Aaron Sabato

1B St. Paul Saints

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%30%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAAMIN	264	.245/.291/.453	14	0	54	—	.204/.238/.320
2025	26	AAMIN	163	.305/.399/.574	9	1	101	—	.231/.307/.429
2026	27	AAAMIN	470	.273/.351/.528	25	5	88	—	.226/.287/.405
2027PROJ30% MLB	28	MLBMIN	75	.224/.283/.388	3	1	87	-0.1
2028PROJ39% MLB	29	MLBMIN	126	.222/.281/.382	4	1	85	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV93

Speed48

Chase%38

K%37

Z-Con%36

BB%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsBrett Carroll (age 27) · Kyle Jensen (age 28) · Mike Bianucci (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .283 / .388

PA75

HR3

K%32

BB%7

BABIP300

ISO174

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	97	75	19	3	0	8	19	32	1	0	0	253	411	613	1.024	360	297	33	20	430	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	367	286	54	15	0	11	73	117	7	1	0	189	366	357	723	168	270	32	20	337	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	99	84	15	4	0	5	10	31	3	2	0	179	289	405	693	226	200	31	10	305	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	348	288	65	13	0	17	49	111	8	2	1	226	354	448	802	222	294	32	14	356	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	319	272	60	19	1	12	42	103	3	2	2	221	331	430	761	210	302	32	13	338	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	75	65	14	3	0	7	9	27	1	0	0	215	320	585	905	369	226	36	12	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	350	306	63	14	0	10	38	104	5	8	2	206	304	350	653	144	275	30	11	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	15	1	0	0	0	8	9	0	0	0	67	391	67	458		167	39	35	282	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	264	245	60	7	1	14	15	83	1	0	0	245	291	453	744	208	305	31	6	323	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	163	141	43	11	0	9	20	42	2	1	0	305	399	574	973	270	378	26	12	424	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	17	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	118	286	118	403		143	18	14	211	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	470	417	114	29	1	25	41	119	9	5	0	273	351	528	879	254	322	25	9	382	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	97	81	16	2	0	7	13	44	1	0	0	198	316	481	797	284	261	45	13	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	367	307	41	12	0	8	52	163	7	1	0	134	273	251	524	117	232	44	14	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	99	87	12	3	0	4	7	40	3	2	0	138	227	310	537	172	169	40	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	348	303	53	11	0	13	34	142	8	2	1	175	275	340	615	165	256	41	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	319	283	51	17	1	8	31	123	3	2	2	180	268	332	600	152	279	39	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	350	317	51	11	0	9	27	132	5	8	2	161	238	281	519	120	234	38	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	18	1	0	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	56	261	56	316		136	52	22	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	264	250	51	6	1	7	10	101	1	0	0	204	238	320	558	116	301	38	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	163	147	34	8	0	7	14	54	2	1	0	231	307	429	735	197	319	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	111	238	111	349		123	23	9	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	470	430	97	24	1	17	28	143	9	5	0	226	287	405	692	179	289	30	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	464	389	57	14	0	15	64	206	8	1	0	147	280	298	578	152	246	44	14	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	464	361	73	18	0	19	92	149	8	1	0	202	375	410	785	208	276	32	20	356	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	389	65	14	0	17	42	181	11	4	1	167	267	334	601	167	245	40	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	447	372	80	17	0	22	59	142	11	4	1	215	339	438	778	223	272	32	13	344	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	350	62	21	1	9	38	152	4	2	2	177	265	320	585	143	277	39	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	394	337	74	22	1	19	51	130	4	2	2	220	329	460	789	240	289	33	13	347	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	335	51	11	0	9	32	144	5	8	2	152	237	266	502	113	230	39	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	373	321	64	14	0	10	46	113	5	8	2	199	309	336	646	137	271	30	12	297	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	415	87	14	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	210	263	349	612	140	299	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	449	403	105	18	1	23	38	129	4	1	0	261	330	481	812	221	322	29	8	354	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	470	430	97	24	1	17	28	143	9	5	0	226	287	405	692	179	293	30	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	470	417	114	29	1	25	41	119	9	5	0	273	351	528	879	254	322	25	9	382	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	464	389	57	14	0	15	64	206	8	1	0	147	280	298	578	152	238	44	14	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	391	65	14	0	17	42	181	11	4	1	166	267	332	599	166	237	40	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	349	62	21	1	9	38	152	4	2	2	178	265	321	586	143	279	39	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	333	51	11	0	9	32	144	5	8	2	153	237	267	504	114	228	39	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	416	87	14	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	209	263	349	611	139	299	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	470	430	97	24	1	17	28	143	9	5	0	226	287	405	692	179	289	30	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	333	51	11	0	9	32	144	5	8	2	153	237	267	504	114	228	39	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	416	87	14	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	209	263	349	611	139	299	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	470	430	97	24	1	17	28	143	9	5	0	226	287	405	692	179	289	30	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	380	348	78	17	1	13	24	121	5	4	0	223	283	387	669	163	299	32	6	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	75	69	15	3	0	3	5	24	1	1	0	224	283	388	670	164	300	32	7	297	87	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	39%	323	296	66	14	1	11	20	102	4	2	0	222	281	381	662	159	297	32	6	294	85	-6	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	39%	126	115	25	5	0	4	8	40	2	1	0	222	281	382	663	160	297	32	6	294	85	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	126	115	25	5	0	4	8	40	2	1	0	217	280	365	645	148	292	32	6	294	70	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	130	26	0	21	41	206	10	5	0	219	281	369	650	150	294	32	6	294	70	-12	+1	-3	-12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3170	2833	536	123	5	100	266	1169	48	25	5	189	270	342	612	153	275	37	8	271	70	-10	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	110	25	1	21	55	240	10	5	1	189	271	344	615	155	275	37	8	271	70	-11	+1	-2	-12	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	201	7	1	223	279	385	-4	-2	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	22	5	-11.9	-5.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#5Rocky Nelson'49-'61 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,555 PA	2.3	1,555	31	7	241*	307*	388*	-27	-8	-1.9	-0.7
/162	664	13	3	-11.6	-3.5	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Sabato (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	45	30	222/280/383	162	299	8	2	32%	6%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB	27	43→46	51→55	41→50	42	223/278/388	165	275	19	4	26%	6%	86	+0.3	211/276/349	138	265	15	10	26%	6%	76	-0.4	203/269/334	132	257	15	10	26%	6%	69	-0.7
✕Kyle Jensen 2016 · AAA	28	37→47	52→55	46→40	38	204/256/370	167	269	21	3	33%	6%	74	-0.5	202/252/357	155	297	19	3	37%	6%	70	-0.9	183/235/327	144	277	19	1	40%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Mike Bianucci 2014 · AAA	28	41→40	53→60	43→40	39	221/270/389	168	270	22	4	27%	5%	84	+0.1	228/267/411	183	270	25	5	26%	5%	87	+0.4	220/252/409	189	250	28	2	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Brandon Snyder 2015 · MLB	28	40→50	50→55	48→45	35	209/260/359	150	295	18	6	35%	5%	73	-0.6	221/273/367	146	309	16	7	32%	6%	79	-0.2	218/273/370	152	295	18	5	32%	6%	78	-0.2
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	38→45	52→55	47→50	42	204/258/381	178	252	19	8	28%	6%	77	-0.3	219/265/380	161	254	17	8	21%	5%	79	-0.2	229/273/404	176	255	22	11	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Stefan Gartrell 2012 · AAA	28	44→52	53→55	45	41	229/284/401	172	289	22	5	29%	6%	91	+0.7	223/280/379	156	309	20	8	33%	7%	84	+0.2	213/272/360	148	300	20	8	35%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→55	43→40	41	215/273/375	160	287	21	5	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/282/375	160	270	19	7	27%	8%	84	+0.2	169/244/357	189	183	25	0	25%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→39	52→55	43→40	34	215/277/379	164	309	21	5	36%	5%	84	+0.2	200/258/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	168/219/294	126	260	19	3	42%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Andrew Brown 2013 · MLB	28	44→46	54→55	43→40	42	230/289/408	178	303	22	5	31%	7%	95	+0.9	231/294/409	178	293	21	5	28%	8%	97	+1.1	226/294/407	181	278	22	2	26%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Ernesto Mejia 2013 · AAA	27	46→47	54→60	45	37	239/285/417	178	318	22	7	32%	5%	95	+1.0	228/280/417	189	304	24	8	32%	6%	94	+0.9	198/254/395	197	258	26	7	34%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Cody Decker 2016 · AAA	29	36→39	54→65	42→30	40	197/262/373	175	270	23	3	36%	7%	77	-0.3	188/245/339	151	280	19	3	38%	6%	63	-1.4	175/244/325	149	254	20	0	38%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Kyle Garlick 2020 · MLB	28	39→49	56→60	47→40	35	211/259/399	188	297	24	4	37%	5%	82	+0.0	227/280/421	194	306	25	6	33%	6%	95	+0.9	199/265/369	169	273	23	2	35%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	207/302/394	187	288	24	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	215/316/411	196	319	25	8	37%	11%	106	+1.8	205/313/411	206	301	27	7	38%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Nick Gorneault 2007 · AAA	28	47→48	51→55	48→50	42	239/291/410	171	313	18	8	29%	7%	95	+1.0	215/272/355	140	281	16	12	28%	7%	76	-0.4	197/255/324	127	256	15	12	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Mac Williamson 2019 · MLB	29	42→51	54→55	44→45	42	222/283/393	170	280	23	6	29%	6%	89	+0.5	229/300/398	169	297	23	9	30%	8%	97	+1.1	210/289/373	163	272	25	7	32%	9%	88	+0.2
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	44	221/282/398	177	264	23	6	26%	7%	91	+0.6	231/288/379	148	269	16	9	20%	6%	88	+0.4	232/283/390	157	251	13	0	14%	5%	85	+0.0
✕Chris Jacobs 2016 · AAA	27	43→39	48→55	46→40	43	218/291/358	140	299	16	3	31%	8%	84	+0.2	214/270/321	107	313	11	6	33%	6%	67	-1.1	176/210/255	79	269	12	0	39%	3%	26	-0.8
✕Josh Bonifay 2006 · AA	28	44→42	56→60	45	38	234/277/423	189	306	24	3	32%	5%	94	+0.9	223/268/388	165	284	20	6	28%	6%	82	-0.0	209/252/373	164	255	20	5	27%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	41→51	50	45→50	42	211/285/367	156	285	18	10	32%	7%	84	+0.2	210/287/359	149	309	17	16	36%	8%	83	+0.1	206/303/366	160	266	22	29	30%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Mitch Jones 2006 · AAA	28	43→40	54→65	39→45	37	219/277/396	178	318	22	4	37%	6%	88	+0.4	209/272/399	190	286	24	6	35%	7%	87	+0.4	211/272/450	239	253	34	9	32%	7%	96	+0.5

Aaron Sabato

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps