Alejandro Osuna

LF Texas Rangers

Age 24 L/L 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR +15%BB +5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AATEX	265	.306/.380/.523	9	7	105	—	.264/.323/.438
2025	22	MLBTEX	176	.212/.316/.278	2	5	70	-0.8
2026	23	MLBTEX	233	.260/.349/.304	1	5	92	-0.2
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	353	.252/.335/.350	5	14	97	0.5
2028PROJ82% MLB	25	MLBTEX	408	.255/.338/.360	7	16	100	0.7
2029PROJ82% MLB	26	MLBTEX	441	.256/.339/.365	8	17	101	0.8

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$3M2029Arb-3$5M2030Arb-4$8M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed76

xwOBA57

Bat Spd49

Avg EV31

CompsSal Frelick (age 24) · Tony Kemp (age 24) · Richie Palacios (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .335 / .350

PA353

HR5

SB14

K%17

BB%9

BABIP296

ISO96

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.0%

xAVG

610.260

POWER45

Barrel%

102.9

Avg EV

3187.7

Bat Spd

4971.2

EYE55

Chase%

9012.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

7628.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.2M
2029	Arb-3	$5M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-4	$8M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$10M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	243	201	45	14	0	6	34	74	5	17	5	224	350	383	733	159	320	30	14	331	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	INTL	Mexico	—	86	66	18	5	0	1	15	18	2	2	2	273	422	394	816	121	354	21	17	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	89	78	22	2	0	1	6	17	0	2	3	282	329	346	676	64	328	19	7	292	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	320	273	84	13	1	8	36	51	5	32	15	308	398	451	849	143	350	16	11	375	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	303	247	64	14	1	5	46	67	5	16	5	259	386	385	771	126	330	22	15	348	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	16	14	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	214	312	214	527		250	12	6	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	265	235	72	18	3	9	22	57	6	7	3	306	380	523	904	217	371	22	8	394	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	196	173	47	6	2	9	14	52	4	10	3	272	340	486	826	214	336	27	7	355	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	121	98	30	8	0	2	22	26	1	2	0	306	438	449	887	143	400	21	18	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	176	151	32	4	0	2	21	34	2	5	4	212	316	278	594	66	256	19	12	278	70	-6	-1	+0	-5	+4	-0.8
2025	22	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	67	48	14	6	0	0	16	10	3	4	3	292	493	417	909	125	368	15	24	423	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	169	146	39	6	2	2	13	25	7	10	2	267	355	377	732	110	306	15	8	329	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	72	56	19	2	1	0	15	9	1	8	3	339	486	411	897	71	404	12	21	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	233	204	53	6	0	1	19	37	9	5	2	260	349	304	653	44	313	16	8	306	92	-2	+0	-0	-5	+5	-0.2
2026	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	217	181	51	12	0	2	28	23	3	10	3	282	387	381	768	99	308	11	13	345	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	409	355	85	10	0	3	40	71	11	10	6	239	335	293	628	54	290	17	10	294	85	-7	-0	+0	-10	+9	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	243	212	38	11	0	5	23	99	5	17	5	179	275	302	577	123	290	41	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	89	81	19	2	0	1	4	22	0	2	3	235	271	296	567	62	272	25	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	320	284	78	11	1	7	25	68	5	32	15	275	344	394	738	120	324	21	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	303	265	56	12	1	5	28	90	5	16	5	211	299	321	619	109	282	30	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	265	242	64	15	3	7	15	69	6	7	3	264	323	438	761	174	332	26	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	196	179	38	4	2	8	8	69	4	10	3	212	262	391	653	179	278	35	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	176	152	32	4	0	2	20	34	2	5	4	211	310	276	587	66	256	19	11	271	70	-6	-1	+0	-5	+4	-0.8
2025	22	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	67	52	14	6	0	0	12	11	3	4	3	269	433	385	817	115	351	16	18	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	169	150	38	5	2	2	9	31	7	10	2	253	325	353	679	100	294	18	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	233	204	53	6	0	1	19	37	9	5	2	260	349	304	653	44	313	16	8	304	92	-2	+0	-0	-5	+5	-0.2
2026	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	217	189	52	11	0	2	20	28	3	10	3	275	354	365	719	90	296	13	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	329	284	50	15	0	6	32	134	7	19	7	176	276	292	568	116	301	41	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	329	267	63	19	0	7	49	92	7	19	7	236	368	386	754	150	329	28	15	340	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	409	365	97	13	1	8	29	91	5	34	18	266	328	373	701	107	326	22	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	409	351	106	15	1	9	42	68	5	34	18	302	383	427	811	125	345	17	10	357	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	319	278	58	12	1	5	30	95	6	16	5	209	299	313	612	104	291	30	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	319	261	67	14	1	5	47	69	6	16	5	257	382	375	758	119	325	22	15	344	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	582	535	127	25	5	18	29	174	11	19	6	237	290	404	694	166	316	30	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	582	506	149	32	5	20	58	135	11	19	6	294	379	496	875	202	365	23	10	382	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	484	418	99	19	3	4	48	90	13	27	12	237	334	325	659	89	290	19	10	299	88	-7	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.1
2025	22	MLB RAW	4 teams	—	484	401	104	18	3	4	65	78	13	27	12	259	380	349	729	90	310	16	13	336	88	-7	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.1
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	393	103	17	0	2	39	65	12	15	5	262	347	321	667	59	307	14	9	309	95	-3	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.3
2026	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	450	385	104	18	0	3	47	60	12	15	5	270	367	340	707	70	311	13	10	325	95	-3	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.3
2021	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	329	287	50	15	0	6	32	134	7	19	7	174	276	289	565	115	290	41	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	409	372	97	13	1	8	29	91	5	34	18	261	328	366	694	105	313	22	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	319	280	58	12	1	5	30	95	6	16	5	207	299	311	610	104	282	30	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	582	537	127	25	5	18	29	174	11	19	6	236	290	402	693	166	309	30	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	484	420	99	19	3	4	48	90	13	27	12	236	334	324	658	88	287	19	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	396	103	17	0	2	39	65	12	15	5	260	347	318	665	58	305	14	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	582	537	127	25	5	18	29	174	11	19	6	236	290	402	693	166	309	30	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	484	420	99	19	3	4	48	90	13	27	12	236	334	324	658	88	287	19	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	396	103	17	0	2	39	65	12	15	5	260	347	318	665	58	305	14	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	100%	540	476	119	21	1	7	48	93	11	22	5	252	335	348	683	96	296	17	9	311	97	-2	+2	+1	-6	+12	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	100%	353	312	78	13	1	5	31	61	7	14	3	252	335	350	685	98	296	17	9	312	97	-1	+2	+0	-4	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	498	440	111	19	1	8	45	86	10	20	4	254	337	357	694	103	297	17	9	316	100	-0	+2	+1	-5	+11	0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	538	474	120	20	1	9	48	93	11	21	5	255	338	362	700	107	297	17	9	318	101	+1	+2	+1	-6	+12	1.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	540	475	120	20	1	9	49	94	11	21	4	254	337	359	696	105	296	17	9	316	100	+0	+3	+1	-6	+12	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	532	468	118	20	1	9	48	94	11	18	4	252	335	354	689	102	295	18	9	313	98	-1	+2	-0	-6	+12	0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	520	458	114	19	1	8	47	93	10	15	4	249	332	347	679	98	293	18	9	309	95	-3	+1	-1	-6	+11	0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	82%	508	448	110	18	1	7	45	92	10	12	3	245	328	338	666	92	291	18	9	304	92	-5	+1	-2	-5	+11	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	408	359	92	15	1	7	37	70	9	16	3	255	338	360	698	106	296	17	9	317	100	-0	+2	+0	-4	+9	0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	441	389	99	16	1	8	40	76	9	17	4	256	339	365	704	110	296	17	9	319	101	+1	+2	+1	-5	+10	0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	443	391	99	16	1	8	40	77	9	17	4	254	338	362	700	108	296	17	9	318	100	+0	+2	+1	-5	+10	0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	436	385	98	16	1	8	39	77	9	15	3	252	336	357	692	105	294	18	9	315	98	-1	+2	-0	-5	+9	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	426	376	94	15	1	7	38	76	9	12	3	249	333	350	682	100	293	18	9	311	95	-2	+1	-1	-5	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	82%	417	369	90	14	1	6	37	76	8	10	2	246	329	340	669	95	291	18	9	305	92	-4	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2980	2624	657	102	6	47	271	523	64	97	25	250	335	348	683	97	295	18	9	311	92	-14	+9	-0	-38	+65	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	142	22	1	10	59	114	14	21	5	248	333	343	676	94	293	18	9	311	92	-3	+2	-0	-8	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6062	5348	1305	230	17	98	520	1262	124	251	80	244	325	348	674	104	300	21	9	304	92	-17	+13	-0	-47	+84	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	141	25	2	11	56	135	13	27	9	246	327	354	681	108	302	21	9	304	92	-3	+2	-0	-8	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Roger Cedeno'95-'05 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,557 PA	5.4	3,557	40	213	262*	326*	361*	-24	-9	5.0	6.1
/162	664	7	40	-4.4	-1.7	0.9	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,334	49	111	251	332	347	-36	+1	5.2	5.3
/162	664	10	22	-7.1	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Osuna (OGILVIE)	24	60	45	60	55	250/332/345	95	296	5	14	17%	9%	97	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Sal Frelick 2024 · MLB	24	55→63	42→45	54→55	53	266/333/379	113	304	9	19	15%	8%	103	+1.6	261/325/363	102	298	8	18	14%	8%	97	+1.1	260/324/358	98	293	7	17	13%	8%	96	+0.9
●Tony Kemp 2016 · AAA	24	58→62	39→45	55	52	275/341/364	88	322	5	26	15%	8%	103	+1.5	273/328/368	95	313	6	21	14%	7%	99	+1.2	277/334/377	99	313	7	21	13%	7%	100	+1.1
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA	25	52→54	44→45	56→55	52	250/330/384	134	307	9	20	21%	9%	104	+1.6	240/321/363	123	289	10	18	19%	10%	96	+1.0	232/322/348	116	275	10	20	18%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	52→55	42→45	58→60	46	250/307/366	116	317	8	27	23%	7%	91	+0.6	247/311/349	102	333	7	31	25%	8%	88	+0.4	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Alan Roden 2024 · AA	24	55→59	42→45	53→50	53	261/344/369	108	303	8	17	16%	8%	106	+1.8	254/329/379	125	296	11	12	17%	8%	103	+1.5	251/329/379	128	291	12	10	17%	8%	100	+0.9
●Ender Inciarte 2015 · MLB	24	55→62	38→45	58→60	47	259/299/341	82	294	5	28	14%	5%	81	-0.1	282/325/377	95	316	7	20	12%	6%	99	+1.3	292/338/390	98	325	7	19	12%	6%	107	+1.9
✕Dalton Pompey 2017 · MLB	24	54→60	40→45	56→55	47	259/316/356	97	325	7	25	22%	7%	91	+0.7	235/297/334	99	310	8	18	25%	7%	80	-0.2	232/294/345	113	302	12	17	26%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	54→57	40→50	58→55	51	253/319/355	102	307	5	25	19%	8%	92	+0.7	235/309/336	101	289	7	13	20%	9%	85	+0.2	239/315/386	147	295	14	19	23%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Rey Fuentes 2015 · MLB	24	55→64	40	59→60	45	261/315/358	97	340	7	30	24%	7%	92	+0.7	261/306/347	86	340	6	27	24%	5%	85	+0.2	266/308/341	76	346	5	29	24%	5%	83	+0.1
●Maikel Garcia 2024 · MLB	24	54→58	40→45	55→60	48	256/314/354	99	325	7	25	22%	8%	91	+0.6	258/317/381	123	301	10	24	17%	8%	97	+1.1	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Mike Darr 2001 · MLB	25	53	42→45	58→55	53	253/323/376	123	311	7	18	20%	9%	99	+1.2	259/334/363	104	330	7	13	21%	10%	100	+1.3	272/353/343	71	355	4	11	22%	11%	103	+0.9
✕Will Brennan 2023 · MLB	25	57→62	43→45	53→50	48	275/327/399	124	317	9	16	16%	6%	105	+1.7	265/305/378	113	300	10	14	15%	5%	93	+0.8	263/298/365	102	295	9	13	14%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Leonys Martin 2012 · AAA	24	53→56	41→50	52→60	47	252/306/357	105	291	7	22	16%	6%	88	+0.5	262/312/397	135	312	12	28	19%	6%	100	+1.3	264/314/387	123	318	11	34	20%	6%	96	+0.8
✕Garin Cecchini 2015 · MLB	24	56→65	41→45	54→55	48	261/328/367	106	340	7	16	24%	8%	99	+1.2	224/274/314	90	288	7	11	24%	6%	66	-1.1	215/257/297	83	272	6	10	23%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2023 · MLB	24	51→53	46→50	54→55	51	244/320/382	138	321	12	22	26%	10%	99	+1.3	221/300/371	150	291	15	25	27%	10%	90	+0.6	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2011 · AAA	24	57→67	37→45	55→60	48	268/326/349	80	335	4	23	20%	7%	93	+0.8	259/309/342	83	319	4	32	19%	6%	85	+0.2	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	95	+0.5
✕Jose Tabata 2012 · MLB	23	58→62	41→45	53→55	52	276/337/382	105	318	7	25	15%	8%	105	+1.7	261/321/363	102	302	6	13	15%	7%	95	+1.0	261/318/354	93	301	5	8	14%	6%	91	+0.5
●Brice Turang 2024 · MLB	24	49→59	42→50	58→60	49	239/300/341	101	296	10	27	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/329/387	126	322	12	30	21%	9%	104	+1.6	269/346/409	140	334	13	28	22%	10%	116	+2.7
✕Micah Johnson 2015 · AAA	24	56→61	40→45	59→60	44	264/308/368	104	332	6	29	22%	6%	91	+0.6	253/300/347	94	333	6	26	24%	6%	83	+0.1	250/300/337	87	336	5	28	26%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Eric Patterson 2007 · AAA	24	52→55	44→50	61→60	45	251/300/380	129	313	10	30	23%	6%	91	+0.7	250/302/378	128	311	11	28	22%	7%	91	+0.7	252/307/381	130	310	11	31	22%	7%	92	+0.7

Alejandro Osuna

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps