Everett Catlett — OGILVIE

Everett Catlett P Spokane Indians

Age 24 LHP 6'7" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.4 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%16.5%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 132 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	21	133	571	134	49	7	70%	4.4	17.6%	10.0%	7.6%	1.6%	3.71	3.77	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	21	133	571	134	49	7	70%	4.4	17.6%	10.0%	7.6%	1.6%	3.71	3.77	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	21	133	571	134	49	7	70%	4.4	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	1.2%	3.71	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	25	23	124	555	124	59	21	92%	4.9	17.2%	12.2%	5.0%	4.7%	5.53	5.79	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	25	23	124	555	124	59	21	92%	4.9	17.2%	12.2%	5.0%	4.7%	5.53	5.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	COL	25	23	124	555	124	59	21	92%	4.9	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.8%	5.53	4.64	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	COL	1	1	8	34	6	4	1	100%	8.2	16.5%	10.6%	5.8%	2.7%	4.90	4.90	0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	132	589	130	63	22	—	—	22.0%	10.6%	11.4%	3.7%	5.49	5.74	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	123	518	91	52	14	100%	5.8	17.6%	10.0%	7.6%	2.7%	4.78	4.74	+0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	123	518	94	51	14	100%	6.1	18.1%	9.8%	8.3%	2.7%	4.70	4.68	+0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	121	510	93	50	14	100%	6.0	18.3%	9.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.69	4.69	+0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	117	495	91	49	14	100%	5.9	18.3%	9.9%	8.4%	2.9%	4.73	4.77	+0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	19	19	112	472	85	48	14	100%	5.9	18.1%	10.1%	7.9%	3.0%	4.83	4.90	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	18	18	105	444	79	46	14	100%	5.8	17.7%	10.4%	7.3%	3.2%	4.98	5.08	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	9	9	53	224	39	22	7	100%	5.9	17.6%	10.0%	7.6%	3.1%	5.00	4.96	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	14	14	81	342	62	34	11	100%	5.8	18.1%	9.8%	8.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.91	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	93	393	72	38	13	100%	5.8	18.3%	9.8%	8.5%	3.2%	4.92	4.92	+0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	99	418	76	41	14	100%	6.2	18.3%	9.9%	8.4%	3.3%	4.97	5.01	+0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	98	414	75	42	14	100%	6.1	18.1%	10.1%	7.9%	3.5%	5.08	5.15	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	95	401	71	42	15	100%	5.9	17.7%	10.4%	7.3%	3.7%	5.25	5.35	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		87	87	519	2190	395	219	73	100%	6.0	18.0%	10.0%	8.0%	3.3%	5.03	4.68	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	152	84	28	100%	6.0	18.0%	10.0%	8.0%	3.3%	5.03	4.68	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		55	44	257	1126	196	125	35	80%	4.7	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	3.2%	4.59	4.77	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	34	200	876	153	97	28	80%	4.7	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	3.2%	4.59	4.77	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Everett Catlett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	16.5%	10.6%	2.7%	—	4.70	18.0%	8.1%	366	-0.20	—	—	—
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	90
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	87
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	87
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	85
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	85
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	16.5%	8.6%	2.2%	.313	3.87	17.4%	6.8%	186	-0.12	3.46	440	84
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	84
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	83
Caleb Franzen L 2023 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP	4.10	16.2%	10.1%	2.0%	.336	5.82	12.6%	0.2%	42	+1.72	4.10	155	83
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	83
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	82
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	81
Brandon Schaeffer L 2023 · 4.07 FIP	23	SP	4.07	16.4%	8.5%	2.3%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	134	81
Matthew Crownover L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	24	SP-	4.67	12.6%	8.5%	2.8%	.283	4.48	12.1%	4.6%	118	-0.19	4.35	377	81
Pete Hansen L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP	4.18	20.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.283	3.89	17.8%	10.2%	362	-0.29	3.77	475	81
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.1%	5.2%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	81
Logan Boyd L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP-	4.12	14.9%	10.2%	1.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	276	81
Kyle Twomey L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	23	SP	3.96	14.8%	7.9%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	141	80
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	80
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	113	17.8%	10.1%	1.10	4.79
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98