Jack Costello — OGILVIE

Jack Costello3B Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .274 / .342

PA195

HR5

K%26

BB%7

BABIP249

ISO143

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	105	26	4	1	6	11	11	4	2	1	248	342	476	818	229	225	9	9	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	402	68	12	0	9	19	105	18	10	1	169	239	266	505	97	205	24	4	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	SD	—	293	259	47	12	2	8	23	80	8	6	3	181	269	336	605	154	225	27	8	261	58	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
YTD	25	A+	SD	—	293	249	55	15	2	10	33	59	8	6	3	221	331	418	749	197	247	20	11	333	113	+4	+0	+0	+1	+8	1.4
ROS	25	A+	SD	0%	195	175	35	8	1	5	13	51	5	3	1	200	274	342	616	143	245	26	7	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						242	0	0	252	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	A+	SD	—	294	260	47	12	2	8	23	80	8	6	3	181	268	335	603	154	224	27	8	261	58	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
TOT	25	A+	SD	—	488	434	82	20	3	13	36	131	13	9	4	189	271	338	609	150	235	27	7	267	62	-21	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	30%	365	328	66	14	1	10	25	93	9	5	2	201	276	341	618	140	247	25	7	279	71	-12	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.0
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	388	349	72	15	2	11	27	99	9	6	2	206	281	355	636	149	250	26	7	282	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+11	0.1
2027	26	MLB	SD	30%	111	99	19	4	0	3	8	28	3	2	1	192	273	323	596	131	243	25	7	257	55	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	162	146	29	6	1	4	11	41	4	2	1	199	273	336	609	137	247	25	7	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	274	246	48	10	1	7	19	69	7	4	2	195	272	329	601	134	238	25	7	259	57	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	114	24	2	17	45	164	17	9	5	195	273	330	603	135	238	25	7	259	57	-32	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1508	1359	267	53	5	41	95	359	45	26	7	196	271	333	605	137	234	24	6	268	63	-62	+2	+0	+5	+43	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	115	23	2	18	41	155	19	11	3	196	271	334	605	138	233	24	6	268	63	-27	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	166	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	83	-9	+2	—	—	+12	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	274	7	4	204	276	347	+1	+0	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	18	10	204	276	347	+2.4	+1.2	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Costello (OGILVIE)	25	40	35	45	25	189/271/338	150	235	13	9	27%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Jay Brossman 2010 · A	25	40→36	46→45	46→45	41	206/259/335	128	260	13	8	26%	5%	62	-0.9	200/247/324	124	262	13	9	28%	5%	53	-1.5	158/192/269	110	200	14	9	29%	4%	13	-0.7
✕Ricardo Sosa 2009 · A	25	45	44→45	42→40	41	223/265/341	118	265	12	5	21%	4%	66	-0.6	226/276/344	118	274	13	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	223/275/339	116	265	13	3	21%	5%	66	-0.5
✕B.J. Garbe 2006 · A	25	46	45	45→50	45	228/276/350	123	265	13	10	20%	6%	72	-0.2	213/264/330	117	279	12	12	27%	6%	63	-0.9	150/195/266	116	202	14	17	34%	4%	15	-0.7
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	41→44	49→45	49→50	39	216/261/359	144	275	18	9	29%	5%	69	-0.4	219/262/344	125	293	14	14	29%	4%	65	-0.7	231/280/346	114	294	10	18	24%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	39→41	46→45	39→30	40	202/280/329	127	265	15	4	29%	6%	71	-0.3	210/296/318	108	307	11	3	32%	9%	74	-0.1	196/292/294	98	292	10	0	33%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Drew Biery 2011 · A	25	41→39	45	42→45	41	210/268/328	118	281	14	8	30%	6%	64	-0.8	217/272/343	126	291	15	7	29%	6%	69	-0.4	205/249/353	149	252	22	0	29%	5%	61	-0.2
✕Jared Foster 2018 · A	25	45→47	43→45	45→50	38	224/260/335	111	287	10	9	26%	4%	61	-1.0	207/249/297	90	285	8	9	29%	5%	46	-2.0	139/166/166	27	193	4	7	30%	3%	-25	-1.3
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A	25	42	43→40	47→30	41	209/266/319	110	288	11	6	31%	7%	61	-1.0	198/262/288	90	315	7	8	36%	8%	51	-1.7	188/264/255	66	326	0	0	38%	8%	41	-0.4
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	41→49	44→45	46→50	46	208/272/325	117	250	12	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	220/280/336	116	271	12	12	23%	7%	71	-0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Avelino Asprilla 2006 · A	25	45→44	45	42→45	39	224/266/346	122	289	14	6	27%	5%	68	-0.5	215/258/317	102	280	9	8	26%	4%	56	-1.3	206/245/299	93	265	7	8	25%	3%	43	-1.7
✕Javi Herrera 2006 · AA	25	42	42→40	43→45	37	206/260/311	104	273	9	6	28%	4%	56	-1.3	213/283/307	94	268	8	6	23%	6%	66	-0.6	196/290/279	83	247	8	5	22%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Dusty Brown 2007 · AA	25	41	43→45	44→30	43	205/258/311	106	264	11	5	26%	6%	55	-1.4	224/282/344	120	300	12	3	28%	7%	74	-0.1	228/291/341	113	307	12	0	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕T.J. White 2018 · AA	26	43→44	45	47→45	43	215/279/342	127	275	12	7	26%	6%	72	-0.2	208/266/337	129	285	14	7	31%	6%	66	-0.6	134/183/231	97	186	14	3	36%	3%	0	-1.3
✕Michael Earley 2013 · A	25	46→47	44→45	45	40	229/274/354	125	277	11	7	22%	4%	73	-0.1	223/261/319	96	283	7	6	23%	4%	57	-1.2	218/253/298	79	278	5	5	23%	4%	45	-1.3
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Ryan Curry 2010 · A	25	46→48	45	41→45	42	231/272/357	126	281	12	6	23%	5%	72	-0.2	227/266/345	118	257	10	6	16%	4%	67	-0.5	224/262/338	114	246	10	5	13%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Tripper Johnson 2007 · AA	25	45→47	43→45	46→45	43	222/267/337	115	265	11	7	21%	5%	66	-0.6	227/278/343	116	270	10	9	19%	6%	72	-0.2	226/278/341	115	267	10	9	19%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	49→30	40	209/255/318	109	273	11	8	28%	5%	56	-1.3	239/291/323	84	297	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.2	235/292/318	83	282	8	1	19%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	44→39	42→40	43→45	43	217/282/317	100	279	10	5	25%	6%	67	-0.5	195/267/283	88	278	8	7	31%	6%	53	-1.5	93/185/125	33	153	4	0	39%	5%	-22	-1.4