Zac Kristofak
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 28
RHP
5'9" / 189 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%21.2%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (15%)
CU (5%)
FB (44%)
SL-0.6 (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 38 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 6.14 | 4.21 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 38 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 1.5% | 6.14 | 3.19 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 34 | 9 | 64 | 268 | 60 | 19 | 6 | 26% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 3.82 | 5.12 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 34 | 9 | 64 | 268 | 60 | 19 | 6 | 26% | 1.9 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 3.34 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 16 | 6 | 42 | 173 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 2.6 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 4.07 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 16 | 6 | 42 | 173 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 4.07 | 3.46 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 21 | 88 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 43% | 3.0 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.05 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 21 | 88 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 43% | 3.0 | 13.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 3.05 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.56 | 4.12 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 899 | 192 | 107 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.56 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 18 | 170 | 728 | 118 | 65 | 23 | 19% | 1.8 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.63 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 21 | 200 | 855 | 139 | 76 | 28 | 19% | 1.8 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zac Kristofak (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.58 | 21.1% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 77 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 77 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 77 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 76 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 75 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 74 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 74 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 74 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 74 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 74 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 74 |