Lisander De La Cruz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Lisander De La Cruz P ACL Giants Orange

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%23.4%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	15	4	30	149	37	20	2	27%	2.0	16.9%	16.8%	0.1%	1.5%	6.07	4.64	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	15	4	30	149	37	20	2	27%	2.0	24.8%	13.4%	11.4%	1.3%	6.07	3.50	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	15	6	35	163	44	14	1	40%	2.3	18.4%	10.7%	7.6%	0.8%	4.89	3.37	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	15	6	35	163	44	14	1	40%	2.3	27.0%	8.6%	18.4%	0.6%	4.89	2.16	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	20	1	26	121	41	22	1	5%	1.3	23.0%	22.7%	0.3%	0.8%	3.46	4.49	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	20	1	26	121	41	22	1	5%	1.3	23.0%	22.7%	0.3%	0.8%	3.46	4.49	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	20	1	26	121	41	22	1	5%	1.3	33.9%	18.2%	15.7%	0.8%	3.46	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4%	13.2%	10.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	19	0	20	84	20	10	3	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	3.0%	4.68	4.62	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	3.0%	4.68	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	4	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	3.0%	4.68	4.24	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	94	23	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.9%	11.8%	3.0%	4.68	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		50	11	91	433	83	70	5	22%	1.8	19.2%	16.2%	3.0%	1.1%	4.86	4.12	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	24	200	955	183	154	10	22%	1.8	19.2%	16.2%	3.0%	1.1%	4.86	4.12	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lisander De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.4%	13.2%	3.0%	—	4.62	23.8%	11.8%	20	-0.20	—	—	—
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	84
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	82
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	82
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	81
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	81
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	80
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	80
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	80
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	80
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	80
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	79
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	79
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	79
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	79
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	78
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	78