Willy Montero

CF Tampa Tarpons

Age 22 R/R 6'4" / 202 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ANYY	185	.271/.326/.329	1	2	36	—	.207/.250/.259
2025	20	ROKNYY	34	.212/.235/.212	0	1	-20	—	.152/.176/.152
2026	21	A+NYY	74	.235/.288/.309	1	7	22	—	.171/.205/.229
2026	21	ANYY	323	.278/.352/.472	12	18	70	—	.215/.271/.359
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBNYY	507	.211/.261/.312	9	13	60	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBNYY	152	.216/.268/.331	3	4	66	-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBNYY	226	.220/.273/.341	5	6	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed75

K%36

Whiff%19

Z-Con%17

ISO14

wOBA13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBraulio Vasquez (age 22) · Glenn Santiago (age 22) · Andrew Pintar (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .258 / .309

PA320

HR5

SB8

K%30

BB%6

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	16	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	170	46	5	1	1	14	42	0	2	3	271	326	329	655	59	352	23	8	298	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	33	7	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	212	235	212	447		259	18	3	207	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	74	68	16	2	0	1	4	20	1	7	0	235	288	309	596	74	312	27	5	269	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	323	288	80	16	2	12	31	83	2	18	3	278	352	472	824	194	349	26	10	363	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	49	7	1	0	0	5	23	3	0	4	143	263	163	426	20	183	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	201	33	5	1	2	26	76	7	16	4	164	282	229	511	65	242	32	11	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	187	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	246	295	316	611	70	322	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	447	89	18	2	6	27	146	5	15	1	199	253	289	541	89	265	30	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	174	36	4	1	1	10	57	0	2	3	207	250	259	509	52	290	31	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	34	33	5	0	0	0	1	9	0	1	0	152	176	152	328		198	26	3	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	74	70	12	1	0	1	2	26	1	7	0	171	205	229	434	57	261	35	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	323	298	64	12	2	9	21	113	2	18	3	215	271	359	630	144	302	35	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	49	7	1	0	0	5	23	3	0	4	143	263	163	426	20	233	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	201	33	5	1	2	26	76	7	16	4	164	282	229	511	65	250	32	11	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	187	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	246	295	316	611	70	336	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	447	89	18	2	6	27	146	5	15	1	199	253	289	541	89	275	30	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	207	41	4	1	1	11	66	0	3	3	198	239	242	480	43	284	30	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	219	203	53	5	1	1	15	48	0	3	3	261	312	310	622	49	335	22	7	284	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	397	367	76	13	2	10	24	139	3	25	3	207	261	335	597	128	299	35	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	397	356	96	18	2	13	35	103	3	25	3	270	340	441	781	171	342	26	9	345	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	53	7	1	0	0	5	23	3	0	4	132	263	151	414	19	183	38	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	200	33	5	1	2	26	76	7	16	4	165	282	230	512	65	242	32	11	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	188	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	245	295	314	609	69	322	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	451	89	18	2	6	27	146	5	15	1	197	253	286	539	89	265	30	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	206	41	4	1	1	11	66	0	3	3	199	239	243	481	44	276	30	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	397	367	76	13	2	10	24	139	3	25	3	207	261	335	597	128	294	35	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	451	89	18	2	6	27	146	5	15	1	197	253	286	539	89	265	30	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	206	41	4	1	1	11	66	0	3	3	199	239	243	481	44	276	30	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	397	367	76	13	2	10	24	139	3	25	3	207	261	335	597	128	294	35	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	507	470	100	18	2	9	29	152	3	13	2	211	261	312	573	102	288	30	6	257	60	-24	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	441	409	89	16	2	9	26	128	3	11	2	215	267	326	594	111	289	29	6	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	46%	490	454	98	17	2	10	30	140	3	12	2	219	272	335	608	117	290	29	6	272	70	-17	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	517	476	105	19	2	11	33	146	3	13	2	221	276	341	617	120	290	28	6	276	73	-17	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	532	488	108	19	2	12	35	148	4	13	2	222	278	344	622	122	290	28	7	278	75	-16	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	536	491	109	20	2	12	36	149	4	12	2	222	279	345	624	123	289	28	7	279	75	-16	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	535	492	108	19	2	12	35	150	3	11	2	220	277	341	618	120	289	28	7	277	73	-17	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	527	484	106	19	2	11	35	149	3	8	2	218	275	335	609	117	287	28	7	273	71	-18	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	152	141	30	5	1	3	9	44	1	4	1	216	268	331	599	115	289	29	6	268	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	46%	226	209	46	8	1	5	14	65	1	6	1	220	273	341	614	121	290	29	6	275	70	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	267	246	55	10	1	6	17	75	2	7	1	222	277	347	624	125	290	28	6	279	73	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	288	265	59	10	1	7	19	80	2	7	1	223	279	350	629	127	290	28	7	281	75	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	291	268	59	10	1	7	19	81	2	7	1	223	280	351	631	128	289	28	7	282	75	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	290	267	59	10	1	7	19	81	2	6	1	221	278	346	625	125	289	28	7	279	73	-9	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	304	279	61	11	1	7	20	86	2	5	1	219	276	340	616	121	287	28	7	276	71	-10	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1818	1675	369	64	7	42	117	512	12	42	7	220	276	342	618	122	290	28	6	278	64	-60	+6	-1	+6	+39	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	133	23	3	15	42	183	4	15	3	222	278	346	623	124	292	28	6	278	64	-21	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5499	5049	1077	187	23	102	351	1611	46	152	34	213	271	320	591	107	289	29	6	263	64	-134	+12	-2	+14	+84	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	127	22	3	12	41	190	5	18	4	213	269	320	589	107	287	29	6	263	64	-22	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Tony Scott'73-'84 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,047 PA	4.6	3,047	17	125	243*	294*	352*	-0	+13	1.4	2.9
/162	664	4	27	-0.0	+2.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#6Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,138	45	48	219	271	337	+8	+12	-0.0	0.2
/162	664	14	15	+2.4	+3.9	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Montero (OGILVIE)	22	45	20	40	30	209/258/309	101	288	5	8	30%	6%	60	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	42	39→40	44→65	38	197/260/278	81	313	6	7	37%	6%	53	-2.1	207/282/301	94	302	7	30	31%	8%	68	-1.0	200/280/292	92	287	6	42	30%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Andrew Pintar 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→45	42→60	40	211/269/301	90	297	7	10	30%	6%	62	-1.4	221/284/327	106	309	9	23	29%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/331	108	311	10	31	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Pascanel Ferreras 2024 · A	22	43→53	39→45	45→50	36	201/257/286	86	314	7	10	36%	6%	54	-2.0	214/279/322	108	309	9	10	31%	7%	71	-0.8	222/289/334	112	315	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Stephen Alemais 2017 · A	22	44→54	40	45→50	38	209/261/306	96	308	7	10	33%	6%	60	-1.6	234/284/315	81	303	5	13	23%	6%	70	-0.8	246/299/319	74	311	3	14	21%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Josh McLain 2019 · A	22	50	38→40	44→50	37	239/273/318	79	316	5	11	26%	3%	66	-1.1	205/251/288	83	305	5	11	33%	5%	51	-2.2	106/153/150	43	184	0	15	40%	4%	-18	-1.2
✕Hector Pellot 2009 · A	22	45→54	38→40	46→50	41	213/272/292	79	299	6	14	29%	6%	61	-1.5	220/277/304	84	317	5	11	30%	6%	65	-1.2	219/278/299	79	317	5	10	30%	6%	61	-0.9
✕Yeyson Yrizarri 2019 · A	22	45→48	40	45→50	34	221/250/313	93	290	8	11	27%	2%	57	-1.8	196/234/273	77	285	6	9	32%	4%	41	-3.0	163/195/214	51	246	3	5	34%	3%	11	-3.3
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2012 · AAA	22	49	37→30	45→50	42	235/273/304	68	293	5	15	21%	5%	63	-1.4	260/294/317	57	315	3	10	17%	4%	73	-0.6	280/319/333	53	338	1	12	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2019 · A	22	45→51	39→40	39→45	35	219/252/306	87	299	7	5	29%	3%	56	-1.9	219/273/304	85	308	6	6	29%	6%	63	-1.3	215/270/298	84	306	6	7	30%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Adolfo Gonzalez 2007 · AA	22	45	42→40	46→45	37	221/260/330	108	287	9	6	26%	4%	65	-1.2	242/276/333	91	329	6	7	27%	4%	71	-0.8	252/283/335	83	341	6	6	27%	4%	70	-0.4
✕Samar Leyva 2017 · AAA	22	45→55	42→40	43→50	40	223/267/325	102	274	10	9	22%	4%	67	-1.1	248/286/338	90	292	6	12	17%	3%	76	-0.4	258/292/355	97	298	6	14	15%	2%	80	-0.1
✕Edward Ovalle 2007 · A	22	46→52	41→40	46→50	37	223/275/320	98	308	9	9	30%	4%	69	-0.9	218/274/316	98	311	8	9	31%	5%	68	-1.0	215/273/312	97	309	7	9	31%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Sharlon Schoop 2009 · A	22	46→45	40	45	42	221/270/307	86	290	7	8	26%	6%	63	-1.3	230/271/306	76	297	6	7	23%	5%	63	-1.4	227/270/310	83	288	8	5	23%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Danny Bautista Jr. 2023 · A	22	45→50	39→40	45→50	43	216/278/308	92	286	6	8	25%	6%	67	-1.1	226/275/305	79	271	5	14	18%	5%	65	-1.2	228/274/296	69	265	4	16	15%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Nick Sinay 2016 · A	22	44	38→30	47→60	44	205/291/283	78	296	5	10	30%	8%	68	-1.0	200/316/255	55	279	3	22	27%	8%	73	-0.6	184/317/219	35	263	2	30	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	316	5	10	36%	7%	52	-2.2	221/289/285	64	313	3	15	28%	8%	66	-1.1	229/310/271	42	311	2	22	24%	10%	67	-0.6
✕Orlando Calixte 2014 · AA	22	45→50	43→45	46→55	38	221/262/334	113	304	10	10	30%	5%	67	-1.1	221/260/325	104	296	10	15	28%	5%	63	-1.3	225/267/312	87	298	9	20	27%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Trendon Craig 2022 · A	22	47	39→40	49→60	41	218/278/307	88	318	6	13	31%	6%	67	-1.1	219/288/293	74	347	4	17	35%	8%	68	-1.0	218/291/284	67	347	4	22	35%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3

Willy Montero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps