Carlos AvilaC
ACL Dodgers
Age 22
L/R
5'11" / 180 lbs
ROK
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.6 · 2031
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .270 / .302
PA128
HR2
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.3 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +0.1 | $0.6M | -$7M |
| Totals | $13M | $45M | +$32M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 71 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .169 | .239 | .215 | .455 | .046 | .256 | 31 | 6 | .193 | 6 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 141 | 125 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | .240 | .326 | .312 | .638 | .072 | .293 | 18 | 7 | .288 | 79 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | 2 teams | 97 | 86 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .081 | .168 | .093 | .261 | .012 | .132 | 36 | 8 | .139 | -36 | -15 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 70 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .262 | .348 | .295 | .643 | .033 | .381 | 29 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | LAD | 128 | 117 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .268 | .308 | .575 | .103 | .288 | 30 | 7 | .262 | 58 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | LAD | 272 | 246 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .211 | .281 | .325 | .607 | .114 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | LAD | 361 | 325 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 102 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .218 | .291 | .345 | .635 | .126 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | LAD | 407 | 366 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 113 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .297 | .361 | .658 | .137 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | LAD | 436 | 392 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 121 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .230 | .303 | .378 | .680 | .148 | .293 | 28 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | LAD | 447 | 400 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 124 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .228 | .304 | .372 | .677 | .145 | .293 | 28 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | LAD | 449 | 402 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 125 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .303 | .371 | .673 | .144 | .293 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | LAD | 443 | 397 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 125 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .300 | .368 | .668 | .144 | .292 | 28 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 436 | 391 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 125 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .217 | .293 | .350 | .644 | .133 | .291 | 29 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 410 | 367 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .218 | .295 | .349 | .644 | .131 | .289 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 382 | 342 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 113 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .216 | .293 | .345 | .638 | .129 | .288 | 30 | 9 | .285 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 343 | 307 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 104 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .212 | .288 | .339 | .627 | .127 | .286 | 30 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 292 | 262 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .283 | .324 | .607 | .118 | .284 | 31 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 238 | 214 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .275 | .313 | .589 | .112 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5423 | 4865 | 1055 | 180 | 33 | 123 | 457 | 1558 | 61 | 55 | 12 | .217 | .292 | .343 | .635 | .126 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -143 | +6 | -25 | +97 | +154 | 9.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 187 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .218 | .293 | .346 | .640 | .129 | .292 | 29 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 71 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .206 | .296 | .254 | .550 | .048 | .277 | 23 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 141 | 120 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | .308 | .411 | .417 | .828 | .108 | .350 | 13 | 11 | .378 | 148 | +8 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .111 | .200 | .111 | .311 | .000 | .200 | 40 | 10 | .160 | -19 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 77 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .115 | .280 | .148 | .428 | .033 | .149 | 21 | 17 | .219 | 26 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 21 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .444 | .524 | .500 | 1.024 | .056 | .571 | 19 | 14 | .462 | 212 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 49 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .282 | .417 | .333 | .750 | .051 | .367 | 20 | 14 | .348 | 125 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Avila (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .204/.270/.302 | .098 | .288 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 58 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 50 | 43 | .189/.254/.283 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.272/.298 | .087 | .290 | 7 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.305/.377 | .151 | .297 | 15 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A |
23 | 36→45 | 43→55 | 52→40 | 41 | .184/.246/.294 | .110 | .257 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.280/.351 | .141 | .289 | 15 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.292/.382 | .164 | .293 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2022 · AA |
22 | 34→43 | 46→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .181/.240/.306 | .126 | .262 | 14 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .213/.300/.385 | .172 | .281 | 20 | 13 | 30% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .216/.308/.399 | .183 | .269 | 22 | 12 | 28% | 11% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA |
22 | 37→47 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 43 | .183/.239/.268 | .085 | .247 | 7 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 36 | -2.7 | .222/.288/.312 | .090 | .301 | 7 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .234/.306/.318 | .084 | .309 | 7 | 8 | 25% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .194/.258/.283 | .089 | .288 | 5 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .206/.290/.322 | .116 | .364 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.284/.307 | .117 | .346 | 12 | 2 | 44% | 11% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 41→55 | 44→55 | 41 | .185/.244/.280 | .095 | .257 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .218/.280/.374 | .156 | .279 | 17 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→51 | 40→45 | 48→60 | 42 | .199/.267/.289 | .091 | .281 | 8 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .226/.291/.327 | .101 | .311 | 9 | 22 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.303/.338 | .098 | .325 | 8 | 32 | 27% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 41→50 | 47→45 | 40 | .183/.244/.273 | .090 | .273 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .196/.244/.284 | .088 | .259 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.224/.260 | .076 | .231 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 4% | 25 | -1.0 |
|
●James McCann 2012 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .203/.260/.306 | .103 | .288 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .223/.261/.310 | .087 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .254/.315/.415 | .161 | .331 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Luis 2022 · A |
22 | 44→53 | 40→45 | 46→40 | 40 | .212/.259/.304 | .091 | .298 | 7 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .232/.281/.330 | .098 | .311 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .234/.283/.329 | .095 | .308 | 9 | 1 | 26% | 6% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA |
23 | 42→41 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 41 | .207/.267/.325 | .119 | .293 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .184/.247/.296 | .112 | .270 | 10 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .152/.219/.263 | .111 | .216 | 11 | 1 | 34% | 7% | 24 | -1.3 |
|
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2014 · AAA |
23 | 46 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .223/.272/.331 | .108 | .299 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .239/.292/.343 | .104 | .299 | 9 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .255/.314/.357 | .101 | .328 | 11 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A |
22 | 41 | 42→50 | 46→30 | 42 | .204/.266/.303 | .099 | .281 | 10 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.272/.318 | .122 | .273 | 12 | 3 | 30% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .170/.257/.297 | .127 | .232 | 13 | 0 | 31% | 10% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 40 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .200/.259/.300 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.274/.342 | .126 | .277 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.266/.330 | .122 | .258 | 15 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA |
23 | 38→41 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.307 | .119 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.271/.352 | .157 | .280 | 18 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.288/.362 | .155 | .320 | 17 | 12 | 37% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A |
22 | 45→42 | 39→55 | 50→40 | 50 | .212/.293/.305 | .093 | .295 | 6 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.303/.384 | .165 | .289 | 20 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .212/.303/.382 | .169 | .274 | 21 | 3 | 29% | 11% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Ryan Schimpf 2011 · A |
23 | 39 | 43→60 | 52→45 | 39 | .192/.257/.314 | .121 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.273/.355 | .157 | .273 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .201/.284/.419 | .218 | .235 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 38→55 | 48→45 | 43 | .202/.271/.290 | .088 | .281 | 5 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .214/.281/.369 | .155 | .272 | 19 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .207/.271/.391 | .184 | .253 | 26 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A |
21 | 39→46 | 39→55 | 49→45 | 44 | .191/.262/.281 | .090 | .258 | 6 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .216/.278/.376 | .160 | .319 | 19 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .220/.291/.385 | .165 | .272 | 18 | 6 | 25% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Luis Vázquez 2022 · AAA |
22 | 45→46 | 39→50 | 52→45 | 39 | .215/.269/.297 | .082 | .305 | 7 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .218/.272/.338 | .120 | .293 | 13 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.295/.366 | .136 | .298 | 17 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |