Ross Dunn

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	AMIN	19	16	61	6.46	4.31	21.2%	10.6%	—	K 15.7% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.46
2025	23	A+MIN	1	1	3	5.40	4.30	7.1%	14.3%	—	K 7.1% · BB 14.3% · FIP 4.31
2026	24	MIX3 levels	16	5	24	4.18	2.38	25.0%	11.0%	—	K 19.2% · BB 12.8% · FIP 3.09
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIN	2	2	14	4.79	4.79	20.5%	11.7%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIN	2	2	9	4.73	4.72	21.0%	11.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrad Mills (age 25) · Jason Blanchard (age 25) · Dan Meyer (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%20.5%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	16	61	283	60	30	8	84%	3.2	15.7%	12.5%	3.2%	3.8%	6.46	5.46	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	16	61	283	60	30	8	84%	3.2	15.7%	12.5%	3.2%	3.8%	6.46	5.46	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	19	16	61	283	60	30	8	84%	3.2	21.2%	10.6%	10.6%	2.8%	6.46	4.31	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	1	1	3	14	1	2	0	100%	3.3	7.1%	14.3%	-7.1%	0.0%	5.40	4.31	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	1	1	3	14	1	2	0	100%	3.3	7.1%	14.3%	-7.1%	0.0%	5.40	4.31	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	1	1	3	14	1	2	0	100%	3.3	7.1%	14.3%	-7.1%	0.0%	5.40	4.30	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	5	24	100	25	11	0	31%	1.5	19.2%	12.8%	6.5%	0.0%	4.18	3.09	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	5	24	100	25	11	0	31%	1.5	19.2%	12.8%	6.5%	0.0%	4.18	3.09	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	5	24	100	25	11	0	31%	1.5	25.0%	11.0%	14.0%	0.0%	4.18	2.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	2	2	14	59	12	7	2	100%	7.0	20.5%	11.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	4	4	21	90	19	10	3	100%	5.3	21.0%	11.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.73	4.72	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	2	2	9	38	8	4	1	100%	4.5	21.0%	11.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.73	4.72	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	39	8	4	1	100%	4.6	21.0%	11.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.73	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	175	87	22	100%	6.0	21.0%	11.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.73	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		36	22	88	397	65	50	11	61%	2.5	16.3%	12.6%	3.6%	2.7%	5.81	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	50	200	899	146	114	24	61%	2.5	16.3%	12.6%	3.6%	2.7%	5.81	4.82	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ross Dunn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	20.5%	11.7%	2.9%	—	4.72	21.0%	9.6%	21	-0.07	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	81
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	79
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	74
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	74
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	74
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	72
Logan Darnell L 2014 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP-	4.78	19.6%	7.1%	4.4%	.338	4.10	13.4%	6.1%	262	-0.68	3.16	454	70
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	69
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	68
Rich Hill L 2005 · 4.75 FIP	25	SW	4.75	18.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.293	4.24	21.9%	13.1%	314	-0.51	2.05	1,484	68
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	68
Tommy Vail L 2024 · 3.65 FIP	25	SW	3.65	27.5%	15.3%	1.7%	.237	5.19	19.5%	2.9%	99	+1.54	3.65	168	67
Brandon Knarr L 2023 · 5.04 FIP	25	SP-	5.04	24.8%	16.0%	3.7%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	256	66
Chaz Hebert L 2017 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP-	4.46	15.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	167	66
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	66
Matt Stalcup L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	16.2%	9.7%	1.2%	.266	6.20	11.5%	-1.2%	56	+2.58	3.62	145	65
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	65
Charlie Furbush L 2011 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	18.0%	7.5%	4.4%	.310	2.67	28.8%	21.4%	154	-2.28	2.40	261	65
J.A. Happ L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	25	SP-	3.90	18.8%	9.4%	2.2%	.260	4.38	18.4%	8.3%	410	+0.48	3.37	1,890	65