Nick Gonzales

3B Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 193 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 3.105 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AAAPIT154.356/.431/.60050132—.302/.366/.496
202425MLBPIT387.270/.314/.39875981.1
202526AAAPIT38.194/.216/.250007—.167/.189/.222
202526MLBPIT408.260/.302/.36250860.7
202627MLBPIT608.303/.367/.388671193.1
2027PROJ28MLBPIT551.278/.339/.3707271032.0
2028PROJ29MLBPIT536.274/.335/.3626231001.5
2029PROJ30MLBPIT521.270/.330/.352519951.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.105First FA2030
2027Arb-1$5M2028Arb-2$7M2029Arb-3$8M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed84
xwOBA56
Bat Spd40
Avg EV29
Barrel%24
Form.284/.347/.369 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .278/.337/.371
CompsNico Hoerner (age 27) · Leonys Martin (age 27) · Craig Gentry (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 105103vR 95
AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .339 / .370
PA551
HR7
SB27
K%17
BB%7
BABIP329
ISO94
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: +4.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +11.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +2.40+2.4WAR
0.01.42.92.41.51.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$20M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
740.270
POWER45
Barrel%
244.8
Avg EV
2987.5
Bat Spd
4070.3
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
8428.8
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%15%▲▲13% over 83 PA (60d) · proj 17%
BB%7%▲8% over 83 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.085·.068 over 73 AB (60d) · proj .093
HR/BB1.1%▼0.0% over 62 BBE (60d) · proj 1.7%
BABIP.329·.339 over 62 BIP (60d) · proj .329
SLASH.284/.347/.369·proj .278/.337/.371
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 881 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
225
656
—
wRC+
103
85
◀◀L
wOBA
320
293
◀L
ISO
143
095
◀◀L
BABIP
334
310
◀L
K%
21.3%
17.4%
▶▶R
BB%
4.4%
4.9%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.105 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$5M+2.4$19M+$14M
2028Arb-2$7M+1.5$11M+$5M
2029Arb-3$8M+1.0$7M+$0.5M
Totals $19M $37M +$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 369324 9823418 401014 72 302386565951 262388 2711 413 93 — — — — — —
202122 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 8771 27412 13142 40 3804885491.038 169446 1615 455 194 — — — — — —
202223 AAAltoona Curve — 316259 682017 439010 53 263388429816 166367 2814 365 88 — — — — — —
202223 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 7768 19413 7161 11 279355500855 221320 219 371 137 — — — — — —
202324 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 128115 24812 6364 01 209272348620 139278 285 273 71 -4 -0 +1 +2 +3 0.1
202324 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 443377 10627814 531189 43 281383507889 225369 2712 388 95 — — — — — —
202425 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 387359 971937 18745 53 270314398712 128319 195 314 98 -1 -0 +2 +2 +8 1.1
202425 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 154135 481425 15253 03 3564316001.031 244406 1610 446 132 — — — — — —
202526 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 408381 991835 21732 02 260302362664 102306 185 295 86 -7 -1 +4 +2 +9 0.7
202526 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 3836 7010 0111 00 194216250466 56269 290 205 7 — — — — — —
202627 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 608551 1672716 439913 73 303367388756 85360 167 343 119 +13 +0 +2 +2 +13 3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 15311406 38772820 8828224 129 275329381709 105329 186 317 101 +2 -1 +8 +8 +33 5.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 369338 7819311 261344 72 231293402696 172346 367 305 93 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 316271 611815 3111210 53 225327354681 129340 3510 299 88 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 128115 24812 6364 01 209272348620 139278 285 273 71 -4 -0 +1 +2 +3 0.1
202324 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 443395 912279 351479 43 230308390697 159335 338 308 95 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 387360 971838 17745 53 269312403714 133319 194 314 98 -1 -0 +2 +2 +8 1.1
202425 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 154139 421124 11323 03 302366496862 194354 217 363 132 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 408381 981735 21732 02 257300357656 100306 185 296 86 -7 -1 +4 +2 +9 0.7
202526 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 3836 6010 0141 00 167189222411 56249 370 178 7 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 608551 1672616 439913 73 303367387754 83360 167 343 119 +13 +0 +2 +2 +13 3.1
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 456416 9824414 321656 112 236300413713 178351 367 305 93 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAW2 teams — 456395 12527520 531156 112 316405562967 246401 2512 421 93 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 393339 752216 3814011 64 221320345665 124348 3610 299 88 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAW2 teams — 393327 8724210 5010611 64 266381443825 177356 2713 366 88 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 571510 11530811 4118313 44 225300380680 155323 327 300 89 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAW2 teams — 571492 13035916 5915413 44 264358470828 205348 2710 362 89 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 541499 13829511 281068 56 277325421746 144328 205 328 108 +5 -1 +2 +2 +12 1.9
202425 MLB RAW2 teams — 541494 14533512 33998 56 294348453801 160343 186 352 108 +5 -1 +2 +2 +12 1.9
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 446417 1051745 21873 02 252293348640 96303 205 286 80 -11 -1 +4 +2 +10 0.4
202526 MLB RAW2 teams — 446417 1061845 21843 02 254295353647 98303 195 288 80 -11 -1 +4 +2 +10 0.4
202627 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 608551 1672616 439913 73 303367387754 83360 167 343 119 +13 +0 +2 +2 +13 3.1
202627 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 608551 1672716 439913 73 303367388756 85360 167 343 119 +13 +0 +2 +2 +13 3.1
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 456415 9824414 321656 112 236300414714 178346 367 305 93 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 393341 752216 3814011 64 220320343663 123340 3610 299 88 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 571512 11530811 4118313 44 225300379679 154322 327 300 89 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 541500 13829511 281068 56 276325420745 144329 205 328 108 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 446419 1051745 21873 02 251293346639 95301 205 286 80 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 608547 1672616 439913 73 305367389757 84360 167 343 119 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 541500 13829511 281068 56 276325420745 144329 205 328 108 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 446419 1051745 21873 02 251293346639 95301 205 286 80 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 608547 1672616 439913 73 305367389757 84360 167 343 119 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEPIT 100% 533484 1352027 35929 265 279340371711 93329 177 320 103 +2 +3 -0 +2 +12 2.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXPIT 100% 551499 1402227 379510 275 278339370709 91329 177 320 103 +2 +3 -0 +2 +12 2.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEPIT 100% 536487 1332026 35949 235 275335363699 89326 187 315 100 -0 +3 -2 +2 +12 1.5
202930 MLB MLEPIT 100% 521473 1291926 34939 194 270330353683 83322 187 309 95 -3 +2 -2 +2 +11 1.0
203031 MLB MLEPIT 100% 506460 1211815 33928 133 264323341664 77317 187 301 90 -6 +1 -3 +2 +11 0.5
203132 MLB MLEPIT 100% 480439 1131614 30908 82 257316327643 69312 196 293 84 -9 +1 -4 +2 +10 0.0
203233 MLB MLEPIT 100% 445408 1021413 27867 32 250308311619 61307 196 282 77 -12 -0 -4 +2 +10 -0.5
202829 MLB CTXPIT 100% 536487 1342126 35949 235 274335362697 87326 187 315 100 -0 +3 -2 +2 +12 1.5
202930 MLB CTXPIT 100% 521473 1282025 34939 194 270330352682 82322 187 309 95 -3 +2 -2 +2 +11 1.0
203031 MLB CTXPIT 100% 506460 1221915 33928 133 263323340663 76317 187 301 90 -6 +1 -3 +2 +11 0.5
203132 MLB CTXPIT 100% 480439 1131714 30908 82 257316326643 69313 196 292 84 -9 +1 -4 +2 +10 0.0
203233 MLB CTXPIT 100% 445408 1021413 27867 32 250308310618 60307 196 282 77 -12 -0 -4 +2 +10 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 40193673 9861631543 24773765 7825 268326356682 88323 186 307 95 -29 +6 -7 +17 +87 7.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1592627 4011911 134 268326354680 86322 186 307 95 -5 +1 -1 +3 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 60545498 14352563284 3991330105 12642 261323365688 104328 227 308 95 -27 +9 -7 +19 +99 9.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 1532739 4314311 145 259321361682 102326 227 308 95 -4 +1 -1 +3 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 38 PAwOBA .205 → .178 (−27)K% 28.9% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.95%÷0.965×1.200——36.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.112×0.690—×1.0180.00%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.940—×1.0182.52%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.008×0.930—×1.01822.55%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.995×0.830—×1.0180.00%
Triples /BIP4.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0183.43%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.915×0.700—×1.0180.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 93, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .205 → .178; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .269 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 154 PAwOBA .437 → .363 (−74)K% 16.2% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.23%÷0.948×1.200——20.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.74%÷0.977×0.690—×1.0337.11%
HBP% /PA1.95%—×0.940—×1.0331.89%
Singles /BIP24.55%÷1.009×0.930×0.975×1.03322.79%
Doubles /BIP12.73%÷1.050×0.830×0.975×1.03310.13%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.150×0.970×0.975×1.0331.54%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.909×0.700—×1.0333.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .437 → .363; ISO .244 → .193; BABIP .406 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 443 PAwOBA .381 → .308 (−73)K% 26.6% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.64%÷0.967×1.200——33.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.74%÷1.056×0.690—×1.0488.04%
HBP% /PA2.03%—×0.940—×1.0482.00%
Singles /BIP22.01%÷1.004×0.930×0.992×1.04821.20%
Doubles /BIP10.42%÷1.013×0.830×0.992×1.0488.88%
Triples /BIP3.09%÷1.150×0.970×0.992×1.0482.71%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.095×0.700—×1.0483.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .381 → .308; ISO .225 → .168; BABIP .369 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAltoona Curve · 316 PAwOBA .361 → .299 (−62)K% 28.5% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.48%÷0.975×1.220——35.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.61%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0279.73%
HBP% /PA3.16%—×0.850—×1.0272.76%
Singles /BIP23.67%÷1.010×0.970×0.962×1.02722.45%
Doubles /BIP11.83%÷0.928×0.860×0.962×1.02710.84%
Triples /BIP0.59%÷1.150×0.950×0.962×1.0270.48%
Home runs /BIP4.14%÷1.084×0.780—×1.0273.06%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .361 → .299; ISO .166 → .133; BABIP .367 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 369 PAwOBA .402 → .305 (−97)K% 27.4% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.37%÷1.021×1.350——36.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.57%÷1.085×0.710—×1.0127.00%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.810—×1.0120.89%
Singles /BIP23.77%÷0.981×0.910×0.985×1.01221.96%
Doubles /BIP10.31%÷0.918×0.830×0.985×1.0129.29%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷0.900×0.820×0.985×1.0121.63%
Home runs /BIP8.07%÷1.238×0.830—×1.0125.48%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 96, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 104, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .402 → .305; ISO .262 → .185; BABIP .388 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .