Diego Villegas
CF DSL Giants Black| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROKDSL Giants Or… | 121 | .295/.442/.411 | 2 | 2 | 68 | — | .206/.325/.275 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROKDSL Giants Or… | 74 | .231/.459/.269 | 0 | 0 | 57 | — | .140/.338/.158 |
| 2026 | 22 | ROKDSL Giants Bl… | 197 | .221/.388/.247 | 0 | 4 | 31 | — | .150/.276/.168 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBSF | 307 | .208/.296/.280 | 2 | 4 | 67 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBSF | 42 | .209/.296/.288 | 0 | 1 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 88 | .212/.298/.298 | 1 | 1 | 75 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 33
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 124 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 202 | 363 | 253 | 615 | 51 | 256 | 17 | 19 | 302 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 34 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 441 | 320 | 761 | 80 | 333 | 21 | 24 | 368 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 112 | 91 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 297 | 423 | 396 | 819 | 99 | 380 | 19 | 16 | 373 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 95 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 295 | 442 | 411 | 852 | 116 | 388 | 22 | 19 | 389 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 459 | 269 | 729 | 38 | 308 | 18 | 24 | 366 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 154 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 388 | 247 | 635 | 26 | 283 | 18 | 20 | 313 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 124 | 108 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 184 | 20 | 11 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 34 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 324 | 185 | 509 | 37 | 215 | 26 | 18 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 112 | 96 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 306 | 260 | 567 | 63 | 261 | 22 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 69 | 271 | 27 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 338 | 158 | 496 | 18 | 203 | 22 | 18 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 167 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 150 | 276 | 168 | 443 | 18 | 191 | 22 | 13 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 124 | 108 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 148 | 258 | 185 | 443 | 37 | 193 | 20 | 11 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 124 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 202 | 363 | 253 | 615 | 51 | 256 | 17 | 19 | 302 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 34 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 324 | 185 | 509 | 37 | 222 | 26 | 18 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 34 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 441 | 320 | 761 | 80 | 333 | 21 | 24 | 368 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 112 | 96 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 306 | 260 | 567 | 63 | 264 | 22 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 112 | 91 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 297 | 423 | 396 | 819 | 99 | 380 | 19 | 16 | 373 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 69 | 290 | 27 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 95 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 295 | 442 | 411 | 852 | 116 | 388 | 22 | 19 | 389 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 338 | 158 | 496 | 18 | 195 | 22 | 18 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 459 | 269 | 729 | 38 | 308 | 18 | 24 | 366 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 167 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 150 | 276 | 168 | 443 | 18 | 200 | 22 | 13 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 154 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 388 | 247 | 635 | 26 | 283 | 18 | 20 | 313 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 124 | 107 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 258 | 187 | 445 | 37 | 184 | 20 | 11 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 34 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 324 | 185 | 509 | 37 | 215 | 26 | 18 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 112 | 96 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 306 | 260 | 567 | 63 | 261 | 22 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 69 | 271 | 27 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 338 | 158 | 496 | 18 | 203 | 22 | 18 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 166 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 151 | 276 | 169 | 444 | 18 | 191 | 22 | 13 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 121 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 69 | 271 | 27 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Orange | — | 74 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 338 | 158 | 496 | 18 | 203 | 22 | 18 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 197 | 166 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 151 | 276 | 169 | 444 | 18 | 191 | 22 | 13 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 307 | 271 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 84 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 208 | 296 | 280 | 576 | 72 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 267 | 67 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 30% | 138 | 121 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 299 | 294 | 593 | 82 | 289 | 27 | 10 | 274 | 71 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 44% | 199 | 176 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 53 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 301 | 305 | 606 | 90 | 290 | 27 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 255 | 225 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 67 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 303 | 313 | 616 | 96 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 291 | 258 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 77 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 218 | 303 | 315 | 618 | 98 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 283 | 78 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 311 | 275 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 302 | 315 | 617 | 98 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 315 | 279 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 84 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 299 | 309 | 609 | 94 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 312 | 276 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 84 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 212 | 296 | 302 | 598 | 90 | 286 | 27 | 10 | 275 | 72 | -10 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 30% | 42 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 296 | 288 | 584 | 79 | 285 | 26 | 10 | 270 | 71 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 44% | 88 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 298 | 298 | 596 | 86 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 275 | 75 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 129 | 114 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 300 | 306 | 605 | 92 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 278 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 152 | 134 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 300 | 308 | 607 | 94 | 285 | 26 | 10 | 279 | 78 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 166 | 147 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 299 | 308 | 607 | 94 | 285 | 27 | 10 | 278 | 77 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 165 | 146 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 296 | 302 | 598 | 91 | 284 | 27 | 10 | 275 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 163 | 144 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 293 | 295 | 588 | 86 | 282 | 27 | 10 | 271 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 905 | 801 | 171 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 89 | 240 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 213 | 300 | 305 | 605 | 91 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 276 | 67 | -27 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +20 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 122 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 64 | 172 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 212 | 299 | 303 | 601 | 90 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 276 | 67 | -19 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2587 | 2259 | 462 | 72 | 15 | 27 | 274 | 663 | 34 | 37 | 22 | 205 | 300 | 286 | 585 | 81 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 67 | -58 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +42 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 116 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 69 | 167 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 204 | 301 | 287 | 588 | 83 | 274 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 67 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 DSLDSL Giants Black · 197 PAwOBA .308 → .214 (−95)K% 17.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 13.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.041 | ×0.965 | 17.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.041 | ×0.965 | 2.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.041 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 18.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .308 → .214; ISO .026 → .017; BABIP .283 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 74 PAwOBA .359 → .253 (−106)K% 17.6% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.57% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.32% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.975 | 17.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.41% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.975 | 3.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.975 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.975 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .359 → .253; ISO .038 → .026; BABIP .308 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 121 PAwOBA .383 → .269 (−114)K% 22.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.01% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 13.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷0.972 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.971 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.914 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 1.49% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 94, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .383 → .269; ISO .116 → .068; BABIP .388 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Giants Black · 112 PAwOBA .368 → .258 (−110)K% 18.8% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.07% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 11.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷0.970 | ×0.680 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 19.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×0.995 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 94, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .368 → .258; ISO .099 → .061; BABIP .380 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Giants Black · 34 PAwOBA .360 → .250 (−110)K% 20.6% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 16.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.035 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.074 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .360 → .250; ISO .080 → .049; BABIP .333 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Giants Black · 124 PAwOBA .293 → .207 (−86)K% 16.9% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.94% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.74% | ÷1.127 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 11.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷0.998 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 15.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 90, K 103, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .207; ISO .051 → .036; BABIP .256 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).