Sam Brown

1B Harrisburg Senators
Age 25 L/L 6'2" / 210 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AALAA505.214/.302/.3024545—.190/.262/.263
202523AAWSH509.263/.364/.3928395—.255/.332/.377
202624AAWSH371.247/.353/.3929076—.218/.296/.329
2027PROJMLE25MLBWSH4.214/.291/.3170074-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBWSH74.216/.293/.3251176-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%81
BB%78
wRC+60
K%59
wOBA53
Whiff%52
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsDanny Hayes (age 25) · Ernie De La Trinidad (age 25) · Jeremy Vasquez (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .291 / .317
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%9
BABIP285
ISO101
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 505440 942324 4410512 50 214302302605 89266 219 276 45 — — — — — —
202523 AAHarrisburg Senators — 509434 1142068 61898 31 263364392756 129309 1712 340 95 — — — — — —
202624 AAHarrisburg Senators — 371316 781909 50852 01 247353392746 146307 2313 336 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 505452 862023 3213112 50 190262263525 73246 266 235 45 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 509451 1152077 441098 31 255332377709 122309 219 309 95 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 371331 721607 351042 01 218296329626 112289 289 280 76 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 505452 862023 3213112 50 190262263525 73255 266 235 45 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAWRocket City Trash Pandas — 505440 942324 4410512 50 214302302605 89266 219 276 45 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 509451 1152077 441098 31 255332377709 122317 219 309 95 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWHarrisburg Senators — 509434 1142068 61898 31 263364392756 129309 1712 340 95 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 371331 721607 351042 01 218296329626 112291 289 280 76 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWHarrisburg Senators — 371316 781909 50852 01 247353392746 146307 2313 336 76 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 505456 862023 3213112 50 189262261523 72246 266 235 45 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 509452 1152077 441098 31 254332376708 122309 219 309 95 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 371331 721607 351042 01 218296329626 112289 289 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 505456 862023 3213112 50 189262261523 72246 266 235 45 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 509452 1152077 441098 31 254332376708 122309 219 309 95 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 371331 721607 351042 01 218296329626 112289 289 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEWSH 2% 380341 731526 321024 31 214291319610 105286 278 277 74 -12 +0 +0 -7 +8 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXWSH 2% 44 1000 010 00 214291317608 103285 250 277 74 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEWSH 31% 239213 471014 21633 21 216293327620 110286 269 281 76 -7 +0 +0 -4 +5 -0.6
202826 MLB CTXWSH 31% 7467 14301 6201 10 216293325618 109285 278 281 76 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7467 14301 6201 10 209284299582 90283 278 281 73 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 1232609 531769 90 209285299583 90282 278 281 73 -18 +2 +0 -12 +14 -1.4
Career— MLE — 18341635 360741124 15046327 114 220296323619 103288 258 276 73 -13 -0 +0 -8 +10 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1282649 5316410 41 221297326623 105289 258 276 73 -19 -0 +0 -12 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 371 PAwOBA .331 → .280 (−51)K% 22.9% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.91%÷1.000×1.220——27.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.48%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9989.42%
HBP% /PA0.54%—×0.850—×0.9980.46%
Singles /BIP21.65%÷1.000×0.970×1.013×0.99821.23%
Doubles /BIP8.23%÷1.000×0.860×1.013×0.9987.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.013×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9983.03%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .331 → .280; ISO .146 → .119; BABIP .307 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAHarrisburg Senators · 509 PAwOBA .335 → .309 (−25)K% 17.5% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.49%÷0.997×1.220——21.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.79%÷0.967×0.700—×1.0128.63%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.850—×1.0121.35%
Singles /BIP23.19%÷1.009×0.970×1.025×1.01223.13%
Doubles /BIP5.80%÷0.887×0.860×1.025×1.0125.83%
Triples /BIP1.74%÷0.913×0.950×1.025×1.0121.88%
Home runs /BIP2.32%÷0.963×0.780—×1.0121.90%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 102, 2B 77, 3B 83, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .335 → .309; ISO .129 → .123; BABIP .309 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 505 PAwOBA .273 → .235 (−38)K% 20.8% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.79%÷0.974×1.220——26.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.71%÷0.966×0.680—×1.0276.30%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.840—×1.0272.05%
Singles /BIP19.40%÷1.016×0.920×1.012×1.02718.27%
Doubles /BIP6.87%÷1.072×0.910×1.012×1.0276.06%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.045×0.880×1.012×1.0270.52%
Home runs /BIP1.19%÷0.976×0.800—×1.0271.01%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 109, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .273 → .235; ISO .089 → .076; BABIP .266 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).