Dustin Crenshaw — OGILVIE

Dustin Crenshaw2B Inland Empire 66ers

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION254 act + 169 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .281 / .291

PA169

HR2

SB5

K%31

BB%8

BABIP295

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	ROK	2 teams	—	329	297	71	7	3	5	28	72	1	10	5	239	307	333	640	94	297	22	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	2 teams	—	329	281	79	11	3	5	44	53	1	10	5	281	380	395	775	114	329	16	13	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	SEA	—	254	229	42	6	2	2	20	86	3	11	4	183	258	253	511	70	282	34	8	229	33	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
YTD	24	A	SEA	—	254	221	50	8	3	2	28	64	3	11	4	226	321	317	638	90	308	25	11	293	83	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
ROS	24	A	SEA	0%	169	151	31	5	1	2	14	52	2	5	2	205	281	291	572	86	288	31	8	257	55	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	249	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	SEA	—	254	230	42	6	2	2	20	86	3	11	4	183	258	252	510	70	280	34	8	229	33	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
TOT	24	A	SEA	—	423	380	73	11	3	4	34	138	5	16	6	192	267	268	535	76	287	33	8	240	42	-28	+1	+0	+2	+12	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SEA	30%	356	321	67	12	2	5	29	106	3	7	2	209	280	305	586	97	289	30	8	267	63	-15	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	SEA	30%	107	96	20	3	1	2	9	32	1	2	1	208	283	323	606	115	287	30	8	258	56	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	107	97	20	3	1	2	9	32	1	2	1	206	283	320	603	113	281	30	8	258	56	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	18	6	12	55	194	6	12	6	205	283	317	600	112	280	30	8	258	56	-32	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	854	769	169	24	6	12	71	230	6	22	9	220	291	313	604	94	295	27	8	272	66	-32	+1	+0	+3	+24	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	18	5	9	54	175	5	17	7	221	292	315	606	94	296	27	8	272	66	-25	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	101	85	15	2	0	0	15	20	0	2	1	176	300	200	500	24	231	20	15	246	46	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	228	196	64	9	3	5	29	33	1	8	4	327	416	480	896	153	369	14	13	396	161	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	427	6	8	213	280	310	+2	+1	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	9	12	213	280	310	+2.4	+1.6	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dustin Crenshaw (OGILVIE)	24	55	35	45	45	192/267/268	76	287	4	16	33%	8%	42	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Levi Hyams 2014 · A	24	46→48	40	45	44	219/275/312	94	290	7	11	26%	7%	62	-0.9	215/273/311	96	295	6	6	27%	7%	61	-1.0	209/265/306	97	286	7	3	28%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Christian Donahue 2019 · A	24	48	40	45→50	43	229/282/320	91	314	7	5	28%	7%	67	-0.5	194/243/272	78	273	5	10	29%	6%	38	-2.6	157/197/219	62	215	3	11	28%	5%	2	-3.1
✕Ford Proctor 2021 · A	24	48→49	37→45	44→45	47	224/289/299	75	303	5	8	26%	8%	65	-0.7	208/295/322	114	308	13	6	34%	10%	75	-0.0	196/292/302	107	285	14	4	33%	11%	67	-0.4
✕James Ramsay 2016 · A	24	49→55	41→40	50	45	235/289/339	104	308	7	14	25%	7%	75	-0.0	213/276/305	92	271	7	9	22%	7%	61	-1.0	175/250/249	74	217	4	5	20%	8%	33	-1.9
✕Scott Wingo 2013 · A	24	46→45	38→40	48→50	49	213/304/296	83	286	4	11	25%	9%	72	-0.2	208/303/295	87	293	6	10	28%	9%	72	-0.2	188/301/272	84	273	6	9	29%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Jordan Cowan 2019 · A	24	49→53	36→30	48→50	43	232/281/293	61	304	4	10	24%	6%	59	-1.1	238/295/308	70	307	5	15	22%	7%	69	-0.4	231/294/297	65	299	5	17	23%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Zach Ashford 2021 · A	24	46	40→45	42→50	46	219/288/315	96	298	6	7	27%	8%	69	-0.4	228/288/315	87	311	6	9	27%	6%	69	-0.4	230/289/317	87	312	6	10	26%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Wang-Wei Lin 2012 · A	24	51→54	36→30	44→50	49	236/305/296	60	304	4	9	22%	8%	71	-0.3	228/305/308	80	296	5	9	23%	8%	74	-0.1	221/309/295	75	285	4	9	22%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Wyatt 2009 · A	24	46	41→40	48→50	48	226/287/323	98	277	9	12	22%	8%	70	-0.3	216/266/287	71	276	5	10	22%	6%	51	-1.7	208/251/248	40	266	2	8	22%	6%	31	-2.2
✕Nick Shaw 2013 · A	24	47→57	37→40	46→45	50	220/294/300	80	283	3	7	22%	9%	67	-0.5	223/297/283	60	287	2	7	21%	9%	64	-0.8	228/308/277	49	305	0	7	23%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Darren Baker 2022 · A	23	51→54	38→30	47→60	43	241/282/328	86	301	5	9	21%	5%	68	-0.5	246/293/311	65	322	3	19	23%	6%	69	-0.4	248/302/295	47	322	1	32	22%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Gosuke Katoh 2019 · AA	24	45→50	40→45	46→50	44	212/279/308	96	311	6	11	32%	8%	63	-0.8	220/284/321	101	318	9	12	31%	8%	69	-0.4	214/277/319	106	296	10	11	30%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Forrestt Allday 2015 · A	24	49→45	37→30	44→50	44	224/295/302	78	313	3	8	27%	7%	69	-0.4	228/304/290	62	296	4	10	22%	8%	69	-0.4	233/315/274	41	293	3	12	19%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Shea Vucinich 2013 · A	24	44→47	41→40	45→50	42	211/283/313	102	301	8	10	31%	7%	67	-0.5	195/273/283	88	286	6	11	31%	9%	55	-1.4	164/255/239	74	248	4	10	32%	10%	34	-1.1
✕Kobe Kato 2023 · A	24	47	41→30	46→55	54	223/310/322	99	281	9	10	22%	11%	80	+0.4	215/294/301	86	303	6	22	28%	9%	68	-0.5	198/284/281	83	286	6	29	30%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Ben Breazeale 2019 · A	24	47	40	44→30	43	224/283/315	91	316	8	4	30%	7%	66	-0.6	201/260/272	71	283	5	4	29%	7%	46	-2.0	168/230/201	33	235	2	0	28%	7%	11	-2.2
✕Travis Whitmore 2013 · A	25	49→50	38→40	47→45	45	228/284/311	83	307	4	7	26%	7%	65	-0.7	214/263/291	77	298	5	6	28%	6%	51	-1.7	186/224/223	37	263	2	0	29%	4%	14	-1.4
✕Mike McQuillan 2014 · A	24	49	38→40	51→50	47	230/297/317	87	318	5	14	27%	8%	72	-0.2	202/287/304	102	302	9	9	33%	9%	66	-0.6	152/264/252	100	232	10	5	35%	11%	43	-1.1
✕Blake Davis 2008 · AA	24	49→54	39→40	43→50	42	233/278/320	87	300	5	10	24%	5%	65	-0.7	228/266/313	85	291	5	8	22%	5%	57	-1.2	222/257/312	90	271	6	8	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Yoel Yanqui 2019 · A	23	51→50	38→40	47→50	43	238/289/320	82	318	5	9	26%	6%	69	-0.4	216/276/317	101	305	8	12	30%	7%	64	-0.8	197/267/309	112	281	10	13	32%	8%	56	-0.7