Fidel Montero

P ACL White Sox

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 178 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKCWS	16	1	29	4.40	2.30	26.6%	11.7%	—	K 18.1% · BB 14.6% · FIP 3.43
2026	22	MIX2 levels	17	6	51	6.66	3.61	24.9%	11.2%	—	K 18.0% · BB 16.6% · FIP 5.25
2027PROJ	23	MLBCWS	21	0	22	5.25	5.25	20.7%	15.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCWS	19	0	20	5.05	4.96	21.5%	13.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCWS	30	0	32	4.86	4.76	22.0%	11.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTyler Santana (age 23) · Trent Fennell (age 23) · Alec Barger (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%20.7%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	16	1	29	128	34	15	0	6%	1.8	18.1%	14.6%	3.4%	0.0%	4.40	3.43	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	16	1	29	128	34	15	0	6%	1.8	18.1%	14.6%	3.4%	0.0%	4.40	3.43	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	16	1	29	128	34	15	0	6%	1.8	26.6%	11.7%	14.8%	0.0%	4.40	2.30	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	6	51	241	60	27	5	35%	3.0	18.0%	16.6%	1.5%	2.9%	6.66	5.25	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	6	51	241	60	27	5	35%	3.0	18.0%	16.6%	1.5%	2.9%	6.66	5.25	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	6	51	241	60	27	5	35%	3.0	24.9%	11.2%	13.7%	2.1%	6.66	3.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CWS	21	0	22	93	19	14	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	15.0%	5.6%	2.9%	5.25	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	45	0	47	200	43	26	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.2%	8.3%	2.9%	5.02	4.93	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	46	0	48	203	45	24	6	0%	1.0	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.83	4.73	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	13.2%	8.3%	3.0%	5.05	4.96	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	30	0	32	135	30	16	4	0%	1.1	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	3.0%	4.86	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	220	48	27	7	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.4%	9.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	104	27	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.4%	9.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		33	7	80	369	67	59	7	21%	2.4	18.0%	15.9%	2.1%	1.9%	5.85	4.62	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	18	200	922	166	147	17	21%	2.4	18.0%	15.9%	2.1%	1.9%	5.85	4.62	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fidel Montero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	20.7%	15.0%	2.9%	—	4.83	21.8%	9.2%	95	-0.42	—	—	—
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	80
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	79
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	79
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	79
Dylan Heid R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	21.6%	16.9%	2.4%	.287	3.33	22.6%	9.0%	103	-1.37	2.66	135	78
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	78
Dylan King R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	22	SW	4.43	21.4%	20.5%	1.0%	.233	4.79	27.1%	17.7%	90	+0.36	3.78	121	77
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	77
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	21.6%	13.0%	1.13	4.98
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27