Owen Woodward

P St. Lucie Mets

Age 25 RHP A peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	MIX2 levels	7	4	12	5.11	3.91	25.0%	7.1%	—	K 18.2% · BB 8.9% · FIP 5.39
2027PROJ	25	MLBNYM	1	1	7	4.46	4.46	21.8%	9.0%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBNYM	2	2	9	4.43	4.42	22.2%	9.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsMitch Neunborn (age 26) · Brad Deppermann (age 25) · Nathanael Santiago (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

K%21.8%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%12.8%

Proj IP7

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	4	12	56	14	4	2	57%	1.8	18.2%	8.9%	9.2%	4.9%	5.11	5.39	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	4	12	56	14	4	2	57%	1.8	18.2%	8.9%	9.2%	4.9%	5.11	5.39	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	4	12	56	14	4	2	57%	1.8	25.0%	7.1%	17.9%	3.6%	5.11	3.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	NYM	1	1	7	30	6	3	1	100%	7.0	21.8%	9.0%	12.8%	3.1%	4.46	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	3	3	20	84	19	8	3	100%	6.7	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.0%	4.43	4.42	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	2	2	9	38	8	3	1	100%	4.5	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.0%	4.43	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	3	1	100%	8.6	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.43	4.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	187	70	23	100%	6.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.43	4.04	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		7	4	12	56	10	5	3	57%	1.8	18.2%	8.9%	9.2%	4.9%	5.11	5.39	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	65	200	908	165	81	45	57%	1.8	18.2%	8.9%	9.2%	4.9%	5.11	5.39	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Owen Woodward (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.46	21.8%	9.0%	3.1%	—	4.42	22.2%	13.2%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	72
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	70
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	70
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,024	70
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	70
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	69
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	69
Juan Gutierrez R 2007 · 3.96 FIP	24	SW	3.96	17.2%	4.3%	3.2%	.314	3.83	20.4%	12.6%	128	-0.13	2.67	379	68
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	68
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	68
Brock Stewart R 2017 · 3.82 FIP	25	SW	3.82	23.3%	9.2%	2.8%	.295	5.26	16.6%	7.8%	224	+1.44	1.51	622	67
Sergio Mitre R 2006 · 4.89 FIP	25	SW	4.89	16.4%	9.0%	3.7%	.276	3.91	12.4%	6.8%	201	-0.98	3.55	602	67
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	66
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	66
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	66
Zac Kristofak R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	25	SW	4.10	15.5%	8.9%	2.1%	.252	4.67	11.2%	5.4%	19	+0.57	4.10	168	65
Irving Jimenez R 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SW	3.63	18.5%	12.8%	0.9%	.313	4.04	14.1%	1.7%	50	+0.41	3.63	104	64
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	64
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	64