Junior Flores

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ASF	32	54	5.03	4.05	19.0%	15.9%	—	K 14.1% · BB 18.8% · FIP 4.87
2025	23	MIX2 levels	8	11	3.38	4.04	21.7%	21.7%	—	K 21.7% · BB 21.7% · FIP 4.02
2026	24	A+PIT	5	4	0.00	2.35	40.0%	20.0%	—	K 40.0% · BB 20.0% · FIP 2.26
2027PROJ	25	MLBPIT	36	38	5.07	5.07	21.0%	13.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBPIT	15	16	4.98	4.97	21.4%	13.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Nick Ernst (age 25) · Nolan Riggs (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%21.0%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%7.3%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	16	0	18	83	25	16	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	24.1%	-3.6%	1.6%	3.50	5.28	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	16	0	18	83	25	16	1	0%	1.1	30.1%	19.3%	10.8%	1.2%	3.50	3.71	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	10	0	10	39	14	4	0	0%	1.0	35.9%	10.3%	25.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.37	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	10	0	10	39	14	4	0	0%	1.0	35.9%	10.3%	25.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.44	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	19	1	38	177	39	25	3	5%	2.0	15.0%	17.7%	-2.7%	1.7%	4.23	5.02	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	19	1	38	177	39	25	3	5%	2.0	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	1.7%	4.23	4.04	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	32	0	54	258	49	41	2	0%	1.7	14.1%	18.8%	-4.7%	1.1%	5.03	4.87	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	32	0	54	258	49	41	2	0%	1.7	14.1%	18.8%	-4.7%	1.1%	5.03	4.87	—
2024	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	32	0	54	258	49	41	2	0%	1.7	19.0%	15.9%	3.1%	0.8%	5.03	4.05	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	11	46	10	10	0	0%	1.3	21.7%	21.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.38	4.02	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	11	46	10	10	0	0%	1.3	21.7%	21.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.38	4.02	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	11	46	10	10	0	0%	1.3	21.7%	21.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.38	4.04	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	5	0	4	15	6	3	0	0%	0.8	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	5	0	4	15	6	3	0	0%	0.8	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	5	0	4	15	6	3	0	0%	0.8	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PIT	36	0	38	160	34	22	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	13.7%	7.3%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	36	0	38	159	34	21	5	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.97	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	15	0	16	68	14	9	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	15	9	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	111	25	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		90	1	134	618	110	117	7	1%	1.5	17.8%	18.9%	-1.1%	1.1%	3.95	4.62	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	1	200	920	163	174	11	1%	1.5	17.8%	18.9%	-1.1%	1.1%	3.95	4.62	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Junior Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	21.0%	13.7%	3.0%	—	4.97	21.5%	8.2%	38	-0.10	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	91
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	90
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	90
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	89
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	89
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	88
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	88
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	88
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	86
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2023 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.1%	12.6%	3.7%	.256	3.56	16.9%	9.7%	85	-1.57	3.20	213	86
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	85
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	85
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	85
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	85
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	21.2%	13.5%	1.14	5.03
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35