Colin Davis

OF Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAASEA	90	.224/.337/.368	3	5	52	—	.190/.281/.291
2025	26	A+SEA	63	.164/.270/.273	1	1	5	—	.123/.206/.211
2026	27	AAASEA	212	.253/.333/.478	11	4	70	—	.208/.276/.375
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBSEA	20	.197/.266/.333	1	0	70	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBSEA	70	.197/.266/.330	2	1	70	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed68

Chase%57

Max EV56

BB%32

Z-Con%22

K%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCamden Duzenack (age 28) · Brian Serven (age 29) · Aaron Sisk (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .266 / .333

PA20

HR1

K%30

BB%5

BABIP259

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	130	108	34	8	0	2	18	17	1	7	1	315	417	444	862	130	348	13	14	380	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	31	29	7	2	0	1	2	8	0	3	0	241	290	414	704	172	300	26	6	312	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	245	217	49	13	1	4	23	58	3	5	3	226	309	350	659	124	287	24	9	298	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	79	70	15	5	0	1	6	22	2	2	0	214	295	329	623	114	292	28	8	282	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	288	258	65	18	1	10	24	60	4	12	2	252	325	446	771	194	289	21	8	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	159	137	18	3	0	3	13	43	7	2	1	131	242	219	461	88	163	27	8	221	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	90	76	17	2	0	3	11	19	2	5	0	224	337	368	705	145	259	21	12	320	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	63	55	9	3	0	1	7	20	1	1	0	164	270	273	543	109	235	32	11	255	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	186	47	7	1	11	18	62	5	4	1	253	333	478	812	226	316	29	8	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	130	114	31	7	0	2	12	23	1	7	1	272	346	386	732	114	304	18	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	31	30	5	1	0	1	1	11	0	3	0	167	194	300	494	133	253	35	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	245	225	37	9	1	3	15	81	3	5	3	164	226	253	480	89	229	33	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	79	72	11	3	0	1	4	28	2	2	0	153	218	236	454	83	234	35	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	288	266	54	13	1	8	16	79	4	12	2	203	259	350	608	147	249	27	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	159	142	14	2	0	2	8	58	7	2	1	99	185	155	340	56	138	36	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	90	79	15	2	0	2	8	22	2	5	0	190	281	291	572	101	224	24	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	63	57	7	2	0	1	5	28	1	1	0	123	206	211	417	88	202	44	8	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	192	40	6	1	8	13	74	5	4	1	208	276	375	651	167	276	35	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	130	114	31	7	0	2	12	23	1	7	1	272	346	386	732	114	315	18	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	130	108	34	8	0	2	18	17	1	7	1	315	417	444	862	130	348	13	14	380	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	276	254	42	10	1	4	17	92	3	8	3	165	226	260	486	94	237	33	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	276	246	56	15	1	5	25	66	3	8	3	228	307	358	664	130	288	24	9	299	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	337	66	17	1	9	21	108	6	14	2	196	255	332	588	136	256	29	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	367	328	80	23	1	11	30	82	6	14	2	244	319	421	739	177	290	22	8	327	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	159	142	14	2	0	2	8	58	7	2	1	99	185	155	340	56	145	36	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	159	137	18	3	0	3	13	43	7	2	1	131	242	219	461	88	163	27	8	221	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	153	137	21	4	0	2	12	50	3	6	0	153	237	226	463	73	224	33	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	153	131	26	5	0	4	18	39	3	6	0	198	309	328	637	130	250	25	12	293	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	192	40	6	1	8	13	74	5	4	1	208	276	375	651	167	288	35	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	186	47	7	1	11	18	62	5	4	1	253	333	478	812	226	316	29	8	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	130	116	31	7	0	2	12	23	1	7	1	267	346	379	726	112	304	18	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	276	254	42	10	1	4	17	92	3	8	3	165	226	260	486	94	232	33	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	337	66	17	1	9	21	108	6	14	2	196	255	332	588	136	246	29	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	159	143	14	2	0	2	8	58	7	2	1	98	185	154	339	56	138	36	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	153	137	21	4	0	2	12	50	3	6	0	153	237	226	463	73	215	33	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	192	40	6	1	8	13	74	5	4	1	208	276	375	651	167	276	35	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	159	143	14	2	0	2	8	58	7	2	1	98	185	154	339	56	138	36	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	153	137	21	4	0	2	12	50	3	6	0	153	237	226	463	73	215	33	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	212	192	40	6	1	8	13	74	5	4	1	208	276	375	651	167	276	35	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	10%	240	218	43	7	1	7	16	74	4	5	1	199	268	338	606	139	262	31	7	272	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	20	19	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	197	266	333	599	136	259	30	5	269	70	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	255	231	46	8	1	7	17	78	5	4	1	199	268	335	603	136	262	31	7	271	70	-9	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	70	64	12	2	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	197	266	330	596	133	259	30	7	268	70	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	64	12	2	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	188	257	312	570	125	244	30	7	268	54	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	112	19	0	19	46	195	9	9	0	189	257	316	573	128	245	30	7	268	54	-23	+2	-4	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1756	1591	297	60	5	40	114	546	34	49	10	187	256	306	562	119	253	31	6	247	54	-16	+1	-1	-3	+10	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	110	22	2	15	42	202	13	18	4	187	256	307	564	121	253	31	6	247	54	-23	+1	-2	-4	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Davis (OGILVIE)	28	26	46	51	45	197/266/335	138	262	6	4	31%	7%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	41→36	48→50	51→50	37	212/251/355	143	272	16	13	29%	4%	68	-1.0	228/285/350	122	286	12	10	24%	6%	80	-0.2	232/297/331	98	288	9	6	21%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Brian Serven 2024 · MLB	29	36	46→50	47→30	40	192/246/313	121	248	15	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/280/315	106	300	11	4	32%	8%	70	-0.8	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	38	48→50	48→45	42	202/257/341	139	258	16	10	29%	7%	68	-1.0	217/272/358	141	276	17	8	27%	6%	76	-0.4	214/269/360	145	260	20	3	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA	28	35→33	52→50	52→50	35	192/238/352	160	280	21	11	39%	6%	63	-1.4	186/249/303	117	293	13	15	39%	7%	55	-1.9	136/214/222	86	208	11	21	38%	8%	22	-2.0
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	40→42	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/333	129	267	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	211/260/333	122	287	14	8	30%	6%	66	-1.1	209/246/322	114	273	15	6	29%	4%	55	-1.4
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→40	47→50	45	52	201/286/334	133	249	16	11	26%	10%	77	-0.3	221/291/366	145	283	17	7	27%	8%	86	+0.3	217/275/365	148	280	19	4	29%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Adam Fox 2010 · AAA	28	41→43	47→45	49→45	41	214/262/343	129	261	16	9	25%	5%	70	-0.9	194/240/314	120	243	13	9	25%	5%	54	-2.0	157/200/264	107	196	9	7	25%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	205/272/373	168	253	23	7	29%	7%	81	-0.1	224/300/395	171	301	21	11	31%	8%	97	+1.1	213/306/399	185	288	23	11	32%	10%	96	+0.4
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	36→43	48→50	55	35	191/246/331	141	277	17	19	37%	5%	61	-1.5	207/262/325	118	285	12	21	30%	5%	65	-1.2	203/259/309	106	275	10	24	29%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	47→55	51→55	40	207/262/334	128	287	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	211/282/367	156	280	20	23	31%	9%	82	+0.0	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6
✕Davis Wendzel 2024 · AAA	27	35→32	51→50	41→40	46	192/275/342	150	242	20	4	30%	9%	76	-0.4	203/279/339	136	246	16	6	24%	8%	76	-0.4	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	40→46	45→50	52→50	39	203/258/326	123	277	13	12	31%	6%	64	-1.3	181/237/299	118	297	14	10	42%	5%	51	-2.3	154/210/264	110	266	13	8	45%	4%	30	-2.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	49→45	48→45	48	187/278/328	140	274	17	6	36%	11%	73	-0.6	175/254/292	117	275	14	7	39%	9%	55	-1.9	106/189/185	79	164	12	5	42%	8%	6	-1.4
✕Ray Sadler 2009 · AAA	28	40→44	52→55	46→50	40	212/263/378	166	262	20	9	28%	6%	78	-0.3	201/253/341	140	256	17	8	28%	5%	65	-1.2	163/218/279	116	203	16	6	29%	5%	36	-2.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→41	49→50	46→50	41	187/263/335	148	279	18	7	38%	8%	69	-0.9	186/256/299	113	306	13	8	40%	8%	57	-1.8	160/228/243	83	282	9	8	44%	7%	32	-1.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	37	47→50	45→40	40	196/256/328	132	271	16	5	33%	7%	64	-1.3	208/266/316	108	304	10	9	33%	7%	65	-1.2	176/235/254	78	266	6	4	34%	7%	37	-0.8