Andy Luis — OGILVIE

Andy Luis P FCL Nationals

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 9 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%21.3%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	9	0	7	34	5	8	0	0%	0.7	14.7%	23.5%	-8.8%	0.0%	5.40	4.84	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	9	0	7	34	5	8	0	0%	0.7	14.7%	23.5%	-8.8%	0.0%	5.40	5.20	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	0	19	95	16	18	2	0%	1.5	11.5%	23.7%	-12.2%	2.9%	5.59	6.75	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	0	19	95	16	18	2	0%	1.5	16.8%	18.9%	-2.1%	2.1%	5.59	5.58	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	12	0	15	84	14	13	0	0%	1.3	11.3%	19.3%	-8.0%	0.0%	10.57	4.59	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	12	0	15	84	14	13	0	0%	1.3	11.3%	19.3%	-8.0%	0.0%	10.57	4.59	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	12	0	15	84	14	13	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	15.5%	1.2%	0.0%	10.57	3.82	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	24	115	18	21	1	0%	1.1	10.5%	19.4%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.07	5.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	24	115	18	21	1	0%	1.1	10.5%	19.4%	-8.8%	1.5%	4.07	5.48	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	24	115	18	21	1	0%	1.1	15.7%	18.3%	-2.6%	0.9%	4.07	4.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	WSH	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	14.4%	6.9%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	21	0	22	94	21	12	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.94	4.87	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.94	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	40	9	5	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.94	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	105	21	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.94	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		57	0	66	328	38	69	5	0%	1.2	11.4%	21.0%	-9.6%	1.4%	6.17	5.55	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		174	0	200	999	114	210	14	0%	1.2	11.4%	21.0%	-9.6%	1.4%	6.17	5.55	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andy Luis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	21.3%	14.4%	3.0%	—	4.87	21.9%	9.1%	22	-0.26	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	89
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	87
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	86
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	85
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	85
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	85
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	85
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	84
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	84
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	84
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	84
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	84
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	84
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	84