Caden Connor — OGILVIE

Caden ConnorLF Charlotte Knights

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION430 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO89

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	53	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	176	160	43	9	1	3	16	31	0	1	0	269	335	394	729	125	317	18	9	328	108	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	356	300	92	24	2	4	42	61	5	6	1	307	401	440	841	133	361	17	12	369	136	+15	+1	—	—	+8	2.4
2025	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	45	39	13	0	0	1	5	10	1	1	2	333	422	410	832	77	429	22	11	381	144	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	390	342	91	19	1	4	43	59	0	10	1	266	348	363	711	96	309	15	11	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+8	1.2
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	81	64	17	0	0	2	12	12	2	2	0	266	397	359	757	94	283	15	15	340	117	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	64	23	2	0	0	18	9	0	8	0	359	500	391	891	31	411	11	22	411	164	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	30	3	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	100	229	133	362	33	154	33	14	179	7	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	176	165	37	6	1	3	11	44	0	1	0	224	273	327	600	103	286	25	6	261	63	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	356	314	83	19	1	4	28	88	5	6	1	264	334	369	704	105	329	25	8	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	45	40	12	0	0	1	4	12	1	1	2	300	378	375	753	75	391	27	9	306	93	-0	-1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	390	356	92	18	1	4	29	71	0	10	1	258	314	348	663	90	302	18	7	290	82	-8	+2	—	—	+8	0.2
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	81	68	18	0	0	2	8	17	2	2	0	265	359	353	712	88	282	21	10	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	30	3	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	100	229	133	362	33	158	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	480	120	25	2	7	38	131	5	7	1	250	312	354	666	104	322	25	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	532	460	135	33	3	7	58	92	5	7	1	293	379	424	802	130	346	17	11	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	539	139	20	1	7	48	116	3	21	3	258	322	338	660	80	312	19	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	599	509	144	21	1	7	78	90	3	21	3	283	381	369	751	86	327	15	13	340	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	31	3	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	97	229	129	358	32	154	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	484	120	25	2	7	38	131	5	7	1	248	312	351	663	103	315	25	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	543	139	20	1	7	48	116	3	21	3	256	322	335	657	79	307	19	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	31	3	1	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	97	229	129	358	32	154	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	484	120	25	2	7	38	131	5	7	1	248	312	351	663	103	315	25	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	543	139	20	1	7	48	116	3	21	3	256	322	335	657	79	307	19	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	CWS	—	430	394	90	17	1	5	26	86	3	14	7	228	281	315	596	86	274	20	6	265	65	-18	+0	+0	-5	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	CWS	—	46	41	10	2	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	244	311	366	677	122	290	22	9	299	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	CWS	—	384	341	89	18	1	6	34	61	3	14	7	261	333	372	706	111	296	16	9	315	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	CWS	10%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		282	20	10	276	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	272	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	CWS	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	272	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	CWS	—	440	403	92	17	1	5	27	88	3	14	7	228	282	313	594	84	274	20	6	265	65	-18	+0	+0	-5	+10	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	35%	365	335	79	14	1	6	25	74	2	9	4	236	293	337	630	101	284	20	7	284	78	-9	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	44%	388	354	84	15	1	7	28	79	3	9	4	237	299	345	643	107	284	20	7	287	80	-9	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	49%	401	365	86	16	1	7	30	83	3	9	4	236	299	342	641	107	284	21	7	288	81	-9	+0	-1	-4	+9	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	35%	127	116	27	5	0	2	9	26	1	3	1	233	294	328	621	95	284	20	7	280	78	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	44%	171	156	37	7	0	3	12	35	1	4	2	237	296	340	636	103	285	20	7	283	80	-4	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	49%	196	179	43	8	1	3	14	41	1	4	2	240	299	346	645	106	285	21	7	284	81	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	495	452	107	20	1	8	35	102	3	11	5	237	296	338	634	102	287	21	7	282	82	-12	+0	-0	-5	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	140	26	1	11	46	134	4	14	7	236	295	338	634	103	285	21	7	282	82	-15	+0	-0	-7	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2331	2112	513	91	6	34	175	497	16	55	16	243	306	340	646	97	299	21	8	289	82	-28	+1	-1	-12	+25	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	143	25	2	9	49	139	4	15	4	243	305	338	643	95	300	21	8	289	82	-16	+0	-0	-7	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	526	9	12	237	294	340	-3	+0	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	11	16	-4.2	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Connor (OGILVIE)	25	55	35	50	50	231/287/317	87	282	4	9	20%	7%	73	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darius Hill 2023 · AAA	25	55→58	41→40	45	43	264/299/365	101	313	8	7	18%	4%	86	+0.3	237/283/327	90	296	5	6	20%	6%	72	-0.7	221/273/301	80	283	3	4	22%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Buck Coats 2007 · MLB	25	51→57	39→40	52→55	43	241/285/329	88	303	6	16	22%	5%	74	-0.6	254/297/350	96	313	7	17	20%	5%	83	+0.1	261/304/356	95	316	7	19	19%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Francisco Ferreiro 2019 · AAA	25	46→54	41→40	46→45	44	224/272/328	104	278	8	11	22%	6%	69	-0.9	240/283/335	95	309	6	8	23%	5%	74	-0.6	250/289/334	85	322	3	5	22%	5%	73	-0.5
✕John Mora 2018 · AAA	25	47→50	38→40	47→50	45	223/281/308	85	291	4	11	24%	7%	68	-1.0	213/268/306	93	291	6	9	27%	6%	62	-1.4	200/254/302	102	272	6	5	27%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Max Schrock 2020 · AAA	25	48→58	39→40	49→50	48	227/279/311	85	261	6	13	16%	6%	68	-1.0	234/280/345	111	282	11	10	20%	6%	76	-0.4	242/288/358	115	286	12	3	19%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Drew Heid 2013 · AAA	25	49→57	40→45	47→50	50	233/298/319	86	279	8	14	19%	8%	77	-0.3	237/294/327	90	303	6	10	22%	7%	77	-0.3	250/304/341	90	323	5	9	23%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jordan Smith 2015 · AA	25	51→58	38→40	46→50	45	241/283/328	86	292	4	9	19%	5%	72	-0.7	224/275/314	90	287	6	13	23%	6%	66	-1.1	218/272/304	86	281	6	15	24%	6%	60	-1.2
✕Alex Fernandez 2006 · AAA	25	52	42→40	47→45	42	252/282/351	99	294	10	10	18%	4%	77	-0.3	220/254/307	87	261	7	8	18%	4%	57	-1.8	194/221/258	64	226	4	2	16%	3%	31	-1.4
✕Danry Vasquez 2019 · AA	25	48→53	42→40	49→45	48	232/283/339	107	267	9	13	17%	6%	76	-0.4	231/289/381	150	281	17	19	24%	7%	88	+0.5	218/278/387	169	244	22	34	21%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Austin Krum 2011 · AA	25	48→50	38→40	49→50	48	226/291/305	79	287	5	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	228/289/304	76	294	4	18	22%	7%	70	-0.9	233/293/297	65	302	2	23	22%	7%	68	-1.0
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	46→52	42→45	47→50	45	224/276/333	109	278	10	12	23%	6%	72	-0.7	228/299/343	115	294	12	18	25%	8%	83	+0.1	231/309/344	113	297	12	22	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Davis Bradshaw 2023 · AA	25	55	36→40	48→50	44	258/312/328	70	321	3	13	20%	5%	83	+0.1	253/307/329	76	327	5	10	23%	5%	82	-0.0	272/323/345	74	355	5	3	23%	4%	88	+0.3
✕James Cooper 2009 · AA	25	53→57	38→40	46→45	46	248/312/331	82	295	4	9	17%	6%	84	+0.2	234/298/316	82	273	4	8	15%	6%	76	-0.4	228/293/300	72	258	2	3	11%	5%	67	-0.5
✕BJ Boyd 2018 · AAA	25	54→58	39→45	50	43	260/297/350	91	312	6	11	19%	5%	82	+0.0	244/285/327	83	303	5	10	20%	5%	73	-0.6	262/311/374	111	319	11	10	20%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Ben Copeland 2009 · AAA	25	50→52	41→45	55	49	237/297/345	109	288	6	16	20%	8%	82	-0.0	236/287/344	108	293	7	19	21%	6%	78	-0.3	237/288/347	109	294	8	21	21%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jake Peter 2018 · AAA	25	50→55	40	48→50	42	239/287/328	90	315	8	10	26%	6%	74	-0.5	201/269/299	98	296	9	7	33%	8%	62	-1.4	167/247/258	91	253	9	4	35%	9%	43	-1.6
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2018 · AA	26	53→55	38→40	50	48	249/308/338	89	309	4	12	20%	7%	84	+0.2	236/301/315	79	319	4	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/295	61	335	3	10	28%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Alan Sanchez 2015 · AAA	26	55→59	38→40	48→50	43	263/300/343	80	326	5	12	21%	5%	82	-0.0	257/295/333	76	318	4	12	19%	5%	78	-0.3	266/302/333	67	323	3	12	18%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Vince Sinisi 2007 · AAA	25	51→54	42→45	46→45	47	246/295/356	110	294	8	8	19%	6%	84	+0.1	240/279/342	102	288	9	7	19%	5%	74	-0.5	242/274/333	92	287	8	4	19%	4%	69	-0.4
✕James Rapoport 2011 · AAA	26	52→54	37→40	49→55	50	243/301/317	73	289	4	11	17%	7%	76	-0.4	229/300/297	68	267	5	9	15%	8%	72	-0.7	216/300/254	37	247	3	7	13%	9%	60	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps