Nick Gonzales — OGILVIE

Nick Gonzales2B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 193 lbs MLB Svc 2.105 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION373 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 116107vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.268 / .324 / .378

PA248

HR3

SB7

K%19

BB%6

BABIP325

ISO110

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

708.9%

xwOBA

540.313

POWER45

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE40

Chase%

8325.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

8128.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 881 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

225

656

—

wRC+

103

◀◀L

wOBA

320

293

◀L

ISO

143

095

◀◀L

BABIP

334

310

◀L

21.3%

17.4%

▶▶R

BB%

4.4%

4.9%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.105 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.2	$10M	+$10M
2027	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$13M	+$9M
2028	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2029	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$16M		$40M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	456	419	101	26	5	12	29	161	6	11	2	241	300	413	712	172	359	35	6	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	456	395	125	27	5	20	53	115	6	11	2	316	405	562	967	246	401	25	12	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	393	340	70	22	1	6	37	152	11	6	4	206	304	329	634	124	342	39	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	393	327	87	24	2	10	50	106	11	6	4	266	381	443	825	177	356	27	13	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	571	513	111	29	6	12	38	188	13	4	4	216	287	366	654	150	310	33	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	571	492	130	35	9	16	59	154	13	4	4	264	358	470	828	205	348	27	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	541	498	137	29	4	12	29	108	8	5	6	275	325	422	747	147	326	20	5	324	106	+4	-1	+2	+2	+15	2.2
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	541	494	145	33	5	12	33	99	8	5	6	294	348	453	801	160	343	18	6	352	127	+17	-1	+2	+2	+15	3.5
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	446	417	106	18	4	5	21	87	3	0	2	254	295	353	647	98	306	20	5	284	75	-12	-1	+4	+2	+13	0.5
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	446	417	106	18	4	5	21	84	3	0	2	254	295	353	647	98	303	19	5	288	78	-11	-1	+4	+2	+13	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	PIT	—	373	338	104	14	1	4	28	66	6	4	2	308	371	391	762	83	372	18	8	341	119	+8	+0	+2	+1	+11	2.2
YTD	27	MLB	PIT	—	373	338	104	14	1	4	28	66	6	4	2	308	371	391	762	83	372	18	8	345	122	+9	+0	+2	+1	+11	2.4
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	100%	248	227	61	12	2	3	16	47	3	7	2	268	324	378	702	110	320	19	6	314	98	-0	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	100%	249	228	60	11	2	3	16	47	3	8	2	263	320	368	688	105	319	19	6	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
FULL	27	MLB	PIT	—	622	566	164	25	3	7	44	113	9	12	4	290	351	382	732	92	350	18	7	326	108	+5	+1	+2	+2	+18	2.9
TOT	27	MLB	PIT	—	621	565	165	26	3	7	44	113	9	11	4	292	352	385	738	94	353	18	7	330	111	+8	+1	+2	+2	+18	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PIT	98%	609	556	142	27	4	8	40	117	8	17	4	255	315	362	676	106	308	19	7	304	91	-6	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.6
2028	29	MLB	PIT	98%	597	544	139	26	4	8	40	115	8	16	4	256	316	362	678	107	307	19	7	302	90	-7	+2	-0	+2	+17	1.4
2029	30	MLB	PIT	98%	585	533	134	25	3	7	39	115	8	14	3	251	312	349	661	98	306	20	7	299	87	-8	+2	-1	+2	+17	1.1
2030	31	MLB	PIT	98%	573	522	130	24	3	7	38	114	8	12	3	249	310	347	657	98	303	20	7	295	84	-10	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.7
2031	32	MLB	PIT	98%	562	513	125	23	3	6	37	114	7	10	2	244	303	335	639	92	300	20	7	289	79	-13	+1	-3	+2	+16	0.3
2032	33	MLB	PIT	98%	485	444	106	19	3	5	32	101	6	7	2	239	299	329	628	90	295	21	7	281	73	-15	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	PIT	98%	597	545	139	26	4	8	39	114	8	17	4	255	314	361	676	106	306	19	7	293	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.0
2028	29	MLB	PIT	98%	585	533	136	26	4	7	39	113	8	16	4	255	316	358	674	103	306	19	7	291	81	-13	+2	-0	+2	+17	0.7
2029	30	MLB	PIT	98%	573	522	131	25	3	7	38	112	8	14	3	251	312	351	662	100	304	20	7	288	79	-14	+2	-1	+2	+16	0.5
2030	31	MLB	PIT	98%	562	512	127	24	3	6	37	112	8	12	3	248	309	342	651	94	302	20	7	284	75	-16	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.2
2031	32	MLB	PIT	98%	551	503	122	22	3	6	36	112	7	10	2	243	302	334	636	91	298	20	7	278	71	-18	+1	-2	+2	+16	-0.2
2032	33	MLB	PIT	98%	475	435	101	18	2	4	31	99	6	6	2	232	292	310	603	78	293	21	7	270	65	-19	+0	-3	+2	+13	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4515	4133	1036	197	28	55	281	892	59	88	26	251	308	352	659	101	305	20	6	289	79	-106	+7	-2	+18	+128	4.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	149	28	4	8	40	128	8	13	4	250	306	351	657	101	305	20	6	289	79	-15	+1	-0	+3	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	6066	5526	1362	280	42	91	396	1419	89	109	38	246	307	362	669	115	313	23	7	297	86	-99	+7	-2	+22	+172	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	146	30	4	10	42	152	10	12	4	247	307	361	669	115	313	23	6	297	86	-11	+1	-0	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	369	324	98	23	4	18	40	101	4	7	2	302	386	565	951	262	388	27	11	413	174	+31	+1	—	—	+10	4.3
2021	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	87	71	27	4	1	2	13	14	2	4	0	380	488	549	1.038	169	446	16	15	455	206	+10	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2022	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	316	259	68	20	1	7	43	90	10	5	3	263	388	429	816	166	367	28	14	365	138	+13	-0	—	—	+9	2.3
2022	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	77	68	19	4	1	3	7	16	1	1	1	279	355	500	855	221	320	21	9	371	142	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	128	115	24	8	1	2	6	36	4	0	1	209	272	348	620	139	278	28	5	273	67	-5	-0	+1	+2	+4	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	443	377	106	27	8	14	53	118	9	4	3	281	383	507	889	225	369	27	12	388	155	+28	-0	—	—	+13	4.1
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	387	359	97	19	3	7	18	74	5	5	3	270	314	398	712	128	319	19	5	314	99	-1	-0	+2	+2	+11	1.4
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	154	135	48	14	2	5	15	25	3	0	3	356	431	600	1.031	244	406	16	10	446	200	+17	-1	—	—	+4	2.1
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	408	381	99	18	3	5	21	73	2	0	2	260	302	362	664	102	306	18	5	295	84	-7	-1	+4	+2	+12	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	36	7	0	1	0	0	11	1	0	0	194	216	250	466	56	269	29	0	205	15	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	923	855	220	45	7	14	45	183	11	5	6	257	303	375	678	118	308	20	5	300	88	-13	-1	+6	+6	+26	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jerry Hairston Jr.last yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,767 PA	14	4,767	66	138	257	325	366	+5	+30	14.9	14.0
	/162	664	9	19	257	325	366	+0.8	+4.2	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,249	67	112	258	311	360	+19	+28	9.9	9.6
	/162	664	8	14	258	311	360	+2.4	+3.5	1.3	pk7: 9
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#6Mike Avileslast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,234 PA	10	3,234	60	78	261	295	376	+13	+4	5.8	7.2
	/162	664	12	16	261	295	376	+2.7	+0.8	1.2	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Gonzales (OGILVIE)	27	55	45	60	40	292/352/385	94	353	7	11	18%	7%	111	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yairo Muñoz 2022 · MLB	27	55	41→50	55	41	268/296/371	103	315	8	22	18%	4%	85	+0.7	250/283/362	112	304	11	17	21%	4%	79	+0.3	258/282/371	113	308	13	21	20%	2%	76	+0.1
✕Amed Rosario 2023 · MLB	27	57→60	45→50	56→55	43	276/311/402	126	323	11	14	18%	4%	100	+1.7	271/307/392	121	324	9	16	19%	5%	96	+1.5	271/307/388	117	325	8	16	19%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2022 · MLB	27	55→56	40	52→55	46	262/308/355	93	296	8	16	15%	5%	87	+0.8	257/308/346	89	296	8	19	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/305/353	89	308	7	18	16%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Jason Donald 2012 · MLB	27	53→55	40→50	51→50	44	251/311/352	101	323	6	15	23%	6%	88	+0.9	225/275/324	99	309	7	11	28%	5%	65	-0.7	207/255/300	92	293	6	8	30%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Chris Owings 2018 · MLB	26	52→59	46→50	58→55	42	257/295/399	142	313	12	20	22%	5%	93	+1.3	225/277/357	132	297	14	16	28%	6%	76	+0.0	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Cory Sullivan 2007 · MLB	27	55→60	41→45	54→50	47	260/314/375	115	327	5	14	22%	7%	94	+1.3	252/303/356	104	310	6	12	19%	6%	85	+0.7	253/304/346	93	302	5	12	17%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Diego Madero 2019 · AAA	27	54→49	43→45	52→50	44	263/301/375	112	300	9	17	16%	4%	89	+1.0	227/277/350	123	254	15	12	17%	6%	73	-0.1	211/263/317	106	227	15	10	15%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2017 · MLB	27	58→63	37→40	55→60	48	273/326/346	73	329	4	25	18%	6%	91	+1.1	250/306/308	58	321	2	18	21%	7%	73	-0.1	236/290/277	42	314	1	15	23%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2023 · MLB	27	52→57	44→45	52→60	46	253/305/371	118	313	11	16	22%	7%	90	+1.0	233/300/332	99	292	8	25	21%	9%	78	+0.2	225/302/305	80	282	5	30	20%	10%	70	-0.2
●Tyler Greene 2011 · MLB	27	48→53	45→50	56→55	42	233/292/361	129	313	12	20	29%	6%	82	+0.5	235/298/383	148	321	15	24	30%	7%	91	+1.1	228/291/378	150	315	16	26	31%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2021 · MLB	27	51→61	42→45	53→55	45	244/294/357	113	303	8	24	22%	6%	82	+0.5	218/281/346	128	290	13	20	28%	7%	74	-0.1	212/284/328	116	290	13	26	29%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Shawn O'Malley 2016 · MLB	28	54→58	40→45	59→60	47	255/310/354	99	307	6	24	18%	6%	87	+0.8	241/298/342	101	307	7	16	22%	7%	79	+0.3	235/294/327	92	308	6	12	24%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Alcides Escobar 2013 · MLB	26	57→64	40→45	59→55	46	271/311/371	100	309	6	25	14%	5%	92	+1.2	263/296/349	86	300	5	23	13%	4%	79	+0.3	267/301/350	83	303	4	20	13%	4%	79	+0.3
✕Edmundo Sosa 2023 · MLB	27	51→49	45→55	52→50	41	245/309/375	131	305	10	12	23%	5%	94	+1.3	248/298/409	161	304	17	11	24%	4%	98	+1.6	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Adalberto Santos 2014 · AA	26	53	41→45	53→55	48	255/315/360	106	317	8	21	22%	7%	92	+1.2	228/287/327	99	314	8	15	28%	7%	71	-0.3	170/225/214	44	270	0	10	34%	7%	14	-0.7
●Alejandro De Aza 2011 · MLB	27	54→61	43→50	55	46	257/311/381	124	312	8	20	20%	6%	95	+1.4	272/329/404	132	329	11	24	19%	7%	108	+2.3	273/334/406	134	330	12	24	20%	7%	107	+2.3
✕Peter Bourjos 2014 · MLB	27	50→56	45→50	55→60	44	243/305/373	130	309	12	15	25%	6%	91	+1.1	228/292/354	126	299	10	14	26%	7%	80	+0.4	240/282/379	139	307	10	8	24%	5%	78	+0.1