Aeverson ArteagaSS Sacramento River Cats
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .247 / .291
PA150
HR2
K%31
BB%5
BABIP281
ISO92
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -20.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +10.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2031Arb-1$0.2M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 226206 36405 14992 80 175234267501 92292 446 230 34 — — — — — —
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 226197 581219 23692 80 294374503876 208398 3110 380 149 — — — — — —
202219 ASan Jose Giants — 565521 10125210 3123410 116 194253307560 113325 415 242 43 — — — — — —
202219 ASan Jose Giants — 565503 13635214 4915510 116 270347431778 161362 279 346 123 — — — — — —
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 546506 8119311 271777 82 160213275488 115216 325 211 20 — — — — — —
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 546493 11629317 401327 82 235302410712 174283 247 313 98 — — — — — —
202421 A+2 teams — 115105 13310 9480 20 124193171364 48228 428 159 -20 — — — — — —
202421 A+2 teams — 115102 20310 12320 20 196281245526 49286 2810 246 47 — — — — — —
202522 AA2 teams — 522489 741314 241702 51 151194207401 55219 335 179 -5 — — — — — —
202522 AA2 teams — 522477 881716 341372 51 184241262503 78243 267 228 33 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAASF — 226205 47813 12714 22 229285322607 93328 315 266 62 -10 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.1
YTD23 AAASF — 226197 541014 17554 22 274339396735 122355 248 322 105 +1 -0 +0 +2 +6 1.0
ROS23 AAASF 10% 150140 28512 8471 11 199247291539 92275 315 236 39 -10 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
ROS23 MLBSF 10% 1514 2000 150 00 143200143343 270 337 226 31 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
FULL23 AAASF — 241219 49813 13764 22 224280311590 87322 325 263 60 -11 -0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
TOT23 AAASF — 376345 751325 201185 33 217270310579 93309 315 254 53 -20 -1 +0 +4 +11 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSF 35% 473440 901728 261414 42 205255307562 102277 305 249 49 -27 +0 +0 +5 +13 -0.9
202825 MLBSF 46% 502463 961829 291465 52 207262313575 106278 296 259 56 -25 +0 +0 +5 +14 -0.5
202926 MLBSF 52% 516475 9918210 311495 52 208264318582 109279 296 263 60 -23 +0 +0 +6 +15 -0.3
203027 MLBSF 53% 521479 10119210 321505 52 211267322589 111279 296 265 61 -23 +0 +0 +6 +15 -0.2
203128 MLBSF 54% 520477 10019210 331505 42 210268321589 111279 296 264 60 -23 +0 -1 +6 +15 -0.4
202724 MLBSF 35% 164153 31612 9491 11 203252294546 92272 305 239 41 -11 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.5
202825 MLBSF 46% 233215 44814 14682 21 205260307567 102273 296 247 47 -14 +0 +0 +2 +7 -0.5
202926 MLBSF 52% 267246 50915 16773 21 203260309569 106274 296 252 51 -15 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.4
203027 MLBSF 53% 276254 521015 17793 21 205263311574 106274 296 253 52 -15 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.4
203128 MLBSF 54% 279256 531015 18813 21 207267312580 105274 296 253 52 -15 +0 -0 +3 +8 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 12341138 23243521 7535912 95 204260306566 102277 296 249 49 -71 -0 -0 +13 +35 -2.4
/ 162G— — 650599 12323311 401896 53 205262309571 104279 296 249 49 -37 -0 -0 +7 +18 -1.3
Career— — 46564301 8191601879 264151146 5820 190245291536 101270 326 238 41 -312 +4 -1 +50 +132 -13.0
/ 162G— — 650600 11422311 372116 83 190244292535 102270 326 238 41 -44 +0 -0 +7 +18 -1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 226197 581219 23692 80 294374503876 208398 3110 380 149 +12 +2 — — +6 2.1
202219 ASan Jose Giants — 565503 13635214 4915510 116 270347431778 161362 279 346 123 +15 -0 — — +16 3.1
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 546493 11629317 401327 82 235302410712 174283 247 313 98 -1 +1 — — +15 1.5
202421 A+Eugene Emeralds — 9482 15310 12260 20 183287244531 61268 2813 253 52 -5 +0 — — +3 -0.2
202421 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 2120 5000 060 00 250250250500 357 290 215 23 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.1
202522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 474435 821516 291241 51 189240269509 80246 266 229 34 -36 +1 — — +13 -2.2
202522 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 4842 6200 5131 00 143250190440 48207 2710 217 24 -4 +0 — — +1 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,2502311208261316+13+6-1.2-0.6
/162664126+7.1+3.2-0.6pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Aeverson Arteaga (OGILVIE) 23 30 30 45 30 217/270/310 93309 53 31% 5% 53 -0.6 ————————— —————————
✕Claudio Finol
2023 · AA 		23 38 37→40 50→45 40 187/240/263 77259 48 29% 5% 35 -2.8 204/263/296 92292 810 31% 7% 53 -1.5 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Alejandro Torres
2012 · A 		23 37 37→40 46→40 35 182/219/253 71267 45 33% 4% 22 -3.7 205/260/281 76311 56 33% 6% 48 -1.9 198/265/228303130034%8%37-0.5
✕Carlos Torres
2016 · A 		23 37 38→30 46→50 37 183/224/260 77252 67 30% 5% 27 -3.3 211/252/282 71285 46 26% 5% 43 -2.2 222/252/273522902323%3%37-1.0
✕Riccio Torrez
2013 · A 		23 36→33 40 47→45 40 182/238/273 91226 87 24% 4% 37 -2.6 196/252/283 87254 76 25% 4% 46 -2.0 190/245/269792486325%3%37-1.0
✕Bryan Johns
2012 · A 		23 40 36→30 47→45 36 191/239/257 67290 47 34% 5% 32 -3.0 198/272/262 64282 36 28% 8% 49 -1.8 186/268/238522632528%8%39-0.9
✕Alex Lavisky
2014 · AA 		23 38 42→40 46→30 37 191/238/289 98271 103 33% 5% 41 -2.3 205/252/301 96261 104 25% 5% 50 -1.8 194/238/2788423710123%5%34-1.0
✕Chuck Moorman
2017 · A 		23 37 37→40 39→30 36 183/216/254 71254 44 29% 4% 20 -3.8 193/237/282 89283 73 33% 5% 38 -2.6 184/229/268842737034%5%28-1.5
✕Pat Leyland
2015 · A 		23 37 37→30 47→30 37 180/203/244 64218 54 21% 2% 12 -4.4 213/252/287 74265 55 21% 5% 45 -2.1 227/262/277502783019%4%46-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner
2016 · A 		23 37 38→45 46→30 35 180/230/254 74285 63 38% 6% 28 -3.2 209/261/311 102295 93 31% 6% 56 -1.3 214/272/32411028810028%7%62-0.5
✕Bubba Hollins
2019 · A 		23 38 40→30 44→45 43 189/258/273 84244 86 25% 6% 46 -2.0 208/266/289 81270 54 23% 6% 53 -1.5 200/262/272722704326%5%45-1.0
✕Matt Pagnozzi
2006 · AA 		23 38 37→45 45→40 41 181/243/252 71265 47 31% 7% 33 -2.9 190/242/270 80271 54 30% 5% 37 -2.6 208/275/286792926029%7%53-0.7
✕Cristopher Navarro
2023 · AA 		24 38 34→30 46→45 35 183/227/233 50283 36 35% 5% 20 -3.8 189/242/261 72274 46 31% 6% 35 -2.8 168/225/233652373229%6%18-0.8
✕Jon Murphy
2013 · A 		23 38 38→30 47→50 39 185/237/262 77264 513 31% 6% 33 -2.9 197/249/259 62309 310 35% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/2415030521036%6%27-1.8
✕Jonathan Guzmán
2023 · AA 		23 30→40 37→30 50 35 158/197/230 71229 512 33% 4% 7 -4.7 180/231/250 70271 610 34% 6% 27 -3.3 165/226/206412575935%7%11-1.1
✕Bobby Wernes
2017 · A 		23 39 35→40 46→40 44 185/239/240 55245 26 24% 6% 28 -3.2 206/264/294 88265 56 23% 6% 53 -1.5 206/274/302952506319%7%56-0.6
✕Luis Sanchez
2010 · AA 		23 41 35→30 45→40 44 193/251/249 55267 24 27% 7% 35 -2.8 197/252/269 72277 47 29% 6% 41 -2.3 153/201/183292220429%5%-3-1.0
✕Steven Baron
2014 · A 		23 34 40→45 53→50 34 176/209/269 93256 69 34% 4% 22 -3.7 215/263/298 83301 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Daniel Berg
2008 · A 		23 37 39→40 45→40 39 180/245/262 82274 64 35% 6% 37 -2.6 203/273/289 86313 64 34% 7% 56 -1.3 201/278/285843106234%7%54-0.7
✕Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A 		22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
✕Narbe Cruz
2023 · A 		22 41 38→40 44→45 40 197/250/273 76268 57 28% 5% 42 -2.3 215/268/305 90308 86 31% 5% 58 -1.2 215/271/305903139632%5%54-0.7