Sam Brown1B
Harrisburg Senators
Age 24
L/L
6'2" / 210 lbs
AA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.3 · 2028
wRC+†86
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .296 / .333
PA320
HR5
K%25
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40↗50
PWR
40→40
SPD
40→40
FLD
40↗50
EYE
48↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-3M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 505 | 453 | 82 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 141 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .181 | .252 | .258 | .510 | .077 | .248 | 28 | 6 | .227 | 32 | -39 | +1 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -3.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 509 | 451 | 112 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 115 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .248 | .326 | .366 | .692 | .118 | .313 | 23 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +14 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 69 | 60 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .348 | .383 | .731 | .133 | .389 | 33 | 12 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 251 | 223 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .229 | .309 | .350 | .659 | .121 | .296 | 26 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 283 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 89 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .233 | .318 | .357 | .675 | .124 | .321 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | WSH | 370 | 326 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 78 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .236 | .322 | .365 | .687 | .129 | .285 | 21 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | WSH | 407 | 359 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 87 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .237 | .322 | .370 | .692 | .134 | .286 | 21 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | WSH | 420 | 370 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 90 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .238 | .324 | .378 | .702 | .141 | .287 | 21 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | WSH | 425 | 374 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .238 | .325 | .377 | .702 | .139 | .286 | 22 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | WSH | 420 | 370 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .230 | .317 | .354 | .671 | .124 | .286 | 22 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | WSH | 414 | 364 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .231 | .319 | .357 | .676 | .126 | .284 | 22 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | WSH | 401 | 353 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 91 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .229 | .317 | .357 | .674 | .127 | .283 | 23 | 10 | .302 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | WSH | 384 | 338 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 89 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .225 | .312 | .346 | .658 | .121 | .281 | 23 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB 94% | WSH | 355 | 312 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 85 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .221 | .310 | .337 | .646 | .115 | .280 | 24 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 311 | 274 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .215 | .302 | .328 | .630 | .113 | .278 | 25 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5172 | 4567 | 1038 | 218 | 33 | 90 | 478 | 1195 | 80 | 39 | 4 | .227 | .311 | .349 | .660 | .121 | .286 | 23 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -87 | +6 | -26 | -92 | +147 | -5.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 130 | 27 | 4 | 11 | 60 | 150 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .226 | .311 | .345 | .656 | .118 | .285 | 23 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -11 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 505 | 440 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 105 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .214 | .302 | .302 | .605 | .089 | .266 | 21 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -17 | +1 | — | — | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 509 | 434 | 114 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 61 | 89 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .263 | .364 | .392 | .756 | .129 | .309 | 17 | 12 | .340 | 118 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +14 | 2.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sam Brown (OGILVIE) | 24 | 40→50 | 40 | 40 | 60 | .219/.296/.333 | .114 | .285 | 5 | 3 | 25% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alfonso Rivas III 2021 · AAA |
24 | 48 | 41→45 | 45 | 44 | .226/.292/.324 | .098 | .315 | 8 | 4 | 29% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.318/.345 | .105 | .335 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .244/.331/.364 | .120 | .337 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
●Corban Joseph 2013 · AAA |
24 | 49→58 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 48 | .238/.298/.366 | .128 | .295 | 10 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .231/.284/.349 | .118 | .269 | 11 | 4 | 18% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .269/.317/.406 | .138 | .293 | 14 | 3 | 13% | 6% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Bijan Rademacher 2016 · AA |
25 | 48 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 49 | .232/.302/.339 | .107 | .292 | 8 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .240/.302/.350 | .110 | .303 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .239/.295/.335 | .096 | .301 | 9 | 2 | 23% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Brad Nelson 2007 · AAA |
24 | 46→48 | 44→50 | 42→50 | 49 | .226/.298/.342 | .116 | .295 | 11 | 8 | 26% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .219/.279/.358 | .139 | .271 | 16 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.284/.369 | .153 | .257 | 19 | 2 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
●Chris Parmelee 2011 · AA |
23 | 45→51 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 48 | .225/.294/.355 | .130 | .287 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .243/.309/.387 | .144 | .292 | 15 | 2 | 21% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .240/.311/.393 | .153 | .284 | 17 | 1 | 21% | 9% | 98 | +1.5 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA |
24 | 39→47 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 48 | .193/.275/.309 | .117 | .272 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.294/.333 | .116 | .291 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.297/.324 | .105 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 26% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Danny Hayes 2016 · AA |
25 | 44→45 | 42→45 | 40→30 | 49 | .214/.290/.323 | .109 | .287 | 9 | 2 | 27% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.282/.345 | .137 | .285 | 15 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .188/.262/.342 | .154 | .251 | 19 | 0 | 32% | 9% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Josh Fellhauer 2012 · AA |
24 | 48→53 | 39→40 | 40→45 | 45 | .229/.279/.316 | .086 | .284 | 6 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .247/.307/.331 | .084 | .319 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .256/.321/.338 | .082 | .337 | 4 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Reed Eastley 2007 · A |
24 | 48→49 | 43→40 | 42→40 | 49 | .236/.305/.341 | .105 | .278 | 10 | 4 | 19% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .229/.299/.321 | .092 | .295 | 7 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .225/.300/.308 | .082 | .299 | 5 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA |
24 | 42→41 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .206/.265/.304 | .098 | .278 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .212/.292/.338 | .126 | .286 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .214/.305/.368 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
●Justin Yurchak 2021 · A |
24 | 46→56 | 40 | 43→40 | 47 | .223/.280/.320 | .097 | .277 | 7 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .267/.331/.374 | .107 | .335 | 10 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 102 | +1.8 | .264/.336/.364 | .099 | .327 | 10 | 2 | 21% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Dustin Yount 2007 · AA |
24 | 44 | 45 | 43→40 | 47 | .217/.292/.332 | .115 | .293 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .211/.285/.321 | .110 | .285 | 12 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.285/.365 | .150 | .322 | 18 | 0 | 37% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Wade Hinkle 2014 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 47 | .238/.303/.369 | .131 | .288 | 13 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .233/.301/.361 | .128 | .303 | 13 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .231/.300/.352 | .122 | .311 | 12 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Conrad Gregor 2017 · AA |
25 | 43→53 | 44→45 | 45→40 | 50 | .215/.283/.340 | .125 | .261 | 11 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .210/.279/.332 | .122 | .265 | 12 | 7 | 24% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .243/.320/.397 | .154 | .296 | 17 | 12 | 23% | 10% | 100 | +0.4 |
|
✕Troy Sieber 2018 · A |
23 | 48 | 42→45 | 43→40 | 49 | .226/.306/.334 | .108 | .314 | 9 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.286/.321 | .104 | .322 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .184/.251/.279 | .094 | .292 | 6 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 41 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dominic D'Anna 2013 · A |
24 | 49 | 41→40 | 45→40 | 50 | .232/.309/.332 | .100 | .303 | 7 | 4 | 24% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.278/.314 | .099 | .293 | 9 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .174/.221/.249 | .074 | .232 | 8 | 0 | 28% | 5% | 21 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris McGuiness 2012 · A |
24 | 42→49 | 42→50 | 43→30 | 47 | .206/.280/.309 | .104 | .273 | 10 | 4 | 28% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .216/.287/.347 | .131 | .278 | 14 | 2 | 26% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .217/.292/.356 | .139 | .269 | 14 | 0 | 24% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●José Marmolejos 2017 · AA |
24 | 50→53 | 45→50 | 44→30 | 41 | .242/.288/.378 | .136 | .312 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.291/.374 | .130 | .308 | 12 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.304/.443 | .199 | .299 | 27 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 107 | +1.3 |
|
●Carlos Cortes 2021 · A |
24 | 42→50 | 42→55 | 44→40 | 47 | .207/.273/.314 | .107 | .260 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .205/.267/.348 | .143 | .271 | 16 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.296/.393 | .171 | .258 | 21 | 3 | 22% | 9% | 91 | +0.7 |
|
✕Carson Taylor 2023 · AA |
24 | 47→49 | 43→45 | 47→40 | 45 | .229/.292/.334 | .104 | .304 | 11 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .222/.294/.343 | .121 | .295 | 14 | 4 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .217/.298/.346 | .129 | .281 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |