Caden Connor — OGILVIE

Caden ConnorOF Charlotte Knights

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .291 / .320

PA204

HR3

K%21

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO85

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	36	30	3	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	100	229	133	362	33	158	33	14	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	532	479	122	24	2	9	39	134	5	7	1	255	317	370	687	115	328	25	7	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	532	460	135	33	3	7	58	92	5	7	1	293	379	424	802	130	346	17	11	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	4 teams	—	599	540	148	21	1	11	47	120	3	21	3	274	336	378	713	104	329	20	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	4 teams	—	599	509	144	21	1	7	78	90	3	21	3	283	381	369	751	86	327	15	13	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	307	281	67	11	0	5	19	63	2	8	7	238	291	331	622	93	284	21	6	275	69	-11	-1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	307	273	72	13	0	6	27	52	2	8	7	264	334	377	712	114	300	17	9	317	101	+0	-1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
ROS	25	AAA	CWS	10%	204	187	44	7	0	3	14	43	1	4	3	234	291	320	611	85	290	21	7	287	78	-5	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	10%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	291	20	5	283	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	25	AAA	CWS	—	327	300	71	12	0	5	20	67	2	8	7	237	289	327	615	90	283	20	6	276	69	-11	-1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
TOT	25	AAA	CWS	—	511	468	111	18	0	8	33	106	3	12	10	237	291	326	618	90	286	21	6	280	72	-16	-2	+0	-3	+14	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CWS	35%	365	334	81	13	1	7	26	77	2	7	4	243	301	350	651	108	291	21	7	292	82	-8	-0	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2027	26	MLB	CWS	35%	127	116	28	5	0	2	9	27	1	3	2	241	302	336	638	95	291	21	7	289	79	-3	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	147	135	32	6	0	2	10	31	1	3	2	237	295	326	620	89	291	21	7	288	79	-4	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	142	27	0	9	44	137	4	13	9	238	294	328	622	90	292	21	7	288	79	-16	-1	+0	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1736	1570	398	66	4	30	131	386	11	39	11	253	315	358	673	104	313	22	8	299	87	-26	+3	+0	-10	+49	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	149	25	1	11	49	144	4	15	4	253	315	355	670	102	314	22	8	299	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	176	160	43	9	1	3	16	31	0	1	0	269	335	394	729	125	317	18	9	328	109	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	356	300	92	24	2	4	42	61	5	6	1	307	401	440	841	133	361	17	12	369	141	+16	+1	—	—	+10	2.8
2025	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	45	39	13	0	0	1	5	10	1	1	2	333	422	410	832	77	429	22	11	381	150	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	390	342	91	19	1	4	43	59	0	10	1	266	348	363	711	96	309	15	11	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+11	1.4
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	81	64	17	0	0	2	12	12	2	2	0	266	397	359	757	94	283	15	15	340	119	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	64	23	2	0	0	18	9	0	8	0	359	500	391	891	31	411	11	22	411	173	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Connor (OGILVIE)	25	55	35	50	50	237/291/326	90	286	8	12	21%	6%	72	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vince Sinisi 2007 · AAA	25	51→54	43→45	46→45	46	245/294/359	114	295	9	8	20%	6%	82	+0.5	240/279/343	103	289	9	7	19%	5%	71	-0.3	242/274/333	92	287	8	4	19%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Drew Heid 2013 · AAA	25	48→57	41→45	47→50	50	233/299/327	93	279	9	14	20%	8%	76	+0.1	239/295/333	94	307	7	10	23%	7%	76	+0.0	254/306/346	92	329	6	9	23%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Alex Fernandez 2006 · AAA	25	51	43→40	47→45	41	253/281/358	105	295	11	10	19%	4%	76	+0.1	220/252/310	90	262	8	8	19%	4%	51	-1.7	193/220/260	67	226	5	2	17%	3%	22	-1.4
✕Adam Haseley 2021 · MLB	25	51→59	44→45	48→50	45	250/308/368	118	308	11	8	22%	6%	91	+1.1	218/271/317	99	270	10	14	22%	6%	62	-0.9	213/263/301	88	262	8	17	22%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Carlos Asuaje 2017 · MLB	25	51→54	42→45	49→45	45	244/293/358	114	298	8	8	21%	6%	81	+0.4	231/301/330	99	285	7	4	20%	8%	78	+0.2	221/302/314	93	273	6	1	20%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Darius Hill 2023 · AAA	25	55→59	42→45	45	42	268/302/375	107	321	9	7	19%	4%	89	+1.0	239/285/333	94	298	6	6	21%	6%	71	-0.3	223/275/307	84	284	4	4	22%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Danry Vasquez 2019 · AA	25	48→52	42→40	49→45	48	234/287/341	107	270	9	13	17%	6%	75	-0.0	231/287/384	153	284	18	19	25%	7%	87	+0.8	214/271/392	178	240	24	34	23%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Nate Spears 2009 · AAA	24	51→55	41→45	47→50	49	245/309/347	102	298	7	7	20%	7%	85	+0.7	226/293/337	111	268	10	10	18%	8%	76	+0.1	207/285/328	121	253	12	10	23%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Ramón Flores 2018 · MLB	26	52→58	42→45	51→50	53	252/323/356	104	299	9	10	18%	9%	94	+1.3	235/299/339	104	290	10	10	21%	8%	79	+0.3	217/277/297	79	272	8	6	22%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	45→52	43→45	47→50	45	223/278/334	111	280	10	12	24%	6%	69	-0.4	231/301/347	116	297	12	18	25%	8%	83	+0.6	235/312/350	115	301	12	22	24%	9%	85	+0.3
✕BJ Boyd 2018 · AAA	25	52→56	40→45	50	42	251/288/346	94	304	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0	242/284/328	86	299	6	10	20%	5%	69	-0.4	263/312/378	116	318	12	10	20%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Jesus Fabela 2019 · AAA	24	48→57	43→40	50	48	236/299/344	108	273	11	13	18%	6%	81	+0.4	252/311/347	95	321	9	10	23%	5%	86	+0.8	265/325/341	77	343	7	9	23%	5%	89	+0.8
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2008 · AA	25	50→51	41→45	48→50	54	240/321/342	102	296	8	12	21%	10%	90	+1.0	231/307/345	114	280	9	10	20%	9%	85	+0.7	228/305/344	116	272	9	8	19%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	24	53	41→40	46→40	48	251/310/357	107	318	8	6	23%	8%	89	+0.9	245/305/336	91	304	7	6	20%	8%	81	+0.4	242/298/321	79	289	7	2	18%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Bo Greenwell 2014 · AA	25	47→57	41→45	49→50	44	227/275/333	106	277	8	9	21%	6%	67	-0.5	214/271/312	98	265	8	11	22%	6%	61	-1.0	194/255/277	84	233	8	12	20%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Greg Garcia 2015 · MLB	25	50→54	40	49→50	45	236/306/331	95	310	7	11	25%	7%	81	+0.4	244/326/331	87	313	5	11	22%	9%	89	+1.0	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Chris Getz 2009 · AAA	25	53→56	41→40	49→60	50	258/306/357	100	285	9	14	13%	6%	86	+0.8	251/310/330	79	285	5	27	13%	7%	81	+0.4	250/313/303	53	285	1	34	12%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Daniel 2010 · AAA	25	48→53	43→45	50	41	233/281/344	111	304	11	14	26%	6%	72	-0.2	210/264/302	92	274	7	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	173/226/236	63	227	5	20	25%	6%	19	-2.5
✕Logan Schafer 2012 · AAA	25	54→56	40→45	50	49	255/310/356	101	292	6	14	15%	6%	88	+0.9	229/284/347	118	271	8	14	18%	6%	75	-0.0	218/276/342	124	261	8	13	19%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Ben Copeland 2009 · AAA	25	50→55	41→45	55	49	236/297/346	110	288	6	16	20%	8%	79	+0.3	240/291/351	111	300	8	19	21%	7%	79	+0.3	244/295/358	114	305	8	21	22%	6%	80	+0.2