Junior Marin — OGILVIE

Junior MarinOF FCL Phillies

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 240 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .266 / .314

PA5

HR0

K%28

BB%6

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	111	92	35	8	0	7	16	19	1	5	2	380	477	696	1.173	315	412	17	14	494	220	+16	+0	—	—	+2	1.9
2022	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	103	92	29	7	1	0	9	31	1	3	1	315	382	413	795	98	468	30	9	356	127	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	19	17	5	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	294	333	412	745	118	357	21	5	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	107	97	28	6	1	3	6	19	2	5	3	289	343	464	807	175	325	18	6	351	123	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	111	99	27	6	0	5	9	28	1	5	2	273	339	485	824	212	322	25	8	368	135	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	103	96	20	4	1	0	5	45	1	3	1	208	255	271	526	62	381	44	5	235	45	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	271	32	5	231	42	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	107	99	20	4	1	2	4	26	2	5	3	202	248	323	571	121	230	24	4	244	51	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	111	99	27	6	0	5	9	28	1	5	2	273	339	485	824	212	324	25	8	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	111	92	35	8	0	7	16	19	1	5	2	380	477	696	1.173	315	412	17	14	494	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	103	96	20	4	1	0	5	45	1	3	1	208	255	271	526	62	385	44	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	103	92	29	7	1	0	9	31	1	3	1	315	382	413	795	98	468	30	9	356	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	250	32	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	19	17	5	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	294	333	412	745	118	357	21	5	315	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	107	99	20	4	1	2	4	26	2	5	3	202	248	323	571	121	247	24	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	107	97	28	6	1	3	6	19	2	5	3	289	343	464	807	175	325	18	6	351	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	111	100	27	6	0	5	9	28	1	5	2	270	339	480	819	210	322	25	8	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	103	96	20	4	1	0	5	45	1	3	1	208	255	271	526	62	381	44	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	167	222	222	444	56	271	32	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	107	100	20	4	1	2	4	26	2	5	3	200	248	320	568	120	230	24	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	167	222	222	444	56	271	32	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	107	100	20	4	1	2	4	26	2	5	3	200	248	320	568	120	230	24	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		289	20	0	263	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	109	100	22	4	1	2	7	30	1	2	0	220	278	340	618	120	290	28	6	272	70	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	37	35	7	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	200	243	314	558	114	292	27	5	268	70	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	35	7	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	200	243	314	558	114	250	27	5	268	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	615	124	18	0	18	35	176	0	18	0	202	245	319	563	117	252	27	5	268	75	-23	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	454	416	93	19	3	9	26	136	5	15	6	224	277	349	626	125	302	30	6	279	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	133	27	4	13	37	195	7	21	9	223	277	347	624	124	302	30	6	279	75	-23	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Marin (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	213/266/314	101	289	1	1	28%	6%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Ben Johnson 2016 · A	22	43→30	44→50	46→45	42	212/271/334	121	268	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	172/224/252	80	321	6	9	45%	5%	34	-3.5	140/191/204	64	287	5	10	50%	4%	8	-2.5
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Ramon Beltre 2019 · A	22	44→29	40	49→50	37	217/250/308	91	286	8	7	27%	4%	55	-1.9	183/212/266	83	282	6	6	36%	3%	31	-3.7	152/174/228	76	239	4	6	38%	2%	4	-4.5
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→23	42→50	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	76	-0.4	183/279/347	164	286	19	5	40%	9%	78	-0.3	155/265/319	163	241	20	5	41%	10%	64	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	42→45	47→45	41	193/251/298	105	275	9	8	32%	7%	55	-2.0	204/254/315	111	308	12	9	36%	6%	59	-1.6	189/234/301	112	286	14	10	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	191/227/294	103	284	10	11	36%	4%	44	-2.8	207/257/322	115	306	10	10	34%	5%	62	-1.4	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	62	-1.4	207/272/314	107	293	11	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	192/261/297	104	266	13	13	31%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Riccio Torrez 2012 · A	22	41→35	43→40	46→45	39	205/249/309	104	258	11	7	25%	4%	57	-1.8	193/249/283	90	245	8	5	24%	4%	51	-2.3	184/240/269	85	233	7	4	24%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	83	294	6	11	27%	5%	64	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Skyler Ewing 2015 · A	22	44→39	41→45	49→30	41	210/269/311	101	298	7	6	31%	6%	65	-1.2	196/263/301	105	266	9	3	28%	7%	61	-1.5	188/261/307	119	250	12	1	28%	7%	59	-1.1
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→27	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	72	-0.7	171/244/297	126	334	15	12	50%	5%	54	-2.0	135/213/254	119	281	17	13	54%	6%	30	-1.6