Aeverson Arteaga

SS Sacramento River Cats
Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/INTL2 orgs115.196/.281/.2450213—.129/.213/.176
202522AA/INTL2 orgs522.184/.241/.2626517—.167/.208/.227
202623AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs403.256/.310/.3696566—.239/.286/.340
2027PROJ10% MLB24MLBSF21.191/.236/.2670043-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB25MLBSF90.195/.243/.2811149-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB26MLBSF140.198/.247/.2902153-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV66
Z-Con%49
K%44
Speed44
Whiff%23
BB%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%
CompsChris Okey (age 24) · Cody Bohanek (age 24) · Max Burt (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .236 / .267
PA21
HR0
K%29
BB%5
BABIP261
ISO50
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -14.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.2-0.2272829
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 226197 581219 23692 80 294374503876 208398 3110 380 49 — — — — — —
202219 ASan Jose Giants — 565503 13635214 4915510 116 270347431778 161362 279 346 58 — — — — — —
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 546493 11629317 401327 82 235302410712 174283 247 313 48 — — — — — —
202421 A+Eugene Emeralds — 9482 15310 12260 20 183287244531 61268 2813 253 9 — — — — — —
202421 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 2120 5000 060 00 250250250500 357 290 215 32 — — — — — —
202522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 474435 821516 291241 51 189240269509 80246 266 229 15 — — — — — —
202522 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 4842 6200 5131 00 143250190440 48207 2710 217 33 — — — — — —
202623 AAASacramento River Cats — 304272 661224 18723 22 243294346640 103310 246 280 55 — — — — — —
202623 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 7766 21412 6223 20 318400500900 182442 298 389 117 — — — — — —
202623 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2222 5100 080 10 227227273500 45357 360 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 226205 38516 15992 80 185248307555 122294 447 241 49 — — — — — —
202219 A MLESan Jose Giants — 565519 1052629 3322410 116 202263312575 110326 406 254 58 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 546502 9222313 311757 82 183241317557 133238 326 239 48 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 9485 11210 9360 20 129213176389 47230 3810 182 9 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 474444 741314 221491 51 167208227435 61229 315 191 15 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 304280 631123 13863 22 225267311578 86295 284 250 55 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 7768 20312 4273 20 294360456816 162425 355 341 117 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 226205 38516 15992 80 185248307555 122308 447 241 49 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Giants Orange — 226197 581219 23692 80 294374503876 208398 3110 380 49 — — — — — —
202219 A MLESan Jose Giants — 565519 1052629 3322410 116 202263312575 110332 406 254 58 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWSan Jose Giants — 565503 13635214 4915510 116 270347431778 161362 279 346 58 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 546502 9222313 311757 82 183241317557 133247 326 239 48 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAWEugene Emeralds — 546493 11629317 401327 82 235302410712 174283 247 313 48 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 115104 14310 10440 20 135211183393 48233 389 182 9 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW2 teams — 115102 20310 12320 20 196281245526 49286 2810 246 9 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE2 teams — 522489 801414 241642 51 164206221427 57234 315 191 15 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAW2 teams — 522477 881716 341372 51 184241262503 78243 267 228 15 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE3 teams — 403369 871535 181206 52 236282333616 98329 304 268 68 — — — — — —
202623 AAA RAW3 teams — 403360 921736 241026 52 256310369680 114335 256 298 68 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 226207 38516 15992 80 184248304552 121294 447 241 49 — — — — — —
202219 A MLESan Jose Giants — 565517 1052629 3322410 116 203263313577 110326 406 254 58 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 546503 9222313 311757 82 183241316557 133238 326 239 48 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 115104 14310 10440 20 135211183393 48230 389 182 9 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE2 teams — 522491 801414 241642 51 163206220426 57229 315 191 15 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE3 teams — 403376 871535 181206 52 231282327610 96321 304 268 68 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 115104 14310 10440 20 135211183393 48230 389 182 9 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE2 teams — 522491 801414 241642 51 163206220426 57229 315 191 15 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE3 teams — 403376 871535 181206 52 231282327610 96321 304 268 68 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESF 10% 380356 691224 181093 41 193239273512 80264 295 232 43 -26 +0 +2 +4 +8 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSF 10% 2120 4100 160 00 191236267504 77261 295 228 43 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESF 35% 258241 48914 13732 31 198245288533 90266 285 241 49 -16 +0 +1 +3 +6 -0.6
202926 MLB MLESF 46% 302280 561015 16853 31 201250297547 96267 285 247 53 -17 +0 +2 +3 +7 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXSF 35% 9085 16301 4261 10 195243281524 86262 294 237 49 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202926 MLB CTXSF 46% 140131 26512 7391 10 198247290537 93264 285 242 53 -8 +0 +1 +2 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 230216 42813 11652 20 194240282523 88262 285 240 46 -13 +0 +1 +2 +5 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650610 1192338 311846 60 195241282523 87264 285 240 46 -38 +1 +3 +7 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 31472905 5581111448 170104534 4714 192245290535 97277 335 236 46 -47 +0 +4 +8 +17 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650600 11623310 352167 103 193246292537 98280 335 236 46 -39 +0 +3 +7 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 304 PAwOBA .276 → .250 (−27)K% 23.7% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.68%÷1.000×1.200——28.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.92%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0504.29%
HBP% /PA0.99%—×0.940—×1.0500.97%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.000×0.930×0.999×1.05023.42%
Doubles /BIP6.00%÷1.000×0.830×0.999×1.0505.22%
Triples /BIP1.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.999×1.0501.02%
Home runs /BIP2.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0501.47%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .276 → .250; ISO .103 → .086; BABIP .310 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 77 PAwOBA .384 → .341 (−43)K% 28.6% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.220——34.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.79%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0275.60%
HBP% /PA3.90%—×0.850—×1.0273.40%
Singles /BIP31.82%÷1.000×0.970—×1.02731.70%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.860—×1.0278.03%
Triples /BIP2.27%÷1.000×0.950—×1.0272.22%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0273.64%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .384 → .341; ISO .182 → .153; BABIP .442 → .425. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 474 PAwOBA .225 → .191 (−34)K% 26.2% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.16%÷1.018×1.220——31.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.12%÷0.962×0.700—×1.0424.64%
HBP% /PA0.21%—×0.850—×1.0420.19%
Singles /BIP19.29%÷1.004×0.970×0.950×1.04218.46%
Doubles /BIP4.82%÷0.992×0.860×0.950×1.0424.14%
Triples /BIP0.32%÷1.150×0.950×0.950×1.0420.26%
Home runs /BIP1.93%÷1.183×0.780—×1.0421.33%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .225 → .191; ISO .080 → .060; BABIP .246 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 94 PAwOBA .247 → .182 (−66)K% 27.7% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.66%÷0.968×1.350——38.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.77%÷1.024×0.710—×1.0279.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP19.64%÷1.016×0.910×0.950×1.02717.17%
Doubles /BIP5.36%÷0.950×0.830×0.950×1.0274.57%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷1.150×0.820×0.950×1.0271.24%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.830—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .247 → .182; ISO .061 → .042; BABIP .268 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Eugene Emeralds · 546 PAwOBA .308 → .239 (−69)K% 24.2% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.18%÷1.021×1.350——31.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.33%÷0.975×0.710—×1.0425.56%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.810—×1.0421.08%
Singles /BIP18.56%÷1.047×0.910×0.959×1.04216.13%
Doubles /BIP8.03%÷1.031×0.830×0.959×1.0426.47%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷0.900×0.820×0.959×1.0420.76%
Home runs /BIP4.71%÷1.076×0.830—×1.0423.78%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .308 → .239; ISO .174 → .131; BABIP .283 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ASan Jose Giants · 565 PAwOBA .339 → .254 (−85)K% 27.4% → 39.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.43%÷0.943×1.360——39.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.67%÷1.055×0.690—×1.0455.93%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.780—×1.0451.44%
Singles /BIP24.43%÷0.983×0.920×0.950×1.04522.68%
Doubles /BIP10.06%÷0.957×0.830×0.950×1.0458.66%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×1.0450.58%
Home runs /BIP4.02%÷1.063×0.800—×1.0453.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 89, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .339 → .254; ISO .161 → .115; BABIP .362 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Giants Orange · 226 PAwOBA .376 → .241 (−136)K% 30.5% → 43.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.53%÷1.005×1.440——43.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.18%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0226.45%
HBP% /PA0.88%—×0.720—×1.0220.65%
Singles /BIP28.12%÷0.971×0.820×0.969×1.02223.53%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷1.369×0.720×0.969×1.0224.88%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.720×0.969×1.0220.48%
Home runs /BIP7.03%÷1.065×0.780—×1.0225.27%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 94, 2B 174, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .376 → .241; ISO .208 → .122; BABIP .398 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .