Dustin Crenshaw2B
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 24
L/R
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2029
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .292 / .340
PA283
HR5
SB5
K%25
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
50↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-4M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | 2 teams | 329 | 297 | 71 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 73 | 1 | 10 | 5 | .239 | .307 | .337 | .643 | .098 | .299 | 22 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 57 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .151 | .211 | .170 | .380 | .019 | .235 | 33 | 7 | .178 | -6 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SEA | 226 | 205 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .286 | .327 | .613 | .107 | .285 | 26 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | SEA | 283 | 258 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 78 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .205 | .270 | .295 | .565 | .089 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | SEA | 312 | 281 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 68 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .228 | .298 | .349 | .646 | .121 | .277 | 22 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | SEA | 367 | 330 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 81 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .227 | .299 | .345 | .645 | .118 | .279 | 22 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | SEA | 394 | 354 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 87 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .229 | .302 | .350 | .652 | .121 | .279 | 22 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | SEA | 408 | 367 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .232 | .304 | .360 | .663 | .128 | .280 | 22 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | SEA | 410 | 368 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 93 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .226 | .300 | .342 | .642 | .117 | .279 | 23 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 72% | SEA | 408 | 367 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .223 | .296 | .341 | .637 | .117 | .278 | 23 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 90% | SEA | 397 | 357 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .297 | .345 | .641 | .120 | .277 | 23 | 9 | .287 | 77 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 381 | 342 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .296 | .336 | .633 | .114 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 353 | 317 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 87 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .215 | .289 | .322 | .610 | .107 | .274 | 25 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 310 | 279 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .280 | .305 | .585 | .097 | .273 | 25 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -12 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4295 | 3864 | 868 | 154 | 23 | 81 | 365 | 996 | 31 | 66 | 21 | .225 | .297 | .339 | .636 | .115 | .280 | 23 | 8 | .287 | 77 | -109 | +5 | -20 | +15 | +122 | 1.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 151 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .222 | .295 | .333 | .628 | .111 | .278 | 23 | 8 | .287 | 77 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 101 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .176 | .300 | .200 | .500 | .024 | .231 | 20 | 15 | .246 | 46 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 228 | 196 | 64 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 4 | .327 | .416 | .480 | .896 | .153 | .369 | 14 | 13 | .396 | 161 | +16 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 2.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dustin Crenshaw (OGILVIE) | 24 | 55 | 35 | 45 | 45 | .225/.292/.340 | .115 | .290 | 5 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Tanner Morris 2022 · A |
24 | 51→53 | 41→40 | 48→40 | 48 | .241/.316/.343 | .102 | .323 | 9 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .238/.322/.332 | .094 | .315 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 10% | 88 | +0.9 | .242/.333/.329 | .087 | .314 | 8 | 1 | 23% | 11% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Kevin Taylor 2016 · A |
25 | 47→57 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 48 | .227/.289/.326 | .099 | .272 | 10 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.317/.345 | .091 | .302 | 7 | 3 | 17% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .258/.316/.333 | .075 | .304 | 5 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Phil Clarke 2022 · A |
24 | 46 | 42→40 | 45 | 46 | .222/.295/.327 | .105 | .277 | 9 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .222/.303/.315 | .093 | .268 | 9 | 6 | 19% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .233/.317/.316 | .083 | .266 | 8 | 7 | 15% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A |
24 | 49→45 | 40→45 | 46→50 | 50 | .236/.313/.328 | .092 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .211/.292/.307 | .096 | .311 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .191/.278/.276 | .085 | .297 | 5 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 53 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Asuaje 2016 · AA |
24 | 48→56 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 46 | .234/.291/.361 | .126 | .285 | 10 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .242/.302/.349 | .107 | .296 | 7 | 6 | 20% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .242/.308/.341 | .098 | .295 | 6 | 4 | 19% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 |
|
✕Terrin Vavra 2021 · A |
24 | 46 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .225/.280/.336 | .112 | .266 | 10 | 12 | 20% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .243/.318/.357 | .114 | .316 | 9 | 11 | 24% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .258/.340/.368 | .110 | .338 | 7 | 11 | 24% | 9% | 100 | +0.6 |
|
✕Mike McCuistion 2006 · A |
24 | 49 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 44 | .240/.293/.352 | .112 | .305 | 10 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .227/.285/.335 | .108 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .212/.274/.309 | .097 | .249 | 13 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Drew Heid 2012 · A |
24 | 52→56 | 40 | 46→50 | 46 | .248/.302/.334 | .086 | .298 | 8 | 10 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .237/.299/.326 | .089 | .298 | 7 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .237/.299/.324 | .087 | .299 | 6 | 11 | 22% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jimmy Cesario 2010 · A |
24 | 49→55 | 43→45 | 45→50 | 41 | .239/.276/.347 | .108 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 20% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .252/.293/.359 | .107 | .307 | 9 | 10 | 20% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .257/.300/.360 | .103 | .316 | 8 | 8 | 21% | 4% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Peter Maris 2018 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 50 | .231/.287/.316 | .085 | .270 | 7 | 9 | 17% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .224/.284/.353 | .129 | .278 | 13 | 9 | 23% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .211/.271/.362 | .152 | .270 | 17 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Zach Dillon 2007 · A |
24 | 47 | 42→45 | 46→30 | 50 | .226/.291/.328 | .102 | .279 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.289/.343 | .111 | .265 | 8 | 3 | 15% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .236/.292/.350 | .114 | .259 | 7 | 0 | 12% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jonathan Wyatt 2009 · A |
24 | 47 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 48 | .227/.288/.326 | .099 | .276 | 9 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.267/.287 | .070 | .276 | 5 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .208/.251/.248 | .040 | .266 | 2 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 31 | -2.2 |
|
✕Kobe Kato 2023 · A |
24 | 47 | 41→40 | 46→55 | 54 | .224/.308/.325 | .100 | .280 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .213/.290/.300 | .087 | .294 | 6 | 21 | 27% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .194/.278/.278 | .084 | .279 | 6 | 29 | 30% | 9% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Casey McElroy 2014 · A |
24 | 47→49 | 42→40 | 46→30 | 46 | .231/.285/.334 | .103 | .279 | 9 | 4 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.284/.323 | .099 | .272 | 9 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .222/.282/.314 | .092 | .271 | 8 | 1 | 20% | 6% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Carter Jurica 2013 · A |
24 | 49→55 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 46 | .237/.296/.336 | .098 | .302 | 8 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .224/.285/.302 | .078 | .303 | 5 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .209/.275/.263 | .054 | .293 | 2 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 46 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mitchell Tolman 2018 · A |
24 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 44→50 | 49 | .217/.286/.311 | .094 | .265 | 9 | 9 | 21% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .211/.284/.299 | .088 | .298 | 7 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.285/.332 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Luis 2023 · A |
23 | 49→53 | 41→45 | 48→40 | 44 | .236/.289/.335 | .100 | .315 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .226/.273/.325 | .099 | .301 | 9 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .214/.255/.301 | .086 | .280 | 10 | 0 | 26% | 4% | 48 | -1.2 |
|
✕Christian Donahue 2019 · A |
24 | 48 | 40 | 46→50 | 43 | .230/.284/.321 | .091 | .310 | 7 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .197/.246/.276 | .079 | .273 | 5 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .161/.202/.226 | .065 | .220 | 4 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 7 | -2.9 |
|
✕Richie Fecteau 2018 · A |
24 | 46 | 43→45 | 44→40 | 46 | .226/.280/.335 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 20% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .211/.257/.315 | .104 | .306 | 9 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.227/.285 | .098 | .301 | 6 | 2 | 38% | 4% | 30 | -1.7 |
|
✕Dean Anna 2011 · A |
24 | 44→54 | 43→45 | 50→45 | 50 | .216/.286/.326 | .110 | .263 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .234/.308/.350 | .116 | .273 | 10 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .245/.318/.360 | .115 | .284 | 9 | 4 | 16% | 8% | 92 | +1.0 |