Junior MarinOF
FCL Phillies
Age 22
R/R
6'2" / 240 lbs
ROK
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.5 · 2031
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .270 / .303
PA61
HR1
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-5M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 111 | 98 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .255 | .330 | .469 | .800 | .214 | .308 | 27 | 9 | .353 | 128 | +4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Royals | 103 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .229 | .275 | .302 | .577 | .073 | .431 | 45 | 5 | .250 | 50 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .222 | .235 | .458 | .059 | .250 | 32 | 5 | .227 | 32 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 107 | 99 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 3 | .202 | .248 | .323 | .571 | .121 | .247 | 24 | 4 | .244 | 45 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | PHI | 61 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .262 | .286 | .548 | .089 | .289 | 30 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | PHI | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .287 | .343 | .630 | .121 | .291 | 28 | 7 | .279 | 72 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | PHI | 239 | 216 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .291 | .361 | .652 | .139 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | PHI | 325 | 292 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .223 | .295 | .356 | .651 | .134 | .294 | 27 | 8 | .297 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | PHI | 382 | 343 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 105 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .230 | .303 | .376 | .680 | .146 | .295 | 27 | 8 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | PHI | 411 | 369 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 113 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .228 | .301 | .371 | .673 | .144 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | PHI | 427 | 383 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 118 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .302 | .368 | .670 | .141 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | PHI | 429 | 385 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 120 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .226 | .300 | .366 | .667 | .140 | .293 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 427 | 383 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 121 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .225 | .300 | .366 | .665 | .141 | .292 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 418 | 375 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .219 | .294 | .352 | .646 | .133 | .290 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +12 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 403 | 361 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .290 | .335 | .625 | .122 | .289 | 29 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 375 | 337 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .285 | .329 | .614 | .119 | .287 | 30 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 332 | 298 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .283 | .326 | .608 | .117 | .286 | 31 | 8 | .275 | 68 | -12 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4678 | 4207 | 931 | 163 | 31 | 112 | 387 | 1342 | 45 | 54 | 11 | .221 | .294 | .355 | .648 | .133 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -101 | +6 | -20 | -28 | +133 | -1.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 186 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .222 | .295 | .357 | .652 | .135 | .295 | 29 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 111 | 92 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .380 | .477 | .696 | 1.173 | .315 | .412 | 17 | 14 | .494 | 236 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Royals | 103 | 92 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .315 | .382 | .413 | .795 | .098 | .468 | 30 | 9 | .356 | 130 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 19 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .294 | .333 | .412 | .745 | .118 | .357 | 21 | 5 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 107 | 97 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | .289 | .343 | .464 | .807 | .175 | .325 | 18 | 6 | .351 | 126 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Junior Marin (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .206/.270/.303 | .097 | .289 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 43→50 | 46→45 | 35 | .188/.235/.293 | .105 | .267 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .221/.258/.346 | .125 | .263 | 15 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Paolini 2012 · A |
22 | 44→50 | 41→50 | 50→40 | 42 | .208/.275/.314 | .106 | .293 | 7 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .229/.297/.374 | .145 | .272 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .226/.299/.383 | .157 | .259 | 17 | 3 | 20% | 8% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A |
22 | 41→38 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .205/.252/.313 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .220/.270/.333 | .113 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.275/.335 | .112 | .290 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Michael A. Taylor 2013 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 41→55 | 48→60 | 36 | .188/.234/.290 | .102 | .278 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .212/.267/.337 | .125 | .319 | 12 | 25 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .236/.294/.379 | .143 | .303 | 19 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
●Wynton Bernard 2013 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 39→45 | 52→60 | 42 | .208/.269/.296 | .088 | .301 | 6 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .242/.293/.332 | .090 | .318 | 5 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .270/.315/.362 | .092 | .329 | 5 | 28 | 19% | 6% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 39→55 | 52→50 | 33 | .186/.233/.270 | .084 | .294 | 7 | 8 | 38% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .226/.276/.390 | .164 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .235/.283/.404 | .168 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 30% | 5% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 40 | .212/.268/.307 | .095 | .307 | 8 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.290/.313 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A |
22 | 41→48 | 37→45 | 48→45 | 45 | .193/.269/.270 | .078 | .280 | 4 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.284/.310 | .099 | .294 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.298/.332 | .113 | .294 | 11 | 3 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A |
22 | 42→41 | 46→55 | 49→45 | 44 | .212/.273/.344 | .133 | .277 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .209/.287/.363 | .154 | .271 | 17 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .193/.280/.360 | .167 | .251 | 20 | 6 | 30% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 50 | 43 | .189/.254/.283 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.272/.298 | .087 | .290 | 7 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.305/.377 | .151 | .297 | 15 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Tirso Ornelas 2022 · A |
22 | 40→50 | 38→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .191/.257/.275 | .084 | .274 | 5 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .236/.295/.354 | .118 | .303 | 11 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .245/.303/.373 | .128 | .302 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 |
|
●Justice Bigbie 2022 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 40→45 | 49→45 | 43 | .212/.274/.307 | .095 | .300 | 8 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .239/.298/.345 | .106 | .326 | 9 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .257/.313/.369 | .112 | .310 | 12 | 5 | 20% | 7% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Curtis Terry 2019 · A |
22 | 44→40 | 42→55 | 49→30 | 39 | .215/.265/.326 | .111 | .295 | 9 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .217/.274/.375 | .158 | .284 | 18 | 3 | 30% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .211/.274/.378 | .167 | .258 | 20 | 1 | 27% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A |
22 | 38→43 | 42→55 | 52→50 | 34 | .194/.230/.300 | .106 | .280 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .207/.256/.324 | .117 | .303 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .199/.278/.357 | .158 | .302 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A |
22 | 39→47 | 44→50 | 49→40 | 43 | .199/.261/.312 | .112 | .263 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .215/.270/.328 | .113 | .270 | 10 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .222/.283/.344 | .122 | .281 | 12 | 2 | 24% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Charles Leblanc 2019 · A |
23 | 44→53 | 40→50 | 48→45 | 41 | .214/.265/.306 | .092 | .296 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .213/.264/.309 | .096 | .306 | 9 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .220/.306/.364 | .144 | .310 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .218/.284/.328 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.275/.332 | .128 | .317 | 14 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
●James McCann 2012 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .203/.260/.306 | .103 | .288 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .223/.261/.310 | .087 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .254/.315/.415 | .161 | .331 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +1.1 |
|
✕David Bote 2015 · A |
22 | 39→48 | 38→55 | 43→45 | 44 | .186/.267/.266 | .080 | .264 | 4 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .223/.283/.331 | .108 | .286 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .234/.308/.397 | .164 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2018 · A |
22 | 47→43 | 38→50 | 51→55 | 43 | .225/.288/.307 | .082 | .288 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.277/.321 | .108 | .295 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |