Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 36 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 121 | 44 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 31.5% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 3.20 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 36 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 121 | 44 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 40.9% | 14.9% | 26.0% | 1.4% | 3.20 | 2.28 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 30 | 3 | 44 | 232 | 55 | 51 | 6 | 10% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 24.2% | -5.0% | 3.8% | 10.51 | 6.64 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 30 | 3 | 44 | 232 | 55 | 51 | 6 | 10% | 1.5 | 23.7% | 22.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 10.51 | 5.87 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 64 | 305 | 93 | 39 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 4.62 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 64 | 305 | 93 | 39 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 30.5% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 1.3% | 4.62 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 50 | 230 | 50 | 38 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 17.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 50 | 230 | 50 | 38 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 16.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 4.83 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 59 | 278 | 97 | 45 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.6% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 1.7% | 5.16 | 3.51 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 59 | 278 | 97 | 45 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.9% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 1.4% | 5.16 | 2.98 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 2 | 37 | 161 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 6% | 1.2 | 26.7% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 1.2% | 2.41 | 2.63 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 2.1% | 3.48 | 3.55 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 2.1% | 3.48 | 3.55 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 67 | 288 | 80 | 32 | 5 | — | — | 27.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 1.6% | 2.89 | 3.04 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 67 | 284 | 80 | 32 | 5 | — | — | 28.1% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 1.6% | 2.89 | 3.03 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 81 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 3.92 | 3.97 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 77 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 4.02 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 77 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 3.92 | 3.97 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 73 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 4.02 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 201 | 2 | 214 | 919 | 258 | 118 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 1.8% | 3.75 | 3.35 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 2 | 200 | 859 | 241 | 110 | 16 | 1% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 1.8% | 3.75 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
| Career | — | 249 | 6 | 325 | 1502 | 393 | 249 | 33 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.1% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 4.98 | 4.18 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 4 | 200 | 923 | 241 | 153 | 20 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.1% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 4.98 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Klein (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 31.0% | 16.2% | 2.4% | — | 4.02 | 28.6% | 15.2% | 131 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Chase Silseth R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.26 | 28.8% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 313 | 78 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 78 |
| Reyes Moronta R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.31 | 28.5% | 13.0% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.04 | 21.5% | 5.3% | 56 | +1.73 | 3.06 | 361 | 76 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.45 | 24.6% | 13.7% | 1.3% | .364 | 3.31 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 30 | -0.14 | 3.31 | 184 | 76 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 75 |
| Ray Black R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 30.0% | 24.6% | 0.9% | .281 | 3.96 | 34.6% | 23.4% | 94 | -0.20 | 2.96 | 150 | 75 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.20 | 27.8% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .374 | 3.75 | 25.0% | 13.7% | 86 | +0.55 | 2.83 | 577 | 75 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.81 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.79 | 2.75 | 233 | 74 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 74 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 74 |
| Cole Uvila R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 27.6% | 15.5% | 0.8% | .246 | 3.67 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 98 | +0.49 | 3.16 | 155 | 74 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | 2.96 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 38 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 214 | 74 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 74 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.85 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.83 | 2.85 | 174 | 74 |
| José Cisnero R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 74 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 74 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 74 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 73 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.39 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 129 | +0.92 | 3.20 | 314 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 29.4% | 14.4% | 0.90 | 4.03 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Leclerc ('24) | 6 | 57 | 31.6% | 12.8% | 0.76 | 3.33 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. ('23) | 5 | 50 | 28.7% | 12.4% | 0.76 | 3.05 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |