Spencer BramwellC
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 27
R/R
5'11" / 220 lbs
AA
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .246 / .300
PA136
HR3
K%38
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
39→39
SPD
46→46
EYE
41→41
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-5M | $-14M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .056 | .105 | .056 | .161 | .000 | .167 | 63 | 5 | .075 | -84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 70 | 61 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .131 | .232 | .230 | .461 | .098 | .280 | 51 | 10 | .218 | 25 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 76 | 70 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .100 | .171 | .143 | .314 | .043 | .200 | 46 | 7 | .150 | -27 | -11 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 145 | 138 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 3 | 3 | .123 | .166 | .225 | .390 | .101 | .217 | 51 | 5 | .167 | -14 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 136 | 125 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .184 | .244 | .304 | .548 | .120 | .279 | 38 | 7 | .249 | 49 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | MIA | 207 | 188 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .191 | .259 | .319 | .578 | .128 | .280 | 36 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | MIA | 262 | 239 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 93 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .188 | .254 | .305 | .559 | .117 | .280 | 35 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | MIA | 300 | 273 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 106 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .190 | .256 | .311 | .567 | .121 | .280 | 35 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | MIA | 294 | 268 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 104 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .190 | .257 | .310 | .567 | .119 | .278 | 35 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | MIA | 277 | 252 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 100 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .187 | .255 | .302 | .556 | .115 | .277 | 36 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | MIA | 248 | 226 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 91 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .186 | .252 | .296 | .548 | .111 | .275 | 37 | 7 | .246 | 47 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +7 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | MIA | 206 | 188 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 77 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .181 | .245 | .287 | .532 | .106 | .273 | 37 | 7 | .240 | 42 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2240 | 2046 | 363 | 69 | 8 | 48 | 161 | 854 | 16 | 30 | 11 | .177 | .243 | .289 | .532 | .112 | .273 | 38 | 7 | .241 | 43 | -145 | +2 | -20 | +40 | +63 | -6.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 248 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .177 | .243 | .288 | .531 | .111 | .272 | 38 | 7 | .241 | 43 | -42 | +1 | -6 | +12 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .059 | .158 | .059 | .217 | .000 | .111 | 42 | 11 | .121 | -49 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 70 | 58 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .319 | .310 | .629 | .121 | .312 | 37 | 14 | .291 | 81 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 76 | 68 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .147 | .237 | .206 | .443 | .059 | .238 | 34 | 9 | .213 | 21 | -7 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 145 | 135 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 3 | 3 | .163 | .221 | .296 | .517 | .133 | .233 | 39 | 7 | .234 | 37 | -10 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Spencer Bramwell (OGILVIE) | 27 | 20 | 39 | 46 | 41 | .183/.246/.300 | .118 | .279 | 3 | 2 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA |
27 | 36→25 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 35 | .184/.240/.304 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.271/.326 | .115 | .298 | 10 | 10 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.285/.308 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 47→45 | 48→40 | 33 | .198/.238/.325 | .127 | .287 | 15 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .216/.269/.301 | .085 | .295 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.285/.301 | .075 | .297 | 3 | 2 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35→37 | 49→50 | 50 | 35 | .190/.239/.328 | .138 | .268 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .214/.262/.346 | .132 | .279 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.267/.343 | .129 | .269 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA |
27 | 40 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 39 | .198/.255/.304 | .106 | .297 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.251/.287 | .094 | .336 | 9 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .147/.210/.229 | .082 | .244 | 10 | 4 | 42% | 7% | 11 | -0.9 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA |
27 | 34→41 | 46→50 | 47→45 | 35 | .183/.228/.309 | .126 | .257 | 13 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .176/.234/.300 | .124 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .136/.196/.257 | .121 | .201 | 11 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 13 | -1.6 |
|
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→36 | 43→45 | 49→40 | 35 | .186/.243/.299 | .112 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 41% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .192/.271/.300 | .108 | .306 | 9 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .176/.270/.275 | .099 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 35% | 10% | 49 | -1.3 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→39 | 45 | 45→50 | 39 | .191/.258/.315 | .124 | .278 | 12 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .189/.266/.294 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .164/.257/.268 | .103 | .258 | 7 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA |
27 | 39 | 45 | 45→40 | 37 | .202/.247/.322 | .121 | .269 | 14 | 5 | 30% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .213/.264/.338 | .125 | .283 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.256/.323 | .120 | .264 | 15 | 2 | 28% | 5% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 43→45 | 46→40 | 35 | .184/.232/.292 | .108 | .283 | 11 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .203/.251/.317 | .114 | .300 | 13 | 4 | 35% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .191/.237/.292 | .101 | .273 | 13 | 0 | 34% | 5% | 38 | -1.6 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2006 · AAA |
27 | 42 | 41→45 | 49→30 | 40 | .201/.263/.297 | .096 | .303 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.258/.316 | .112 | .265 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.252/.315 | .114 | .251 | 13 | 1 | 25% | 6% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA |
27 | 33 | 44→45 | 42→30 | 29 | .177/.206/.288 | .111 | .270 | 13 | 4 | 40% | 3% | 27 | -3.3 | .189/.247/.330 | .141 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .109/.210/.227 | .118 | .155 | 18 | 0 | 43% | 10% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA |
27 | 38→39 | 50 | 41→40 | 35 | .199/.251/.349 | .150 | .288 | 19 | 4 | 37% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .197/.262/.338 | .141 | .315 | 17 | 4 | 40% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .193/.272/.319 | .126 | .301 | 14 | 1 | 38% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB |
27 | 38 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 41 | .195/.264/.331 | .136 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .201/.256/.340 | .139 | .280 | 16 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .170/.220/.361 | .191 | .196 | 26 | 0 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA |
27 | 36 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .183/.252/.292 | .109 | .264 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .194/.265/.297 | .103 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 37% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA |
26 | 35 | 47→45 | 49→50 | 37 | .185/.243/.308 | .123 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.251/.328 | .131 | .289 | 16 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .160/.212/.283 | .123 | .220 | 17 | 0 | 36% | 6% | 24 | -0.7 |