Bryant Mendez — OGILVIE

Bryant MendezSS ACL Mariners

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .257 / .257

PA58

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	62	53	10	2	0	1	7	21	2	5	0	189	306	283	589	94	290	34	11	280	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	162	135	31	5	0	5	21	41	4	7	4	230	350	378	728	148	286	25	13	330	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	30	25	2	0	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	80	233	80	313		250	57	13	178	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	153	133	27	9	2	0	10	43	6	9	3	203	289	301	589	98	287	28	7	266	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	159	130	33	6	2	1	24	40	3	12	1	254	382	354	736	100	352	25	15	338	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	54	41	7	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	1	171	370	244	614	73	333	37	22	306	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	62	55	6	1	0	0	5	26	2	5	0	109	210	127	337	18	192	42	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	142	19	3	0	2	14	51	4	7	4	134	231	197	428	63	177	31	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	30	27	0	0	0	0	2	25	1	4	0		100		100		207	83	7	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	153	137	18	6	1	0	6	63	6	9	3	131	201	190	391	58	214	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	159	140	27	4	2	1	14	58	3	12	1	193	280	271	552	79	296	36	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	54	46	5	1	1	0	7	29	1	3	1	109	241	174	415	65	255	54	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	62	55	6	1	0	0	5	26	2	5	0	109	210	127	337	18	207	42	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	62	53	10	2	0	1	7	21	2	5	0	189	306	283	589	94	290	34	11	280	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	142	19	3	0	2	14	51	4	7	4	134	231	197	428	63	187	31	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	162	135	31	5	0	5	21	41	4	7	4	230	350	378	728	148	286	25	13	330	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	30	27	0	0	0	0	2	25	1	4	0		100		100			83	7	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	30	25	2	0	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	80	233	80	313		250	57	13	178	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	153	137	18	6	1	0	6	63	6	9	3	131	201	190	391	58	231	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	153	133	27	9	2	0	10	43	6	9	3	203	289	301	589	98	287	28	7	266	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	159	140	27	4	2	1	14	58	3	12	1	193	280	271	552	79	313	36	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	159	130	33	6	2	1	24	40	3	12	1	254	382	354	736	100	352	25	15	338	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	54	46	5	1	1	0	7	29	1	3	1	109	241	174	415	65	294	54	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	54	41	7	1	1	0	12	20	1	3	1	171	370	244	614	73	333	37	22	306	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	62	55	6	1	0	0	5	26	2	5	0	109	210	127	337	18	192	42	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	143	19	3	0	2	14	51	4	7	4	133	231	196	427	63	177	31	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	30	27	0	0	0	0	2	25	1	4	0		100		100		207	83	7	87	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	153	140	18	6	1	0	6	63	6	9	3	129	201	186	387	57	214	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	159	141	27	4	2	1	14	58	3	12	1	191	280	270	550	78	296	36	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	54	46	5	1	1	0	7	29	1	3	1	109	241	174	415	65	255	54	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	153	140	18	6	1	0	6	63	6	9	3	129	201	186	387	57	214	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	159	141	27	4	2	1	14	58	3	12	1	191	280	270	550	78	296	36	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	54	46	5	1	1	0	7	29	1	3	1	109	241	174	415	65	255	54	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	164	148	27	5	1	1	13	52	2	3	1	185	259	260	519	75	272	32	8	240	48	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	131	118	22	4	1	1	10	41	2	3	1	190	264	275	539	84	274	31	8	248	54	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	189	263	271	534	83	272	31	8	246	54	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	250	31	8	246	26	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	17	0	0	50	200	0	17	0	167	231	195	426	28	250	31	8	246	26	-36	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	809	717	106	21	5	4	63	311	20	44	10	148	236	208	444	60	248	38	8	206	26	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	85	17	4	3	51	250	16	35	8	148	236	207	443	59	248	38	8	206	26	-37	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryant Mendez (OGILVIE)	23	35	25	60	55	183/257/257	74	272	0	1	31%	8%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2024 · A	23	40	37→30	54→65	40	193/252/263	71	286	6	16	33%	7%	47	-2.5	190/254/251	61	269	4	36	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/252/236	50	259	3	50	27%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	41	182/272/238	56	294	3	13	36%	8%	51	-2.3	219/275/280	61	286	3	17	23%	6%	59	-1.7	236/283/288	52	293	2	23	19%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Logan Warmoth 2019 · A	23	45→40	36→40	54→55	42	210/273/279	69	305	3	10	30%	7%	58	-1.7	197/270/274	77	317	4	14	36%	8%	57	-1.8	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Jordan Serena 2016 · A	23	39→44	35→30	55→50	38	181/249/242	60	280	2	18	34%	6%	41	-3.0	192/247/255	63	293	3	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	184/238/241	57	282	3	9	34%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	40→50	36→30	55→45	44	191/256/256	65	252	3	14	24%	6%	47	-2.5	215/255/269	54	276	3	10	22%	4%	48	-2.5	230/269/285	55	290	2	9	21%	4%	55	-1.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	190/248/269	79	262	6	11	29%	7%	47	-2.6	198/262/281	83	345	5	9	41%	6%	55	-1.9	143/230/226	84	291	4	14	47%	8%	31	-0.7
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→40	51→60	41	196/255/270	74	297	4	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	190/255/251	61	300	3	21	35%	7%	45	-2.7	179/240/281	102	263	9	30	34%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Kyle McPherson 2019 · A	23	44→41	38→30	52→50	41	207/258/290	83	282	4	8	27%	6%	55	-2.0	204/262/273	69	290	3	10	29%	6%	53	-2.1	194/253/253	59	274	2	11	28%	6%	42	-2.2
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Karson Simas 2024 · A	23	36→40	35→30	53→60	35	169/231/229	59	300	3	15	42%	6%	31	-3.7	190/248/259	69	299	5	23	36%	6%	45	-2.7	190/247/257	67	289	5	34	34%	6%	40	-1.6
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	180/221/239	59	277	4	20	36%	5%	28	-3.9	199/250/264	65	325	4	24	37%	6%	46	-2.6	197/255/255	58	327	4	28	38%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Brandon Loy 2013 · A	23	43→42	36→30	52→50	40	203/248/269	66	285	3	11	29%	6%	45	-2.7	196/256/258	62	274	3	13	27%	7%	47	-2.6	164/248/199	35	239	0	15	28%	9%	30	-1.7
✕Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. 2024 · A	23	40→39	38→40	57→60	41	192/257/274	83	287	5	20	33%	7%	51	-2.2	194/250/269	75	290	5	28	33%	6%	47	-2.5	190/245/259	69	282	5	35	33%	6%	41	-2.0
✕Dwayne Bailey 2010 · A	23	44	35→30	54→50	41	203/267/261	59	320	3	13	35%	7%	52	-2.2	208/266/269	61	305	2	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	209/266/261	52	300	1	13	29%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	42	35→40	51→55	43	197/259/263	67	264	2	11	25%	6%	50	-2.3	194/237/265	71	300	3	8	34%	4%	41	-3.0	162/195/205	44	254	0	8	35%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Armand Gaerlan 2006 · A	23	46	38→30	54→55	44	217/276/297	81	294	5	16	27%	7%	63	-1.3	203/255/315	112	264	10	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	123/164/268	145	133	14	3	22%	4%	13	-0.8