Bryant MendezSS ACL Mariners
Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 165 lbs ROK HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.9 · 2030
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .273 / .298
PA132
HR2
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3535
PWR
2525
SPD
6060
EYE
4655
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2030

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.8$4M+$3M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.7$3M+$2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.5$3M+$2M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M+0.2$1M+$0.4M
2036Ext / FA-deal$5M
2037Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $9M $9M +$0.0M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Mariners 6256 7101 4302 50 .125.210.196.406 .071.240 486 .173 -9 -8 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.4
202218 ROKDSL Mariners 162144 21303 12624 74 .146.231.229.460 .083.222 387 .217 24 -14 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.8
202319 ROKACL Mariners 3026 0000 3251 40 .000.133.000.133 .000.000 8310 .086 -76 -6 +1 +0 +0 +1 -0.4
202420 ROKACL Mariners 153136 19610 7646 93 .140.215.199.413 .059.250 425 .177 -6 -18 +1 +0 +2 +4 -1.2
202521 ROKACL Mariners 159139 28421 15583 121 .201.293.281.574 .079.329 369 .253 52 -9 +2 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBSEA 132118 24412 11412 31 .203.282.305.588 .102.284 318 .263 59 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 11%SEA 198177 37714 17592 41 .209.286.328.613 .119.286 309 .276 70 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
202824 MLB 26%SEA 306272 581126 27884 72 .213.294.335.628 .121.287 299 .284 76 -8 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.4
202925 MLB 43%SEA 371331 711328 331054 92 .215.293.338.632 .124.288 289 .289 80 -9 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.7
203026 MLB 58%SEA 414368 801529 381175 102 .217.299.342.642 .125.289 289 .292 82 -9 +1 +0 +4 +12 0.9
203127 MLB 76%SEA 434386 8416210 401235 102 .218.299.347.646 .130.289 289 .292 82 -9 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.9
203228 MLB 84%SEA 442393 8516210 411265 102 .216.298.344.642 .127.288 299 .291 81 -10 +1 -1 +5 +13 0.8
203329 MLBSEA 440391 8315210 411265 102 .212.295.338.633 .125.287 299 .289 79 -10 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.7
203430 MLBSEA 436387 811529 411275 101 .209.293.328.621 .119.286 299 .286 77 -11 +2 -2 +5 +12 0.5
203531 MLBSEA 425377 791529 401255 81 .210.294.332.625 .122.284 299 .282 74 -13 +1 -3 +5 +12 0.2
203632 MLBSEA 409364 751428 381234 80 .206.288.321.610 .115.283 309 .277 70 -14 +2 -4 +4 +12 0.0
203733 MLBSEA 380338 681227 351174 70 .201.284.311.594 .109.281 319 .272 66 -15 +1 -4 +4 +11 -0.3
203834 MLBSEA 336299 601126 311063 60 .201.282.311.593 .110.279 329 .266 61 -15 +1 -5 +4 +10 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 52894702 96017827103 474162269 13924 .204.287.319.606 .115.285 319 .275 68 -189 +18 -20 +57 +150 1.6
/ 162G 650578 11822313 581998 173 .204.285.320.605 .116.284 319 .275 68 -23 +2 -2 +7 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Mariners 6253 10201 7212 50 .189.306.283.589 .094.290 3411 .280 72 -2 +1 +2 0.1
202218 ROKDSL Mariners 162135 31505 21414 74 .230.350.378.728 .148.286 2513 .330 111 +2 -0 +5 0.6
202319 ROKACL Mariners 3025 2000 4171 40 .080.233.080.313 .000.250 5713 .178 -6 -4 +1 +1 -0.2
202420 ROKACL Mariners 153133 27920 10436 93 .203.289.301.589 .098.287 287 .266 62 -7 +1 +4 -0.2
202521 ROKACL Mariners 159130 33621 24403 121 .254.382.354.736 .100.352 2515 .338 117 +3 +2 +5 1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Bryant Mendez (OGILVIE) 22 35 25 60 55 .199/.273/.298 .099.284 23 31% 8% 59 -0.2
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 41 39→40 49→40 40 .198/.263/.282 .084.277 67 29% 6% 50 -1.7 .218/.296/.304 .086.283 84 24% 7% 70 -0.3 .219/.302/.289.070.2807122%7%69-0.2
Ronaldo Urdaneta
2021 · A
22 44 39→40 53→60 40 .210/.265/.300 .090.306 614 32% 6% 54 -1.4 .187/.266/.264 .077.308 622 38% 8% 47 -1.9 .145/.239/.202.057.24353339%9%19-1.1
Christian Cairo
2023 · A
22 40→47 39→40 53→60 49 .186/.290/.271 .084.288 716 34% 11% 60 -1.0 .204/.296/.285 .081.295 522 29% 10% 66 -0.6 .215/.301/.289.073.31043529%9%66-0.3
Corey Joyce
2021 · A
22 44 40→45 50 40 .212/.268/.307 .095.307 88 32% 6% 58 -1.2 .203/.290/.313 .110.295 1112 32% 9% 70 -0.3 .212/.315/.318.105.30191429%10%80+0.2
Kier Meredith
2022 · A
22 43 37→30 51→60 45 .202/.271/.271 .070.286 411 29% 8% 50 -1.7 .211/.307/.281 .070.293 426 27% 8% 69 -0.4 .229/.340/.278.049.30533522%10%80+0.1
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 42→40 46→45 48 .209/.289/.317 .108.281 96 28% 9% 70 -0.3 .221/.304/.311 .090.312 86 29% 9% 75 -0.0 .236/.329/.308.072.3307628%11%83+0.2
Brett Martinez
2006 · A
22 44→41 41→40 54→50 45 .211/.283/.308 .098.289 88 28% 8% 66 -0.6 .203/.263/.271 .068.282 57 28% 7% 46 -2.0 .197/.253/.247.050.2725528%6%34-1.9
Blake Rambusch
2023 · A
23 47 37→30 52→60 42 .219/.287/.296 .076.318 413 30% 7% 63 -0.8 .226/.311/.291 .065.315 328 26% 9% 72 -0.2 .233/.319/.287.055.31123723%9%71-0.1
Chris Roller
2019 · A
22 40 41→45 51→55 43 .194/.269/.295 .102.283 813 32% 8% 56 -1.3 .206/.272/.316 .110.289 812 30% 7% 63 -0.9 .179/.267/.290.111.261111933%9%54-0.8
Kyler Fedko
2022 · A
22 46→42 39→45 51→55 44 .214/.283/.297 .083.316 610 32% 8% 62 -0.9 .207/.288/.315 .108.274 1010 26% 9% 69 -0.4 .192/.284/.327.135.243172127%10%69-0.2
Ismael Alcantara
2021 · A
22 42→30 38→45 56→50 41 .197/.266/.279 .082.311 516 36% 8% 50 -1.7 .214/.271/.343 .129.318 1313 35% 6% 69 -0.4 .203/.261/.318.115.298121635%6%54-0.8
Juan Mora
2022 · A
22 46 44→45 55 46 .222/.297/.343 .121.288 1115 26% 8% 81 +0.4 .226/.283/.335 .109.306 109 28% 5% 72 -0.2 .220/.277/.325.105.29210827%5%65-0.3
Tanner Schobel
2023 · A
22 45→43 39→45 52→50 47 .213/.289/.298 .085.295 613 28% 9% 66 -0.6 .202/.272/.312 .110.268 1110 27% 8% 62 -0.9 .192/.264/.305.113.252121028%8%54-1.1
David Martin
2023 · A
22 45 39→30 49→30 42 .213/.285/.304 .091.300 67 29% 6% 66 -0.6 .223/.305/.293 .070.278 54 20% 9% 71 -0.3 .243/.334/.302.059.2915116%10%83+0.3
Taylor Krick
2011 · A
23 43 39→30 48→40 49 .206/.285/.289 .084.266 77 24% 9% 62 -0.9 .224/.308/.287 .063.307 45 26% 8% 71 -0.3 .233/.323/.283.051.3262226%8%73-0.0
Francisco Acuna
2022 · A
22 39→47 39→40 48→50 44 .186/.276/.275 .089.270 610 31% 8% 56 -1.3 .202/.273/.299 .097.277 711 28% 6% 59 -1.1 .213/.285/.313.100.28291626%7%64-0.4
Glenn Santiago
2023 · A
22 41 41→40 46→45 40 .203/.258/.301 .098.286 88 31% 6% 52 -1.6 .200/.266/.289 .089.294 89 32% 7% 53 -1.5 .183/.256/.260.077.2697832%8%40-1.1
Nelson Medina
2023 · A
22 43 40→45 53→50 45 .200/.283/.296 .096.311 613 35% 9% 63 -0.9 .179/.243/.268 .089.342 713 46% 7% 38 -2.6 .138/.200/.215.077.28161650%7%4-1.7
Mike Martin
2016 · A
23 41 35→30 52→55 42 .188/.277/.248 .060.302 312 35% 8% 49 -1.8 .222/.280/.282 .060.288 317 22% 6% 56 -1.3 .244/.292/.297.053.29922318%5%62-0.3
Edison Mora
2023 · A
22 44 39→30 52→45 41 .207/.273/.290 .083.299 69 31% 6% 56 -1.3 .186/.239/.290 .104.325 98 43% 5% 42 -2.3 .128/.174/.234.106.23211749%4%-2-1.7