Carlos Avila
C ACL Dodgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROKDSL LAD Bauti… | 141 | .308/.411/.417 | 2 | 4 | 59 | — | .202/.298/.266 |
| 2024 | 20 | AA/ROKLAD | 97 | .114/.263/.139 | 0 | 0 | -18 | — | .081/.169/.093 |
| 2025 | 21 | A/ROK2 orgs | 70 | .333/.449/.386 | 0 | 0 | 78 | — | .244/.333/.276 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBLAD | 180 | .202/.270/.279 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBLAD | 47 | .202/.271/.285 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBLAD | 96 | .205/.274/.296 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 71 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 296 | 254 | 550 | 48 | 277 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 141 | 120 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 308 | 411 | 417 | 828 | 108 | 350 | 13 | 11 | 378 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 111 | 311 | 200 | 40 | 10 | 160 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 77 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 280 | 148 | 428 | 33 | 149 | 21 | 17 | 219 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 21 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 444 | 524 | 500 | 1.024 | 56 | 571 | 19 | 14 | 462 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 49 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 417 | 333 | 750 | 51 | 367 | 20 | 14 | 348 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 225 | 200 | 425 | 46 | 198 | 27 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 141 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 298 | 266 | 564 | 65 | 238 | 15 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 150 | 105 | 255 | 185 | 50 | 5 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 77 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 173 | 90 | 263 | 15 | 119 | 30 | 9 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 21 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 429 | 421 | 850 | 53 | 514 | 29 | 10 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 49 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 292 | 214 | 506 | 24 | 283 | 31 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 225 | 200 | 425 | 46 | 217 | 27 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 71 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 296 | 254 | 550 | 48 | 277 | 23 | 8 | 261 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 141 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 298 | 266 | 564 | 65 | 235 | 15 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 141 | 120 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 308 | 411 | 417 | 828 | 108 | 350 | 13 | 11 | 378 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 97 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 179 | 94 | 273 | 12 | 132 | 35 | 9 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 97 | 79 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 114 | 263 | 139 | 402 | 25 | 158 | 25 | 15 | 207 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 70 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 333 | 279 | 612 | 33 | 357 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 70 | 57 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 449 | 386 | 835 | 53 | 432 | 20 | 14 | 383 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 71 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 225 | 200 | 425 | 46 | 198 | 27 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 141 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 203 | 298 | 268 | 566 | 65 | 238 | 15 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 97 | 87 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 179 | 92 | 271 | 11 | 133 | 35 | 9 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 70 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 333 | 274 | 608 | 32 | 352 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 97 | 87 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 179 | 92 | 271 | 11 | 133 | 35 | 9 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 70 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 333 | 274 | 608 | 32 | 352 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 0% | 180 | 163 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 270 | 279 | 550 | 77 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 30% | 157 | 142 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 275 | 292 | 566 | 86 | 288 | 29 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 44% | 218 | 197 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 278 | 301 | 579 | 93 | 289 | 29 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 51% | 271 | 245 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 281 | 310 | 590 | 98 | 289 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 296 | 268 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 85 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 281 | 312 | 593 | 100 | 288 | 29 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 311 | 281 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 89 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 281 | 312 | 593 | 100 | 287 | 29 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 310 | 280 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 89 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 278 | 306 | 584 | 96 | 286 | 29 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -13 | -0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 30% | 47 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 271 | 285 | 557 | 83 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 255 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 44% | 96 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 274 | 296 | 570 | 91 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 260 | 65 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 51% | 137 | 124 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 277 | 304 | 581 | 97 | 282 | 29 | 8 | 265 | 68 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 155 | 140 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 278 | 306 | 585 | 98 | 282 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 69 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 166 | 150 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 278 | 307 | 585 | 99 | 281 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 69 | -6 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 163 | 147 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 275 | 300 | 576 | 95 | 280 | 29 | 8 | 262 | 66 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 764 | 692 | 144 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 60 | 220 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 208 | 279 | 309 | 588 | 101 | 283 | 29 | 8 | 264 | 60 | -30 | +0 | -1 | +14 | +17 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 122 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 187 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 207 | 278 | 307 | 586 | 100 | 282 | 29 | 8 | 264 | 60 | -26 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2018 | 1817 | 368 | 60 | 10 | 26 | 157 | 568 | 28 | 20 | 11 | 203 | 276 | 289 | 566 | 87 | 277 | 28 | 8 | 257 | 60 | -66 | +0 | -2 | +29 | +36 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 118 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 183 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 202 | 276 | 285 | 562 | 84 | 276 | 28 | 8 | 257 | 60 | -26 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 49 PAwOBA .340 → .247 (−94)K% 20.4% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.102 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.187 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .340 → .247; ISO .051 → .033; BABIP .367 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 21 PAwOBA .451 → .371 (−80)K% 19.0% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | — | — | 45.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .451 → .371; ISO .056 → .042; BABIP .571 → .514. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 77 PAwOBA .221 → .148 (−73)K% 20.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.78% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.88% | ÷1.070 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.011 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 9.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.010 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .221 → .148; ISO .033 → .024; BABIP .149 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATulsa Drillers · 20 PAwOBA .157 → .117 (−40)K% 40.0% → 50.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 18.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .157 → .117; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 141 PAwOBA .369 → .255 (−114)K% 12.8% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.43% | ÷1.028 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.937 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.915 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.028 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 83, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .369 → .255; ISO .108 → .063; BABIP .350 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Dodgers Shoemaker · 71 PAwOBA .255 → .179 (−75)K% 22.5% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.992 | ×0.680 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 16.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.930 | ×0.600 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 1.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .255 → .179; ISO .048 → .033; BABIP .277 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).