Jaden Woods — OGILVIE

Jaden Woods P Altoona Curve

+0.1 WAR

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2028

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.2%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%10.4%

IP57

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†5050

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	28.8%	6.6%	0.0%	3.14	1.50	+0.6
2024	22	AA	Altoona Curve	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	22.1%	11.8%	2.4%	3.75	4.03	+0.6
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	18.4%	12.1%	2.2%	5.81	4.29	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	AA	Altoona Curve	4	0	8	33	9	5	0	—	—	—	2.35	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	PIT	57	—	57	239	49	29	7	20.6%	12.1%	2.7%	4.77	4.77	+0.1
2026 Total	24	MLB	PIT	—	—	64	272	58	34	7	21.4%	12.5%	2.4%	4.48	4.20	+0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	PIT	57	—	57	242	52	27	7	21.3%	11.3%	2.7%	4.67	4.63	+0.2
2028	26	MLB	PIT	57	—	57	242	52	27	7	21.6%	11.2%	2.8%	4.61	4.58	+0.2
2029	27	MLB	PIT	57	—	57	240	52	27	7	21.8%	11.1%	2.8%	4.59	4.58	+0.2
2030	28	MLB	PIT	56	—	56	236	51	26	7	21.8%	11.1%	2.8%	4.59	4.60	+0.2
2031	29	MLB	PIT	55	—	55	231	50	26	7	21.6%	11.2%	2.9%	4.62	4.64	+0.2
2032	30	MLB	PIT	53	—	53	224	48	25	7	21.4%	11.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.70	+0.2
2033	31	MLB	PIT	51	—	51	216	46	25	6	21.2%	11.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.78	+0.1
2034	32	MLB	PIT	49	—	49	208	43	24	6	20.9%	11.5%	3.1%	4.82	4.87	+0.0
2035	33	MLB	PIT	47	—	47	198	41	23	6	20.6%	11.7%	3.2%	4.91	4.96	-0.0
2036	34	MLB	PIT	45	—	45	188	38	22	6	20.2%	11.9%	3.3%	5.01	5.07	-0.1
2037	35	MLB	PIT	42	—	42	177	35	22	6	19.9%	12.1%	3.4%	5.12	5.20	-0.1
2038	36	MLB	PIT	39	—	39	166	32	21	6	19.4%	12.4%	3.5%	5.25	5.33	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			98	1	144	652	138	76	13	21.2%	11.7%	2.0%	4.50	3.87	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—			136	1	200	906	192	106	18	21.2%	11.7%	2.0%	4.50	3.87	+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaden Woods (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	20.6%	12.1%	2.7%	—	4.60	21.6%	10.4%	172	-0.17	—	—	—
Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.26 FIP	24	SW	4.26	20.8%	11.5%	2.6%	.268	3.50	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.76	1.84	238	93
R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 3.91 FIP	24	SW	3.91	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.61	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.70	1.71	206	91
Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.07 FIP	24	SW	4.07	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.14	20.1%	9.2%	42	-0.93	3.14	151	90
Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.24 FIP	22	SW	4.24	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	161	90
Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.43 FIP	24	SW	4.43	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.34	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.09	4.34	110	90
Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.01 FIP	24	SW	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	89
Colton Johnson L 2028 · 3.91 FIP	26	SW	3.91	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.62	3.91	106	89
Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.86 FIP	24	SW	3.86	23.3%	11.3%	2.4%	.286	4.86	18.1%	2.5%	99	+1.00	3.86	176	89
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.60	24.1%	7.7%	60	-1.01	3.60	136	88
Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.43 FIP	24	SW	4.43	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.46	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.97	3.11	151	88
Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.77 FIP	24	SW	3.77	19.2%	11.2%	1.6%	.335	4.51	19.5%	6.0%	80	+0.74	3.58	206	88
Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP	24	SW	3.88	20.6%	9.4%	2.4%	.260	4.75	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.87	3.88	256	88
Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.33 FIP	24	SW	4.33	20.9%	12.7%	2.5%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	161	87
Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.04 FIP	24	SW	4.04	22.0%	10.5%	2.7%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.11	2.69	271	87
Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.59 FIP	24	SW	4.59	17.7%	12.8%	2.5%	.338	4.79	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.20	4.22	156	86
Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.65 FIP	24	SU	4.65	19.3%	13.1%	2.8%	.294	3.59	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.06	2.63	160	86
Jose Molina L 2026 · 3.63 FIP	24	SW	3.63	18.6%	11.8%	1.1%	.313	4.17	14.4%	5.5%	83	+0.54	3.63	144	86
Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.72 FIP	24	SW	3.72	17.9%	9.2%	1.8%	.310	3.67	18.5%	9.7%	44	-0.05	3.67	111	86
Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.61 FIP	23	SW	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	86
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.60 FIP	24	SW	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	201	85

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.