Bryant Mendez — OGILVIE

Bryant MendezSS ACL Mariners

Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 87 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .264 / .291

PA87

HR1

K%34

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	62	56	7	1	0	1	4	31	2	5	0	125	210	196	406	71	250	50	6	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	62	53	10	2	0	1	7	21	2	5	0	189	306	283	589	94	290	34	11	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	162	144	21	3	0	3	12	62	4	7	4	146	231	229	460	83	222	38	7	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	162	135	31	5	0	5	21	41	4	7	4	230	350	378	728	148	286	25	13	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	30	26	0	0	0	0	3	25	1	4	0		133		133			83	10	87	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	30	25	2	0	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	80	233	80	313		250	57	13	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	153	136	19	6	1	0	7	64	6	9	3	140	215	199	413	59	250	42	5	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	153	133	27	9	2	0	10	43	6	9	3	203	289	301	589	98	287	28	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	159	139	29	4	2	1	15	58	3	12	1	209	299	288	587	79	341	36	9	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	159	130	33	6	2	1	24	40	3	12	1	254	382	354	736	100	352	25	15	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	ROK	SEA	—	45	39	4	1	1	0	6	26	0	1	1	103	222	179	402	77	308	58	13	166	-15	-6	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
YTD	22	ROK	SEA	—	45	35	5	1	1	0	10	18	0	1	1	143	333	229	562	86	294	40	22	280	72	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	22	ROK	SEA	0%	87	79	15	3	1	1	7	30	1	2	1	190	264	291	556	101	274	34	8	235	38	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	225	30	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	ROK	SEA	—	45	40	4	1	1	0	6	26	0	1	1	100	222	175	397	75	286	58	13	166	-15	-6	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
TOT	22	ROK	SEA	—	132	118	19	4	2	1	13	56	1	3	2	161	250	254	504	93	295	42	10	211	20	-12	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	198	177	32	6	1	2	17	65	2	4	1	181	260	260	520	79	274	33	9	246	47	-12	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	306	274	52	10	2	4	26	98	3	7	2	190	267	285	552	95	277	32	8	256	54	-16	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	68	61	11	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	180	265	262	527	82	272	32	9	236	39	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	141	126	24	4	1	2	12	45	2	3	1	190	271	286	557	95	274	32	9	245	46	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	209	188	35	6	1	3	18	67	3	4	1	186	269	277	546	90	269	32	9	242	44	-13	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	109	19	3	9	56	208	9	12	3	186	269	275	544	89	270	32	9	242	44	-41	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	1157	1031	175	33	7	12	91	433	22	50	12	170	252	250	502	81	273	37	8	228	33	-88	+5	+0	+12	+33	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	99	19	4	7	51	243	12	28	7	171	252	254	506	83	275	37	8	228	33	-49	+3	+0	+7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	62	53	10	2	0	1	7	21	2	5	0	189	306	283	589	94	290	34	11	280	72	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	162	135	31	5	0	5	21	41	4	7	4	230	350	378	728	148	286	25	13	330	111	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	30	25	2	0	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	80	233	80	313		250	57	13	178	-6	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	153	133	27	9	2	0	10	43	6	9	3	203	289	301	589	98	287	28	7	266	62	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	159	130	33	6	2	1	24	40	3	12	1	254	382	354	736	100	352	25	15	338	117	+3	+2	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	341	4	7	188	261	275	+4	+6	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	7	14	188	261	275	+7.1	+11.7	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryant Mendez (OGILVIE)	22	35	25	60	55	161/250/254	93	295	1	3	42%	10%	20	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2023 · A	22	43	38→30	53→65	39	207/262/284	76	294	6	16	30%	6%	50	-1.8	189/252/255	66	280	5	26	32%	7%	38	-2.6	193/265/244	51	275	3	50	28%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Javeon Cody 2021 · A	22	42	36→30	52→55	45	191/268/261	70	302	3	14	35%	9%	46	-2.0	189/259/248	59	359	2	14	43%	8%	39	-2.5	165/239/208	43	330	1	18	46%	8%	18	-1.2
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	46	-2.0	217/272/277	60	282	3	17	23%	6%	51	-1.7	231/276/282	51	286	2	23	19%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Dalvy Rosario 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	54→55	42	197/258/274	77	271	6	14	29%	7%	45	-2.1	193/239/285	92	285	9	19	34%	5%	40	-2.4	182/224/268	86	273	9	22	35%	4%	27	-2.1
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Sander Mora 2022 · A	21	39	37→30	52→55	44	185/262/260	74	275	5	12	32%	8%	44	-2.1	178/254/260	82	312	7	9	41%	9%	41	-2.3	127/218/192	65	228	7	11	43%	10%	7	-1.9
✕Nate Easley 2018 · A	22	42	39→45	52→50	43	203/263/292	90	285	6	13	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/246/293	98	305	8	11	36%	6%	45	-2.1	199/245/313	114	286	9	10	33%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Jamaal Hawkins 2011 · A	22	38	36→30	49→50	41	183/246/248	65	273	3	9	32%	7%	33	-2.9	196/260/265	69	313	3	10	35%	6%	44	-2.1	185/252/246	60	307	1	12	37%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Robert Del Rosario 2013 · A	21	40	36→40	53→55	45	191/251/257	67	255	4	15	26%	7%	38	-2.6	212/263/277	65	287	3	13	26%	6%	47	-1.9	226/270/269	43	303	0	17	24%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Felix Cabrera 2011 · A	22	35	34→30	51→50	44	165/257/217	52	256	1	15	33%	8%	32	-3.0	196/250/265	69	281	4	13	29%	6%	39	-2.5	220/261/284	65	299	3	19	26%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	41	35→30	48→45	45	195/266/257	62	273	3	7	28%	7%	45	-2.1	203/255/264	61	295	4	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	191/241/233	42	275	3	1	30%	5%	24	-1.1
✕Reidy Mercado 2023 · A	22	40	35→30	54→60	38	186/241/238	52	298	2	17	36%	6%	28	-3.2	187/236/245	58	305	3	23	37%	6%	27	-3.3	164/209/207	43	271	1	36	38%	5%	3	-1.2
✕Esney Chacon 2022 · A	22	43	35→30	50→55	44	198/266/252	54	294	2	9	31%	8%	43	-2.2	199/251/258	59	314	3	9	35%	6%	37	-2.6	200/246/248	48	310	1	9	34%	6%	29	-1.4
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2022 · A	22	35→40	38→30	52→50	37	178/220/253	75	254	6	16	32%	5%	23	-3.6	167/212/234	67	249	5	11	33%	5%	15	-4.1	147/192/199	52	218	4	9	33%	5%	-6	-2.3
✕Edison Mora 2023 · A	22	44	39→30	52→45	39	206/270/287	81	302	6	9	32%	6%	54	-1.4	185/237/289	104	329	9	8	44%	5%	40	-2.4	121/168/226	105	222	11	7	49%	4%	-6	-1.8
✕Arlon Quiroz 2009 · A	22	43	37→30	53→55	44	202/268/271	69	295	4	18	31%	8%	49	-1.8	201/265/261	60	319	2	17	34%	8%	44	-2.1	187/255/228	41	304	0	24	35%	8%	30	-1.7
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Rehiner Cordova 2016 · A	22	45	34→30	51→40	42	208/265/255	47	292	2	7	28%	6%	43	-2.2	194/264/251	57	258	4	7	24%	8%	43	-2.2	148/238/154	7	189	0	2	19%	10%	4	-1.3