Maikel Hernandez

Maikel HernandezC Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 163 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .229 / .258

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%6

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	73	63	14	4	0	1	5	23	4	0	0	222	319	333	653	111	325	32	7	299	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	113	90	21	6	0	0	20	20	1	0	0	233	378	300	678	67	292	18	18	318	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	73	56	15	3	0	0	14	10	1	0	0	268	423	321	744	54	312	14	19	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	72	12	2	0	0	4	20	1	0	0	167	221	194	415	28	231	26	5	194	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	39	4	1	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	103	205	205	410	103	111	24	11	193	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	73	64	8	2	0	0	4	28	4	0	0	125	222	156	378	31	212	38	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	113	96	15	4	0	0	14	25	1	0	0	156	270	198	468	42	205	22	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	73	61	13	2	0	0	9	14	1	0	0	213	324	246	570	33	255	19	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	73	9	1	0	0	3	28	1	0	0	123	169	137	306	14	202	36	4	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	40	4	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	100	182	200	382	100	102	33	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	73	64	8	2	0	0	4	28	4	0	0	125	222	156	378	31	216	38	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	73	63	14	4	0	1	5	23	4	0	0	222	319	333	653	111	325	32	7	299	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	113	96	15	4	0	0	14	25	1	0	0	156	270	198	468	42	205	22	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	113	90	21	6	0	0	20	20	1	0	0	233	378	300	678	67	292	18	18	318	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	73	61	13	2	0	0	9	14	1	0	0	213	324	246	570	33	265	19	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	73	56	15	3	0	0	14	10	1	0	0	268	423	321	744	54	312	14	19	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	73	9	1	0	0	3	28	1	0	0	123	169	137	306	14	200	36	4	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	72	12	2	0	0	4	20	1	0	0	167	221	194	415	28	231	26	5	194	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	40	4	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	100	182	200	382	100	125	33	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	39	4	1	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	103	205	205	410	103	111	24	11	193	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	73	65	8	2	0	0	4	28	4	0	0	123	222	154	376	31	212	38	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	113	97	15	4	0	0	14	25	1	0	0	155	270	196	466	41	205	22	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	73	63	13	2	0	0	9	14	1	0	0	206	324	238	562	32	255	19	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	74	9	1	0	0	3	28	1	0	0	122	169	135	304	14	202	36	4	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	41	4	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	98	182	195	377	98	102	33	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	78	74	9	1	0	0	3	28	1	0	0	122	169	135	304	14	202	36	4	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	45	41	4	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	98	182	195	377	98	102	33	9	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	0%	200	183	31	5	1	3	13	62	2	2	1	172	231	260	491	88	238	31	6	224	38	-15	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	30%	131	121	22	4	1	2	8	40	1	2	1	176	236	270	506	94	241	31	6	230	42	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	30%	39	37	6	1	0	1	2	12	0	0	0	176	236	268	504	92	242	31	5	230	42	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	37	6	1	0	1	2	12	0	0	0	162	205	270	475	108	208	31	5	230	29	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	617	101	17	0	17	33	200	0	0	0	164	206	274	480	110	210	31	5	230	29	-45	+0	+0	+12	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	589	525	82	16	1	4	47	174	9	3	1	156	238	213	451	57	221	30	8	211	29	-15	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	90	18	1	4	52	192	10	3	1	155	237	211	448	55	221	30	8	211	29	-46	+1	+0	+12	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	170/229/258	87	238	1	1	31%	6%	38	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Austin 2017 · A	24	33	41→40	46→30	40	172/229/266	94	247	8	3	33%	7%	39	-3.1	184/247/279	95	292	9	4	37%	8%	49	-2.4	172/225/285	113	254	12	0	36%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Garrett Kennedy 2017 · A	24	35	40→45	45→30	41	178/233/270	92	251	7	4	31%	7%	41	-3.0	183/249/280	97	265	9	3	32%	7%	50	-2.3	162/235/253	91	230	9	0	32%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Austin Bernard 2019 · A	23	36	42→40	44→45	39	182/248/284	101	274	10	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	175/265/275	100	288	9	8	38%	10%	56	-1.9	137/251/237	101	222	9	7	39%	12%	40	-1.6
✕David Lyon 2014 · A	24	37	43→45	48→30	37	184/241/293	109	283	10	4	37%	6%	50	-2.3	171/235/291	120	290	12	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	140/213/266	126	235	14	2	45%	8%	33	-1.4
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	38→33	39→40	46→45	41	188/247/272	83	275	7	8	33%	7%	47	-2.5	201/257/300	99	319	8	8	37%	7%	57	-1.8	185/247/298	113	311	10	7	41%	7%	51	-0.8
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	40→45	48→40	36	175/227/261	86	258	9	5	35%	5%	37	-3.3	194/249/303	109	286	12	4	34%	6%	55	-1.9	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Logan Ice 2019 · AA	24	39	40	47→30	42	190/255/280	90	276	8	3	32%	8%	52	-2.2	191/261/278	87	282	8	4	32%	8%	54	-2.0	155/238/220	65	223	8	0	32%	9%	31	-1.7
✕Jose Camarena 2008 · A	24	40	41→40	42→45	40	197/251/294	96	279	10	6	32%	6%	53	-2.1	203/246/283	80	271	6	6	26%	5%	49	-2.4	193/226/254	61	247	4	3	23%	4%	31	-1.0
✕Taylor Gushue 2018 · A	24	36	44→45	44→30	39	186/237/293	107	250	13	2	31%	5%	49	-2.4	206/257/332	126	279	14	3	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/260/326	127	276	15	0	32%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Paul Witt 2022 · A	24	36	37→50	49→30	41	177/223/245	68	232	4	7	25%	5%	31	-3.7	190/244/308	118	245	12	4	27%	5%	55	-2.0	170/223/304	134	209	16	1	27%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Mateo Gil 2024 · AA	24	37→33	44→45	45	38	192/239/311	120	269	12	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/231/300	110	273	11	6	33%	5%	47	-2.5	156/185/252	96	223	10	3	35%	3%	16	-2.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Logan Wade 2015 · A	23	37	41→40	43→45	35	188/221/284	96	263	8	6	32%	4%	39	-3.1	201/234/291	90	279	5	6	29%	4%	45	-2.7	200/230/287	88	274	3	5	28%	4%	41	-1.5
✕Andy Bouchie 2010 · A	24	38	41→45	46→30	44	191/246/282	91	246	9	4	26%	6%	49	-2.4	195/237/320	125	239	15	5	25%	5%	54	-2.0	159/190/287	128	176	19	0	24%	3%	29	-1.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	36→32	41→40	46→45	37	182/232/275	93	270	9	6	35%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/268	89	276	9	7	37%	6%	40	-3.1	146/198/219	73	225	9	5	38%	5%	14	-3.6
✕Casey Frawley 2012 · A	24	37→42	41→45	48→45	40	187/239/289	102	249	9	6	28%	5%	48	-2.5	188/240/290	102	253	9	7	28%	5%	49	-2.4	199/228/290	91	268	9	4	29%	3%	39	-1.1
✕Chase Luttrell 2024 · A	24	37	41→45	42→45	39	189/235/285	96	254	9	7	29%	5%	45	-2.7	198/248/309	111	294	11	8	35%	6%	56	-1.9	152/204/275	122	246	12	5	42%	5%	30	-1.0
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→50	50→45	33	174/221/277	103	286	10	9	42%	5%	38	-3.2	184/239/325	141	291	17	10	41%	5%	57	-1.8	161/219/305	144	243	20	10	42%	5%	43	-1.1
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	43→45	49→40	37	185/240/292	107	269	11	5	34%	6%	50	-2.3	201/259/326	125	303	11	5	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/248/316	125	290	11	3	36%	5%	55	-1.0