Joe Rock
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 26
LHP
6'6" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96105vR 114
ERA4.17
FIP4.17
K%19.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p6327.4%
K%
p5222.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.390
FB (67%)
CH (7%)
SI (47%)
SL (26%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 37.9% | 3.4% | 34.5% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 0.33 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 37.9% | 3.4% | 34.5% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 0.73 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 116 | 492 | 120 | 49 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 4.82 | 3.91 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 116 | 492 | 120 | 49 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 4.82 | 3.64 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 93 | 408 | 112 | 34 | 14 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 4.66 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 93 | 408 | 112 | 34 | 14 | 100% | 4.6 | 27.5% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 27 | 23 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 35 | 17 | 85% | 5.2 | 19.0% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 27 | 23 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 35 | 17 | 85% | 5.2 | 21.6% | 5.7% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 15 | 104 | 453 | 99 | 41 | 17 | 43% | 3.0 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 5.00 | 4.09 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 15 | 104 | 453 | 99 | 41 | 17 | 43% | 3.0 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 4.50 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 36 | 6 | 52 | 271 | 80 | 54 | 5 | 17% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 20.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 5.37 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TB | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TB | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TB | — | — | 93 | 444 | 114 | 71 | 10 | — | — | 25.8% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.84 | 4.41 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TB | — | — | 51 | 216 | 114 | 71 | 10 | — | — | 52.9% | 33.0% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 8.78 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TB | 72 | 0 | 75 | 317 | 62 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TB | 69 | 0 | 73 | 307 | 60 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TB | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 58 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TB | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 57 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 180 | 0 | 199 | 854 | 174 | 91 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 0 | 200 | 856 | 175 | 91 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 88 | 512 | 2264 | 464 | 231 | 56 | 61% | 3.6 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 4.02 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 34 | 200 | 884 | 181 | 90 | 22 | 61% | 3.6 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Rock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.58 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 148 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 74 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 73 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.39 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.2% | .270 | 5.11 | 12.6% | 1.9% | 129 | +1.72 | 3.39 | 261 | 70 |
| Hunter Barco L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 69 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 68 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 68 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 67 |
| Matt Walker L 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 67 |
| Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 66 |
| Chaz Hebert L 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.51 | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 167 | 66 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 65 |
| Rito Lugo L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 65 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 65 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 65 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.39 | 18.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.13 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 87 | +0.74 | 3.39 | 300 | 65 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 64 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .418 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 153 | 64 |
| Joe Adametz L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 236 | 63 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 135 | 63 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 1.04 | 4.55 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |