Anthony Susac — OGILVIE

Anthony Susac P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 216 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.53

FIP6.53

K%16.0%

BB%22.4%

K-BB%-6.4%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	8	0	9	40	12	6	0	0%	1.2	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.47	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	8	0	9	40	12	6	0	0%	1.2	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.47	—
2024	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	8	0	9	40	12	6	0	0%	1.2	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.46	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	44	209	44	37	4	0%	1.2	16.2%	20.4%	-4.1%	2.0%	5.11	5.39	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	44	209	44	37	4	0%	1.2	16.2%	20.4%	-4.1%	2.0%	5.11	5.39	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	44	209	44	37	4	0%	1.2	21.1%	17.7%	3.3%	1.9%	5.11	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	40	0	59	277	56	38	7	0%	1.5	15.9%	15.4%	0.6%	3.8%	5.31	5.77	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	40	0	59	277	56	38	7	0%	1.5	15.9%	15.4%	0.6%	3.8%	5.31	5.77	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	TEX	32	0	51	232	48	31	7	0%	1.6	20.7%	13.4%	7.3%	3.0%	4.38	4.70	—
2026	24	AA RAW	TEX	8	0	8	45	8	7	0	0%	1.0	17.8%	15.6%	2.2%	0.0%	11.25	3.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	248	43	48	7	0%	1.1	17.3%	19.3%	-2.0%	2.8%	6.14	6.03	-0.9
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	248	45	46	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	18.5%	-0.5%	2.9%	5.93	5.88	-0.8
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	24	0	25	106	18	20	3	0%	1.0	17.3%	19.3%	-2.0%	2.8%	6.14	6.03	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	37	0	39	165	30	31	5	0%	1.1	18.0%	18.5%	-0.5%	2.9%	5.93	5.88	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	64	272	48	51	8	0%	1.1	17.7%	18.9%	-1.1%	2.9%	6.01	5.56	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	159	25	0%	1.1	17.7%	18.9%	-1.1%	2.9%	6.01	5.56	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		85	0	113	526	90	91	15	0%	1.3	17.1%	17.3%	-0.2%	2.8%	4.79	5.37	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	934	160	162	26	0%	1.3	17.1%	17.3%	-0.2%	2.8%	4.79	5.37	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Susac (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.53	16.0%	22.4%	2.8%	—	5.96	17.6%	-1.3%	118	-0.58	—	—	—
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	86
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	86
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	85
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	85
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	84
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	84
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	84
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	83
Darvin Garcia R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	24	SU	5.89	13.4%	19.6%	2.6%	.277	4.94	15.5%	-3.1%	80	-0.95	2.97	212	82
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	81
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	81
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	80
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	80
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	80
Johnathan Lavallee R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	23	SU	6.17	17.1%	18.6%	3.9%	.356	4.23	22.8%	9.6%	144	-1.94	3.72	210	79
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	79
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	17.1%	20.1%	1.10	6.20
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99