50	57→55	43	212/261/324	112	266	9	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	198/235/292	94	282	7	8	31%	4%	39	-2.5	164/182/259	96	230	6	6	32%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Juan Silva 2013 · A	22	45→46	42→45	48→55	46	215/285/319	105	304	9	13	31%	9%	69	-0.4	223/299/322	99	302	7	24	26%	9%	75	-0.0	220/300/312	92	292	6	29	24%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/262/282	77	274	6	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	235/289/327	92	315	6	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	253/291/359	107	338	9	26	27%	4%	78	+0.2
✕Ryan Mount 2008 · A	21	43	42→50	51→50	41	211/265/313	102	289	10	13	30%	6%	59	-1.1	227/266/359	132	290	15	10	26%	5%	70	-0.3	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2