Jonathan Vastine

SS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 174 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+SD	79	.235/.333/.309	1	3	41	—	.183/.256/.239
2026	23	A+SD	111	.147/.202/.294	4	2	-14	—	.106/.147/.212
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBSD	200	.189/.252/.285	3	4	51	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBSD	28	.189/.253/.291	1	1	55	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed52

ISO49

Chase%16

BB%10

wOBA3

wRC+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJacob Wetzel (age 24) · Jackson Cluff (age 24) · Seth Gray (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .250 / .283

PA53

HR1

K%37

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	68	16	2	0	1	10	25	0	3	0	235	333	309	642	74	349	32	13	296	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	102	15	3	0	4	7	52	0	2	0	147	202	294	496	147	239	47	6	219	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	71	13	1	0	1	7	32	0	3	0	183	256	239	496	56	308	41	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	104	11	2	0	3	5	66	0	2	0	106	147	212	358	106	217	59	5	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	71	13	1	0	1	7	32	0	3	0	183	256	239	496	56	308	41	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	68	16	2	0	1	10	25	0	3	0	235	333	309	642	74	349	32	13	296	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	104	11	2	0	3	5	66	0	2	0	106	147	212	358	106	229	59	5	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	102	15	3	0	4	7	52	0	2	0	147	202	294	496	147	239	47	6	219	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	72	13	1	0	1	7	32	0	3	0	181	256	236	493	56	308	41	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	105	11	2	0	3	5	66	0	2	0	105	147	210	356	105	217	59	5	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	79	72	13	1	0	1	7	32	0	3	0	181	256	236	493	56	308	41	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	111	105	11	2	0	3	5	66	0	2	0	105	147	210	356	105	217	59	5	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	0%	200	183	34	6	1	3	14	73	1	4	1	189	252	285	537	97	289	36	7	244	51	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	30%	91	84	16	3	0	2	6	33	1	2	0	192	256	295	551	103	290	36	7	250	55	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	30%	28	26	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	189	253	291	545	102	284	36	7	247	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	28	26	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	36	7	247	28	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	116	23	0	23	46	232	0	23	0	192	249	344	594	152	266	36	7	247	28	-35	+5	+0	+7	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	334	308	49	8	0	7	22	150	1	8	0	159	218	253	471	94	276	45	7	210	28	-8	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	96	16	0	14	43	292	2	16	0	160	219	257	476	97	278	45	7	210	28	-36	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 111 PAwOBA .213 → .147 (−65)K% 46.8% → 59.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	46.85%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	59.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.988	4.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.988	15.27%
Doubles /BIP	6.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×0.988	5.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.050	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.988	6.32%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .213 → .147; ISO .147 → .094; BABIP .239 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 79 PAwOBA .293 → .229 (−64)K% 31.6% → 40.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.65%	÷0.989	×1.270	—	—	40.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.66%	÷0.984	×0.710	—	×0.998	9.12%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.23%	÷1.013	×0.920	—	×0.998	27.41%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷1.071	×0.810	—	×0.998	3.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.120	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷0.941	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.97%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .293 → .229; ISO .074 → .055; BABIP .349 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Vastine (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	187/250/283	96	289	1	1	37%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Julian Escobedo 2022 · A	24	40→38	41→40	47→50	37	194/252/293	99	300	8	13	36%	6%	54	-2.0	196/263/297	101	271	8	14	29%	6%	59	-1.6	184/256/283	99	244	8	16	27%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA	24	34	43→50	48→40	38	168/245/274	106	297	12	4	44%	8%	49	-2.4	205/277/355	150	324	19	4	40%	8%	78	-0.3	209/282/367	158	320	22	2	39%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Tyler Miller 2024 · A	24	37→28	44→45	52→50	35	189/234/299	110	275	12	16	35%	5%	49	-2.4	190/235/288	98	259	9	8	29%	5%	46	-2.6	182/226/277	94	237	8	3	26%	5%	38	-1.8
✕Nick Decker 2024 · A	24	32	45	50	36	162/239/282	119	288	12	12	45%	8%	48	-2.5	180/245/296	116	338	11	13	46%	7%	53	-2.1	130/195/239	109	257	12	16	52%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	38	44→45	47→50	38	189/265/301	112	291	12	12	37%	7%	62	-1.4	196/263/302	106	291	10	12	35%	6%	61	-1.5	171/236/270	98	250	11	12	34%	5%	41	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Kody Eaves 2017 · AA	24	39→43	44→45	49→50	38	194/245/316	122	281	11	11	34%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/317	116	281	10	8	31%	6%	60	-1.6	194/246/306	112	267	10	6	30%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Ryan Gold 2022 · AA	24	39→36	42→45	47→40	39	190/258/303	113	292	8	3	36%	7%	59	-1.7	204/277/342	138	292	14	5	33%	8%	75	-0.5	172/255/339	167	214	22	0	31%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Gavin Logan 2024 · A	24	37	40→45	44→40	45	173/268/267	94	297	8	6	40%	11%	55	-1.9	177/265/296	119	288	12	6	40%	9%	61	-1.5	160/252/295	135	237	17	4	38%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Jake Ring 2019 · A	24	40→43	42→45	49→50	40	198/256/304	105	286	9	10	33%	7%	58	-1.7	192/254/297	105	300	10	7	37%	7%	56	-1.9	140/204/245	105	228	13	2	43%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	41→33	40→45	46→50	40	185/271/279	95	324	7	9	41%	8%	59	-1.6	206/298/326	120	344	12	10	40%	9%	80	-0.1	195/302/317	122	330	12	11	39%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Jack Stronach 2022 · A	24	39	42→40	48→45	40	193/260/297	104	289	10	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	194/270/290	96	284	8	6	32%	8%	61	-1.5	155/249/228	73	225	5	0	31%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Drew Mendoza 2022 · AA	24	38→31	41→40	47→40	41	183/264/274	91	295	9	7	38%	8%	55	-1.9	181/240/269	88	294	9	6	39%	7%	44	-2.8	149/200/221	72	241	8	2	40%	6%	15	-3.2