Rafael Cruz — OGILVIE

Rafael CruzSS Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .232 / .273

PA90

HR2

K%29

BB%6

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	179	170	23	4	0	1	7	70	1	3	0	135	174	176	351	41	220	39	4	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	179	165	36	7	1	2	12	47	1	3	0	218	275	309	584	91	291	26	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	196	174	34	6	3	4	14	64	6	5	5	195	278	333	612	138	278	33	7	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	196	165	49	8	4	9	23	46	6	5	5	297	402	558	960	261	357	23	12	415	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	278	258	36	9	1	5	12	145	6	1	1	140	196	240	436	101	282	52	4	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	278	253	52	14	2	8	17	96	6	1	1	206	272	372	643	166	291	35	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	102	99	14	5	1	0	2	46	1	3	0	141	167	212	379	71	264	45	2	154	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	102	98	19	6	1	0	3	32	1	3	0	194	225	276	501	82	288	31	3	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	MIN	—	90	83	14	3	0	2	6	26	1	1	0	169	233	277	510	108	226	29	7	231	35	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	34%	150	137	25	5	1	3	10	42	2	2	1	182	248	299	548	117	234	28	7	246	46	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIN	34%	52	48	9	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	188	250	292	542	104	234	29	6	238	40	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	52	48	9	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	188	250	292	542	104	250	29	6	238	40	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	112	25	0	12	38	188	12	12	0	187	249	288	538	102	250	29	6	238	40	-44	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	995	921	146	32	6	15	51	393	17	15	7	159	216	255	472	97	252	39	5	212	20	-89	+0	+0	+11	+28	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	96	21	4	10	33	257	11	10	5	159	217	257	474	98	254	40	5	212	20	-58	+0	+0	+7	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	179	165	36	7	1	2	12	47	1	3	0	218	275	309	584	91	291	26	7	265	61	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	196	165	49	8	4	9	23	46	6	5	5	297	402	558	960	261	357	23	12	415	175	+17	-1	—	—	+6	2.2
2023	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	278	253	52	14	2	8	17	96	6	1	1	206	272	372	643	166	291	35	6	286	77	-7	-0	—	—	+8	0.0
2024	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	102	98	19	6	1	0	3	32	1	3	0	194	225	276	501	82	288	31	3	226	31	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Cruz (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	171/232/273	103	226	2	1	29%	6%	35	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	36	41→45	51→50	39	186/239/277	91	257	10	9	31%	6%	38	-2.6	194/242/295	101	272	11	14	32%	5%	44	-2.1	178/225/278	100	246	13	18	33%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Michael Mosby 2012 · A	22	36	42→45	49→40	42	182/251/282	100	244	10	5	29%	6%	46	-2.0	195/256/287	92	302	7	5	35%	6%	48	-1.9	185/245/270	85	298	6	3	37%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	37→36	41→45	50→55	44	184/260/281	97	244	8	15	27%	7%	50	-1.8	178/258/271	93	255	8	20	32%	7%	46	-2.0	135/238/252	117	208	13	25	39%	8%	32	-1.5
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Riccio Torrez 2012 · A	22	41→33	42→40	46→45	39	205/249/308	102	258	11	7	25%	4%	50	-1.7	189/245/276	87	241	7	5	24%	4%	41	-2.3	177/235/259	82	226	7	4	24%	4%	29	-1.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	31→35	40→50	48→30	34	163/215/254	91	259	8	4	39%	5%	22	-3.7	193/230/321	128	266	15	3	33%	4%	46	-2.0	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Vicente Conde 2016 · AA	22	38→34	42→45	46→45	41	190/249/295	105	274	9	9	33%	7%	47	-1.9	179/250/264	85	267	6	6	32%	8%	40	-2.4	157/239/226	69	243	4	4	34%	9%	24	-1.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Edwin Díaz 2018 · A	22	33→31	40→50	47→40	37	170/225/259	88	261	8	3	37%	6%	27	-3.3	174/236/291	117	279	12	4	40%	7%	41	-2.3	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Ryan Miller 2015 · A	22	37	44→50	45→40	37	193/242/301	108	258	13	4	30%	4%	46	-2.0	204/240/335	131	281	12	5	31%	4%	53	-1.5	199/228/345	146	272	13	4	31%	3%	46	-0.8
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	39→34	42→45	44→30	40	193/252/295	103	276	9	3	32%	6%	49	-1.8	199/255/310	111	282	10	4	31%	6%	53	-1.5	184/241/297	113	256	10	1	31%	6%	42	-1.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Luis Carpio 2019 · A	22	39→43	40→45	44→50	46	191/252/281	90	248	8	9	26%	7%	45	-2.1	209/271/306	97	276	8	7	26%	7%	59	-1.1	198/260/284	86	270	7	8	28%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Angel Aguilar 2017 · A	22	36→37	44→45	51→50	34	187/224/299	112	263	12	11	34%	4%	37	-2.6	190/223/291	101	271	9	9	33%	3%	34	-2.8	181/211/277	97	260	8	8	33%	3%	23	-2.3
✕Steve Brown 2009 · A	22	38	42→45	49→50	34	192/236/293	101	272	10	13	33%	4%	41	-2.3	200/241/318	118	291	11	9	34%	4%	50	-1.8	189/224/314	125	271	12	8	34%	3%	40	-1.4
✕Daniel Berg 2007 · A	22	37	42→40	44→40	41	186/254/294	107	267	9	4	32%	7%	50	-1.8	194/262/277	83	297	6	4	34%	7%	48	-1.9	186/258/258	72	291	5	2	35%	7%	39	-1.3