Luis C Gonzalez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Luis C Gonzalez P DSL Pirates Black

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%22.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	19	0	28	115	23	11	2	0%	1.5	13.6%	12.0%	1.6%	1.8%	1.63	4.48	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	19	0	28	115	23	11	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	9.6%	10.4%	1.7%	1.63	3.57	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	12	0	23	100	26	17	1	0%	1.9	17.7%	21.3%	-3.6%	1.3%	2.74	4.99	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	12	0	23	100	26	17	1	0%	1.9	26.0%	17.0%	9.0%	1.0%	2.74	3.62	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	14	71	14	11	2	0%	1.1	13.4%	19.4%	-6.0%	3.9%	7.53	6.59	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	14	71	14	11	2	0%	1.1	13.4%	19.4%	-6.0%	3.9%	7.53	6.59	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	14	71	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	15.5%	4.2%	2.8%	7.53	5.26	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	11.2%	11.7%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.4%	12.9%	3.0%	4.51	4.47	+0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.4%	12.9%	3.0%	4.51	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.4%	12.9%	3.0%	4.51	4.09	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.4%	12.9%	3.0%	4.51	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		44	0	65	286	43	49	6	0%	1.5	15.0%	17.0%	-2.1%	2.2%	3.32	5.18	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	0	200	880	132	150	19	0%	1.5	15.0%	17.0%	-2.1%	2.2%	3.32	5.18	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis C Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	22.9%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.47	23.4%	12.9%	20	-0.14	—	—	—
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	88
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	86
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	86
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	85
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	85
Daniel Schlereth L 2010 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	21.8%	8.0%	2.4%	.305	4.64	20.8%	7.6%	49	+1.05	3.06	130	85
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	83
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	83
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	82
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	81
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.00	21.5%	11.9%	184	-0.29	3.38	311	81
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	80
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	80
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	80
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	80
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	80
Brendon Little L 2021 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	24.7%	11.4%	2.4%	.333	4.03	20.1%	9.1%	187	+0.27	2.63	506	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Taylor Tankersley L 2007 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	23.9%	12.7%	1.9%	.302	7.13	14.2%	4.3%	30	+3.37	3.65	118	80