Gavin Stone

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA peak 1.7 · 2028 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

AAASPD6040-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	MIX2 levels	29	23	132	5.74	4.26	24.4%	10.1%	1.0	K 21.5% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.43
2024	25	MLBLAD	25	25	140	3.53	3.91	20.0%	6.4%	1.7
2026	27	AAALAD	6	6	15	5.28	2.84	34.4%	6.6%	—	K 29.6% · BB 5.9% · FIP 3.33
2027PROJ	28	MLBLAD	14	14	84	4.04	4.12	23.3%	7.3%	0.8
2028PROJ61% MLB	29	MLBLAD	14	14	81	4.19	4.29	22.7%	7.6%	0.6
2029PROJ72% MLB	30	MLBLAD	15	15	89	4.37	4.49	22.0%	7.9%	0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo55

xwOBA vs50

Whiff%46

K%35

CompsBrian Edgington (age 25) · Omar Bencomo (age 28) · Erik Hiljus (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.04

FIP4.12

K%23.3%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%15.9%

Proj IP84

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p4624.7%

p3520.0%

xwOBA vs

p500.312

CH+4.8 (27%)

SL+3.1 (16%)

CT+1.2 (6%)

SI (23%)

CU (4%)

FB-3.7 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	91	378	138	25	7	96%	4.0	27.3%	7.8%	19.5%	2.5%	3.76	3.15	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	91	378	138	25	7	96%	4.0	36.5%	6.6%	29.9%	1.9%	3.76	1.89	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	122	496	168	44	3	96%	4.7	27.7%	9.7%	17.9%	0.7%	1.48	2.39	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	122	496	168	44	3	96%	4.7	33.9%	8.9%	25.0%	0.6%	1.48	1.74	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	23	132	583	142	59	20	79%	4.5	21.5%	9.3%	12.1%	3.6%	5.74	4.43	+0.7
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	23	132	583	142	59	20	79%	4.5	24.4%	10.1%	14.2%	3.4%	5.74	4.26	+1.0
2024	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	25	140	580	116	37	18	100%	5.6	20.0%	6.4%	13.6%	3.0%	3.53	3.85	+1.8
2024	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	25	140	580	116	37	18	100%	5.6	20.0%	6.4%	13.6%	3.0%	3.53	3.85	+1.8
2024	25	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	25	140	580	116	37	18	100%	5.6	20.0%	6.4%	13.6%	3.1%	3.53	3.91	+1.7
2026	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	6	6	15	61	21	4	2	100%	2.6	29.6%	5.9%	23.7%	3.6%	5.28	3.33	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	6	6	15	61	21	4	2	100%	2.6	29.6%	5.9%	23.7%	3.6%	5.28	3.33	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	6	6	15	61	21	4	2	100%	2.6	34.4%	6.6%	27.9%	3.3%	5.28	2.84	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			33	29	171	732	138	50	26	88%	5.2	18.9%	6.8%	12.0%	3.6%	4.52	4.34	+1.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	LAD	14	14	84	355	82	26	11	100%	6.0	23.3%	7.3%	15.9%	3.1%	4.04	4.12	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAD	22	22	133	560	127	42	18	100%	6.0	22.7%	7.6%	15.1%	3.2%	4.19	4.29	+1.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	LAD	21	21	125	526	116	41	18	100%	5.9	22.0%	7.9%	14.1%	3.4%	4.37	4.49	+0.6
2030	31	MLB MLE	LAD	19	19	116	491	104	40	18	100%	6.1	21.2%	8.2%	13.0%	3.6%	4.58	4.72	+0.2
2031	32	MLB MLE	LAD	18	18	108	454	93	39	18	100%	6.0	20.4%	8.6%	11.8%	3.9%	4.82	4.98	-0.1
2032	33	MLB MLE	LAD	16	16	99	416	81	38	17	100%	6.2	19.6%	9.1%	10.5%	4.2%	5.08	5.26	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	81	342	78	26	11	100%	5.8	22.7%	7.6%	15.1%	3.2%	4.19	4.29	+0.6
2029	30	MLB CTX	LAD	15	15	89	376	83	30	13	100%	5.9	22.0%	7.9%	14.1%	3.4%	4.37	4.49	+0.4
2030	31	MLB CTX	LAD	15	15	92	388	82	32	14	100%	6.1	21.2%	8.2%	13.0%	3.6%	4.58	4.72	+0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	LAD	15	15	90	380	78	33	15	100%	6.0	20.4%	8.6%	11.8%	3.9%	4.82	4.98	-0.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	LAD	14	14	86	363	71	33	15	100%	6.1	19.6%	9.1%	10.5%	4.2%	5.08	5.26	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	102	609	2581	529	203	94	96%	5.7	20.5%	7.9%	12.6%	3.6%	4.59	4.36	+3.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	33	200	847	174	67	31	96%	5.7	20.5%	7.9%	12.6%	3.6%	4.59	4.36	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		109	101	500	2098	500	173	53	93%	4.6	23.8%	8.2%	15.6%	2.5%	3.71	3.52	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	40	200	839	200	69	21	93%	4.6	23.8%	8.2%	15.6%	2.5%	3.71	3.52	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gavin Stone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.12	23.3%	7.3%	3.1%	—	4.49	22.0%	14.1%	373	+0.37	—	—	—
Brian Edgington R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	19.5%	6.5%	3.1%	.321	5.28	19.3%	7.0%	58	+1.29	3.99	171	75
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	75
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	75
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	73
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Todd Redmond R 2013 · 4.14 FIP	28	SP-	4.14	23.5%	6.5%	4.0%	.266	3.57	17.0%	10.1%	170	-0.57	3.21	247	71
Joe Ross R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	28	SP	3.95	23.7%	6.5%	3.7%	.266	3.90	19.6%	10.7%	86	-0.05	3.19	812	69
Ryan Watson R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	25	SP-	4.15	18.6%	4.9%	3.7%	.342	5.48	13.1%	5.4%	98	+1.33	4.15	165	69
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	69
Matt Shoemaker R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	28	SP	4.38	20.4%	5.8%	4.1%	.280	3.74	21.8%	15.9%	269	-0.64	3.12	728	69
Hector Velázquez R 2017 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	18.0%	6.6%	2.2%	.251	4.28	16.7%	7.4%	158	+0.63	2.75	536	69
Braydon Tucker R 2024 · 3.25 FIP	25	SP-	3.25	18.3%	7.1%	1.5%	.291	4.70	15.3%	6.3%	208	+1.45	3.25	314	69
Brad Peacock R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	28	SP-	3.97	20.9%	8.7%	2.8%	.302	3.45	29.4%	20.4%	289	-0.52	2.97	748	69
Jonathan Pintaro R 2024 · 3.42 FIP	26	SP	3.42	18.9%	9.4%	1.3%	.264	4.07	23.9%	12.1%	153	+0.65	3.42	223	68
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	67
Chase Anderson R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	18.5%	8.2%	4.1%	.285	4.25	21.3%	13.3%	438	-0.58	3.30	1,260	67
Antonio Guzman R 2016 · 3.72 FIP	28	SP	3.72	21.3%	8.7%	2.4%	.292	3.83	19.5%	7.8%	118	+0.11	3.15	254	67
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	67
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	67
Jason Forjet R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	15.9%	5.5%	3.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	197	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	106	21.0%	7.8%	1.37	4.50
Max Surkont ('49-'57, 5 WAR*)	6.0	149	20.0%*	8.4%*	1.27*	4.76*
Craig Swan ('73-'84, 10 WAR*)	6.2	124	18.8%*	7.1%*	1.36*	4.46*
Dan Straily ('19)	4.0	115	19.8%	9.1%	1.60	4.56
Mark Gardner ('89-'01, 7 WAR*)	8.8	136	19.6%*	8.0%*	1.44*	4.84*
Anthony DeSclafani ('25)	4.9	109	20.9%	6.4%	1.34	4.24
Tyler Skaggs ('19)	2.6	74	21.5%	8.0%	1.09	4.41