Josh Mallitz — OGILVIE

Josh Mallitz P San Antonio Missions

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%21.7%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD4045

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	0	3	17	2	2	0	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	8.10	3.60	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	0	3	17	2	2	0	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	8.10	3.60	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	0	3	17	2	2	0	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	8.10	3.70	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	3	54	222	57	13	5	10%	1.8	21.3%	7.5%	13.8%	2.9%	3.64	3.83	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	3	54	222	57	13	5	10%	1.8	21.3%	7.5%	13.8%	2.9%	3.64	3.83	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	3	54	222	57	13	5	10%	1.8	25.7%	5.9%	19.8%	2.3%	3.64	2.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	61	242	62	22	7	0%	1.6	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	3.5%	3.71	4.52	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	61	242	62	22	7	0%	1.6	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	3.5%	3.71	4.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	SD	38	0	61	242	62	22	7	0%	1.6	25.6%	9.1%	16.5%	2.9%	3.71	3.68	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	SD	5	0	5	22	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	8.3%	13.4%	3.0%	4.33	4.33	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	66	264	67	24	8	—	—	25.3%	9.0%	16.3%	2.9%	3.76	4.50	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	57	0	60	254	56	21	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	8.2%	14.0%	3.0%	4.30	4.28	+0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	57	0	60	254	57	21	8	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.3%	14.3%	3.0%	4.27	4.26	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	250	56	21	8	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.4%	14.2%	3.0%	4.29	4.30	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	25	0	26	110	24	9	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	8.2%	14.0%	3.0%	4.30	4.28	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	38	0	40	169	38	14	5	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.3%	14.3%	3.0%	4.27	4.26	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	44	0	46	194	44	16	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	8.4%	14.2%	3.0%	4.29	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		107	0	113	475	107	40	14	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.3%	14.2%	3.0%	4.29	3.90	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	71	25	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.3%	14.2%	3.0%	4.29	3.90	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		71	3	118	481	100	43	15	4%	1.7	20.7%	8.9%	11.8%	3.1%	3.80	4.17	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	5	200	813	168	72	25	4%	1.7	20.7%	8.9%	11.8%	3.1%	3.80	4.17	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Mallitz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	21.7%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.28	22.5%	14.2%	179	-0.05	—	—	—
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	93
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	92
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	91
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	90
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	89
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	89
Dakota Donovan R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	24	SU	3.15	22.2%	8.4%	1.6%	.310	3.55	20.3%	8.9%	95	+0.40	3.15	153	89
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	88
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	88
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	88
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	87
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	87
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	87
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	87
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	87
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	87
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	87
Tyler Schoff R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	25.2%	8.7%	3.0%	.315	4.26	16.1%	6.4%	75	+0.57	3.69	190	87
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	22.3%	8.3%	1.16	4.30
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41