Yancel GuerreroSS
FCL Cardinals
Age 22
R/R
6'1" / 169 lbs
ROK
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.7 · 2031
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .262 / .292
PA147
HR2
K%34
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
25→25
SPD
60→60
EYE
39↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $3M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 93 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .169 | .258 | .205 | .463 | .036 | .333 | 44 | 4 | .200 | 11 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 154 | 127 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 70 | 8 | 12 | 2 | .165 | .312 | .220 | .532 | .055 | .357 | 45 | 12 | .258 | 56 | -8 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 112 | 101 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 53 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .139 | .216 | .188 | .404 | .050 | .286 | 47 | 4 | .185 | 0 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 158 | 139 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 78 | 11 | 8 | 0 | .165 | .256 | .295 | .551 | .129 | .322 | 49 | 4 | .240 | 42 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 176 | 153 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 71 | 10 | 26 | 6 | .137 | .237 | .183 | .420 | .046 | .241 | 40 | 6 | .198 | 10 | -18 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | STL | 147 | 133 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .195 | .267 | .293 | .560 | .098 | .284 | 34 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | STL | 210 | 189 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .201 | .274 | .312 | .586 | .111 | .285 | 32 | 7 | .268 | 64 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | STL | 316 | 283 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 99 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .208 | .284 | .336 | .620 | .127 | .286 | 31 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | STL | 379 | 339 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 116 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .209 | .287 | .339 | .626 | .130 | .287 | 31 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | STL | 419 | 375 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .211 | .288 | .341 | .630 | .131 | .288 | 30 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | STL | 438 | 391 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .210 | .290 | .335 | .625 | .125 | .288 | 30 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | STL | 446 | 398 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .209 | .289 | .334 | .623 | .126 | .288 | 31 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | STL | 444 | 396 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .207 | .288 | .331 | .619 | .124 | .287 | 31 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | STL | 438 | 391 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 137 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .207 | .287 | .332 | .620 | .125 | .285 | 31 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -14 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | STL | 427 | 381 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 135 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .202 | .283 | .320 | .603 | .118 | .284 | 32 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | STL | 411 | 367 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 132 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .196 | .277 | .308 | .585 | .112 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -16 | +2 | -4 | +4 | +12 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | STL | 382 | 341 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 126 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .194 | .274 | .302 | .576 | .109 | .280 | 33 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | STL | 339 | 303 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 114 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .188 | .268 | .287 | .555 | .099 | .279 | 34 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -17 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +10 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5489 | 4890 | 966 | 173 | 28 | 108 | 434 | 1824 | 123 | 157 | 26 | .198 | .280 | .311 | .590 | .113 | .287 | 33 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -224 | +21 | -20 | +59 | +156 | -0.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 216 | 15 | 19 | 3 | .197 | .279 | .309 | .588 | .112 | .286 | 33 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -27 | +3 | -2 | +7 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 93 | 80 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .263 | .366 | .338 | .703 | .075 | .429 | 33 | 8 | .328 | 109 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 154 | 116 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 48 | 8 | 12 | 2 | .267 | .448 | .379 | .827 | .112 | .439 | 31 | 19 | .388 | 155 | +10 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 112 | 98 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .214 | .306 | .306 | .612 | .092 | .339 | 33 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 158 | 134 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 11 | 8 | 0 | .254 | .359 | .455 | .814 | .201 | .378 | 35 | 7 | .360 | 134 | +6 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 176 | 146 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 10 | 26 | 6 | .219 | .341 | .308 | .649 | .089 | .309 | 28 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -2 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Yancel Guerrero (OGILVIE) | 22 | 25 | 25 | 60 | 35 | .191/.262/.292 | .101 | .284 | 2 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A |
22 | 42→30 | 38→45 | 56→50 | 41 | .197/.266/.279 | .082 | .311 | 5 | 16 | 36% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .214/.271/.343 | .129 | .318 | 13 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .203/.261/.318 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 40 | .210/.265/.300 | .090 | .306 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .187/.266/.264 | .077 | .308 | 6 | 22 | 38% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .145/.239/.202 | .057 | .243 | 5 | 33 | 39% | 9% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A |
22 | 39→35 | 41→40 | 49→55 | 34 | .191/.234/.284 | .092 | .286 | 8 | 9 | 35% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .177/.227/.268 | .091 | .270 | 9 | 12 | 36% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .148/.203/.232 | .084 | .229 | 9 | 13 | 38% | 5% | 9 | -2.3 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A |
22 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 35 | .194/.253/.305 | .111 | .299 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.252/.326 | .126 | .285 | 15 | 18 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A |
22 | 38 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 35 | .183/.259/.287 | .104 | .311 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.263/.310 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .185/.242/.280 | .095 | .261 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.274 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .208/.307/.328 | .120 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A |
22 | 40 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 43 | .194/.269/.295 | .102 | .283 | 8 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .206/.272/.316 | .110 | .289 | 8 | 12 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .179/.267/.290 | .111 | .261 | 11 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A |
22 | 40 | 42→45 | 50→55 | 41 | .172/.280/.276 | .105 | .337 | 10 | 18 | 46% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .187/.287/.297 | .110 | .339 | 11 | 16 | 43% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .170/.275/.273 | .103 | .306 | 12 | 18 | 43% | 10% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A |
23 | 36 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 36 | .183/.218/.281 | .098 | .255 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .212/.258/.297 | .085 | .293 | 5 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .233/.289/.308 | .075 | .313 | 4 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A |
22 | 40 | 38→40 | 50→60 | 34 | .194/.230/.275 | .081 | .287 | 4 | 10 | 33% | 4% | 32 | -3.0 | .196/.273/.269 | .073 | .277 | 3 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .190/.288/.262 | .072 | .257 | 2 | 25 | 24% | 10% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A |
23 | 41 | 35→30 | 52→55 | 42 | .188/.277/.248 | .060 | .302 | 3 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .222/.280/.282 | .060 | .288 | 3 | 17 | 22% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .244/.292/.297 | .053 | .299 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 5% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A |
22 | 40→47 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 49 | .186/.290/.271 | .084 | .288 | 7 | 16 | 34% | 11% | 60 | -1.0 | .204/.296/.285 | .081 | .295 | 5 | 22 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.301/.289 | .073 | .310 | 4 | 35 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A |
22 | 39→41 | 40→45 | 51→60 | 37 | .187/.247/.273 | .085 | .307 | 8 | 15 | 40% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .194/.252/.287 | .093 | .306 | 8 | 28 | 37% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .194/.256/.310 | .116 | .294 | 12 | 32 | 36% | 7% | 52 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A |
22 | 41→29 | 40 | 51→55 | 42 | .191/.272/.286 | .095 | .298 | 7 | 13 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .167/.261/.253 | .086 | .302 | 6 | 19 | 42% | 9% | 43 | -2.2 | .129/.234/.201 | .072 | .253 | 6 | 26 | 46% | 10% | 17 | -2.0 |
|
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A |
22 | 37 | 42→40 | 51→50 | 39 | .189/.241/.282 | .094 | .261 | 10 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .196/.244/.290 | .094 | .274 | 10 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .181/.227/.268 | .086 | .250 | 10 | 18 | 31% | 5% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A |
23 | 38 | 41→45 | 48→30 | 32 | .190/.229/.285 | .095 | .284 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .195/.244/.278 | .083 | .290 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .151/.199/.200 | .049 | .234 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 2% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A |
23 | 40→44 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 38 | .192/.247/.277 | .085 | .295 | 5 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .215/.269/.322 | .107 | .306 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .218/.273/.332 | .114 | .299 | 9 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 64 | -0.4 |