Jack Costello — OGILVIE

Jack Costello3B Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION428 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP243

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	158	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	85	-8	+2	—	—	+10	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	27	4	1	6	10	11	4	2	1	255	342	481	823	226	225	9	8	346	120	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	402	69	13	0	8	19	104	18	10	1	172	241	264	505	92	208	24	4	224	38	-33	+2	—	—	+10	-2.2
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	27	4	1	6	10	11	4	2	1	255	342	481	823	226	233	9	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	402	69	13	0	8	19	104	18	10	1	172	241	264	505	92	210	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	27	4	1	6	10	11	4	2	1	255	342	481	823	226	225	9	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	399	69	13	0	8	19	104	18	10	1	173	241	266	507	93	208	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	27	4	1	6	10	11	4	2	1	255	342	481	823	226	225	9	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	399	69	13	0	8	19	104	18	10	1	173	241	266	507	93	208	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	SD	—	428	384	77	16	2	12	28	98	12	9	4	201	276	346	622	146	236	23	7	270	69	-16	+0	+0	+2	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ RAW	SD	—	340	288	67	17	2	13	38	60	11	7	4	233	344	441	785	208	249	18	11	348	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	SD	—	88	83	22	3	0	2	3	14	1	2	0	265	299	373	672	108	299	16	3	298	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A+ MLE	SD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		245	20	10	282	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	A+ MLE	SD	—	438	393	78	16	2	12	29	100	12	9	4	198	274	341	615	142	233	23	7	271	69	-16	+0	+0	+2	+9	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	38%	365	329	69	14	1	10	24	82	9	5	2	210	282	350	631	140	249	22	7	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	388	350	75	15	1	11	26	87	9	6	2	214	286	357	643	143	252	22	7	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	60%	401	361	77	16	1	11	28	91	9	6	2	213	286	355	641	141	253	23	7	289	82	-9	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	62%	400	360	77	16	1	11	28	91	9	6	2	214	287	356	643	142	253	23	7	288	81	-9	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	SD	63%	398	358	76	15	1	11	28	92	9	5	2	212	286	352	638	140	252	23	7	285	79	-10	+0	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	38%	139	126	26	5	0	4	9	31	3	2	1	206	275	341	617	135	246	22	6	267	80	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	203	182	40	8	1	6	14	46	5	3	1	220	294	374	667	154	249	23	7	271	82	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	60%	239	215	46	9	1	7	17	54	5	4	1	214	287	363	650	149	250	23	7	272	82	-5	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	62%	246	222	47	9	1	7	17	56	5	4	1	212	283	356	639	144	250	23	7	271	81	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	SD	63%	250	225	47	9	1	7	18	58	5	3	1	209	282	351	633	142	249	23	7	269	79	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1077	970	206	40	4	31	75	245	23	16	5	212	285	358	642	145	250	23	7	270	75	-25	+1	-3	+4	+23	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	124	24	2	19	45	148	14	10	3	212	284	357	641	145	249	23	7	270	75	-15	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2522	2275	471	93	6	68	164	560	67	40	12	207	280	343	623	136	243	22	7	279	75	-45	+2	-4	+7	+43	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	122	24	2	18	42	144	17	10	3	208	280	348	628	140	244	22	6	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,078	30	16	214	283	357	+4	+2	0.9	0.9
/162	664	18	10	+2.4	+0.9	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Costello (OGILVIE)	25	40	35	45	25	207/278/345	138	245	8	6	22%	6%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dallas Carroll 2018 · A	24	47→34	45	46→45	46	235/293/353	118	283	13	9	22%	6%	83	+0.1	188/250/269	81	260	7	7	29%	7%	47	-2.5	168/229/234	66	229	6	6	28%	7%	30	-3.7
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	40→42	46→45	39→30	41	206/284/331	126	268	14	4	28%	6%	76	-0.4	211/296/316	105	302	11	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	197/291/291	93	287	10	0	32%	10%	66	-0.6
✕B.J. Garbe 2006 · A	25	46	45	45→50	45	228/276/350	123	265	13	10	20%	6%	76	-0.4	213/264/327	114	277	12	12	26%	6%	66	-1.1	151/196/258	107	201	13	17	32%	4%	23	-0.8
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→44	49→50	43→45	44	211/285/364	153	273	17	7	29%	7%	84	+0.1	217/297/364	147	287	15	5	28%	9%	88	+0.4	213/295/355	142	282	15	3	28%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Adam Fox 2007 · AA	25	44	44→45	46→45	47	220/277/341	121	258	12	9	20%	7%	74	-0.5	222/271/341	119	272	12	8	23%	5%	72	-0.7	219/266/340	121	268	14	7	24%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Ricardo Sosa 2009 · A	25	45	44→45	42→40	41	223/265/341	118	265	12	5	21%	4%	70	-0.9	225/276/339	114	272	12	5	21%	5%	73	-0.6	222/275/330	107	264	11	3	20%	5%	68	-0.8
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→47	43→40	44→45	48	235/296/337	102	285	12	7	22%	8%	80	-0.1	223/287/304	81	281	8	9	22%	7%	70	-0.9	216/285/284	68	272	7	8	22%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Devlin Granberg 2022 · AA	26	47→45	49→45	48→45	41	239/292/391	151	288	17	7	23%	5%	92	+0.7	238/303/362	124	299	10	10	23%	6%	88	+0.5	239/315/344	104	308	5	11	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	45→43	45	48→45	45	225/280/349	124	273	12	8	22%	6%	77	-0.3	205/268/311	106	291	10	9	31%	7%	64	-1.3	103/186/148	46	179	7	7	44%	9%	-4	-1.1
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA	25	43	46→50	43→45	40	218/263/348	130	282	14	4	28%	5%	71	-0.8	220/273/338	118	292	13	6	28%	6%	72	-0.7	215/270/323	108	281	13	5	27%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Matt Macri 2007 · AA	25	43→40	44→50	44→45	42	217/273/334	118	281	12	6	27%	6%	72	-0.7	222/269/361	139	283	14	6	26%	5%	76	-0.4	213/260/356	144	268	14	6	26%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	49→50	43	193/273/321	128	259	13	9	30%	7%	70	-0.9	215/289/341	126	276	12	9	25%	7%	79	-0.2	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Zach Borowiak 2006 · AA	25	44	45→40	46→45	41	221/274/346	125	267	12	7	22%	5%	74	-0.5	207/257/287	80	257	7	7	21%	4%	54	-2.0	192/243/248	56	244	4	5	22%	5%	39	-1.8
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	43→48	43→45	46→50	47	210/274/319	109	252	10	13	21%	7%	68	-1.0	223/284/335	112	273	12	12	22%	7%	76	-0.4	238/297/343	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	25	47→43	44→45	43→30	43	233/272/342	109	271	13	2	20%	5%	72	-0.7	231/271/337	106	275	12	4	20%	5%	70	-0.8	251/284/359	107	285	15	1	17%	4%	78	-0.1
✕Neil Wilson 2009 · AA	25	46	45	44→40	44	229/270/354	125	267	13	4	20%	5%	74	-0.5	218/266/337	119	271	13	5	24%	5%	69	-0.9	199/247/306	107	248	13	0	25%	5%	52	-0.5
✕Xavier Fernández 2021 · AAA	26	45	46→45	45→40	44	226/270/354	128	260	14	7	20%	5%	74	-0.5	232/282/350	118	280	13	5	22%	6%	78	-0.3	236/287/356	119	281	13	2	20%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	41→40	48→55	49→50	43	212/276/352	140	262	16	14	26%	6%	77	-0.3	215/273/373	158	275	17	15	28%	6%	81	-0.1	204/264/366	162	267	18	17	30%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	42→45	47→45	50	39	217/262/353	136	282	16	9	29%	5%	72	-0.7	220/264/342	122	294	12	14	29%	4%	70	-0.9	249/300/376	127	307	13	14	23%	5%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps