Jean Arnaez — OGILVIE

Jean Arnaez2B Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .256 / .289

PA103

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	73	63	13	0	1	0	6	15	2	2	0	206	296	238	534	32	260	21	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	73	59	15	0	1	0	10	10	2	2	0	254	380	288	668	34	294	14	14	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	54	50	9	2	0	0	3	11	1	3	0	180	241	220	461	40	231	20	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	54	49	10	2	0	0	4	8	1	3	0	204	278	245	523	41	244	15	7	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	129	120	29	3	0	0	3	30	4	1	2	242	283	267	550	25	315	23	2	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	129	117	29	4	0	0	6	20	4	1	2	248	307	282	589	34	293	16	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	161	152	27	5	0	1	4	47	4	0	1	178	219	230	449	53	248	29	2	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	161	150	35	8	0	2	6	32	4	0	1	233	281	327	608	93	282	20	4	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	TOR	—	103	95	19	3	1	1	6	29	1	2	0	200	255	284	539	84	266	28	6	249	49	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	150	137	29	5	1	3	10	41	2	2	1	212	275	328	604	117	270	27	7	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	257	235	49	9	1	5	17	69	3	4	1	209	271	319	590	111	272	27	7	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	331	302	65	12	2	7	22	88	4	5	2	215	277	338	615	123	273	27	7	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	45	41	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	220	289	341	630	122	271	27	7	253	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	114	104	22	4	1	2	8	30	1	2	1	212	274	327	601	115	274	26	7	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	168	153	33	6	1	4	11	44	2	3	1	216	277	346	624	131	275	26	7	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	327	298	64	12	2	7	22	86	4	6	2	215	278	339	617	124	275	26	7	262	59	-15	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	127	24	4	14	44	171	8	12	4	215	278	340	617	125	275	26	7	262	59	-30	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	1258	1154	240	39	6	17	71	330	21	19	7	208	266	296	563	88	273	26	6	251	50	-71	+1	+0	+4	+36	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	124	20	3	9	37	171	11	10	4	208	267	297	564	89	273	26	6	251	50	-37	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	73	59	15	0	1	0	10	10	2	2	0	254	380	288	668	34	294	14	14	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	54	49	10	2	0	0	4	8	1	3	0	204	278	245	523	41	244	15	7	247	47	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	102	94	25	3	0	0	4	17	2	1	1	266	310	298	608	32	316	17	4	275	68	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	20	INTL	Panama	—	27	23	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	0	1	174	296	217	514	43	200	11	7	254	53	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	161	150	35	8	0	2	6	32	4	0	1	233	281	327	608	93	282	20	4	274	68	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	328	7	5	212	271	327	+1	+1	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	13	10	212	271	327	+2.4	+2.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jean Arnaez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	198/256/289	91	266	1	2	28%	6%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Brian Valichka 2007 · A	23	39	41→40	46→45	39	196/244/292	96	255	9	8	27%	4%	44	-2.1	213/261/306	93	290	6	7	27%	5%	54	-1.4	216/261/301	85	297	4	5	27%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	40→37	39→50	46→50	42	193/255/280	87	254	5	11	25%	6%	46	-2.0	185/240/307	122	256	15	9	33%	5%	47	-1.9	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40→45	48→30	43	212/261/306	94	267	8	8	23%	6%	55	-1.4	226/271/332	106	278	11	6	22%	6%	66	-0.6	227/267/326	98	272	11	2	20%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2