Frederick Cuevas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ATB | 202 | .219/.278/.295 | 1 | 3 | 26 | — | .186/.227/.255 |
| 2019 | 21 | ATB | 281 | .226/.280/.321 | 1 | 3 | 22 | — | .178/.218/.256 |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 237 | .206/.305/.338 | 5 | 10 | 42 | — | .174/.245/.277 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 252 | 203 | 52 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 44 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 256 | 379 | 365 | 743 | 108 | 310 | 17 | 15 | 331 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | — | 90 | 86 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 256 | 289 | 326 | 614 | 70 | 309 | 19 | 4 | 277 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 174 | 154 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 312 | 373 | 455 | 827 | 143 | 385 | 20 | 8 | 358 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 202 | 183 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 295 | 573 | 77 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 257 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 281 | 252 | 57 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 64 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 280 | 321 | 602 | 95 | 296 | 23 | 6 | 263 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 26 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 333 | 533 | 167 | 158 | 15 | 4 | 226 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 31 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 259 | 517 | 111 | 188 | 32 | 13 | 245 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 180 | 153 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 222 | 328 | 353 | 681 | 131 | 267 | 20 | 13 | 307 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 252 | 215 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 172 | 267 | 242 | 509 | 70 | 206 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 90 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 233 | 276 | 509 | 69 | 262 | 27 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 174 | 160 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 237 | 278 | 338 | 616 | 100 | 311 | 28 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 202 | 188 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 186 | 227 | 255 | 483 | 69 | 280 | 36 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 281 | 258 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 178 | 218 | 256 | 474 | 78 | 248 | 31 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 26 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 333 | 533 | 167 | 152 | 19 | 4 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 31 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 107 | 174 | 39 | 10 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 180 | 161 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 180 | 254 | 273 | 528 | 93 | 237 | 27 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 252 | 215 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 172 | 267 | 242 | 509 | 70 | 217 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 252 | 203 | 52 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 44 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 256 | 379 | 365 | 743 | 108 | 310 | 17 | 15 | 331 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 90 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 233 | 276 | 509 | 69 | 274 | 27 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees East | — | 90 | 86 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 256 | 289 | 326 | 614 | 70 | 309 | 19 | 4 | 277 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 174 | 160 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 237 | 278 | 338 | 616 | 100 | 327 | 28 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 174 | 154 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 312 | 373 | 455 | 827 | 143 | 385 | 20 | 8 | 358 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 202 | 188 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 186 | 227 | 255 | 483 | 69 | 293 | 36 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 202 | 183 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 295 | 573 | 77 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 257 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 281 | 258 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 178 | 218 | 256 | 474 | 78 | 263 | 31 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 281 | 252 | 57 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 64 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 280 | 321 | 602 | 95 | 296 | 23 | 6 | 263 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 213 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 174 | 245 | 277 | 522 | 103 | 226 | 27 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 237 | 204 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 50 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 305 | 338 | 643 | 132 | 245 | 21 | 12 | 290 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 252 | 222 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 54 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 167 | 267 | 234 | 502 | 68 | 206 | 21 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 90 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 233 | 276 | 509 | 69 | 262 | 27 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 174 | 163 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 233 | 278 | 331 | 609 | 98 | 311 | 28 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 202 | 190 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 184 | 227 | 253 | 480 | 68 | 280 | 36 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 281 | 266 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 173 | 218 | 248 | 466 | 75 | 248 | 31 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 215 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 172 | 245 | 274 | 519 | 102 | 219 | 27 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1236 | 1121 | 211 | 43 | 8 | 11 | 76 | 351 | 7 | 42 | 16 | 188 | 244 | 270 | 514 | 82 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 222 | 36 | -94 | +2 | +0 | -13 | +27 | -8.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 185 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 188 | 245 | 271 | 516 | 83 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 222 | 36 | -49 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 180 PAwOBA .300 → .245 (−56)K% 20.0% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 15.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 7.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .300 → .245; ISO .131 → .107; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASomerset Patriots · 31 PAwOBA .239 → .184 (−55)K% 32.3% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.26% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.008 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.905 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .239 → .184; ISO .111 → .080; BABIP .188 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 26 PAwOBA .219 → .186 (−34)K% 15.4% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 10.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 95, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .186; ISO .167 → .122; BABIP .158 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ACharleston RiverDogs · 281 PAwOBA .258 → .200 (−58)K% 22.8% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.78% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.41% | ÷1.017 | ×0.660 | — | — | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 16.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.11% | ÷0.955 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | — | 8.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | — | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.916 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .258 → .200; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .296 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ACharleston RiverDogs · 202 PAwOBA .252 → .207 (−45)K% 26.2% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.24% | ÷0.991 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.44% | ÷1.092 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.961 | ×0.820 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.811 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.79% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .252 → .207; ISO .077 → .065; BABIP .300 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKPulaski Yankees · 174 PAwOBA .347 → .264 (−83)K% 19.5% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 23.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 6.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 1.99% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .347 → .264; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .385 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Yankees East · 90 PAwOBA .270 → .203 (−67)K% 18.9% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 23.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 1.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.14% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .270 → .203; ISO .070 → .049; BABIP .309 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Yankees 1 · 252 PAwOBA .324 → .226 (−99)K% 17.5% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 17.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 1.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .324 → .226; ISO .108 → .064; BABIP .310 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).