Jaden Woods — OGILVIE

Jaden Woods P Charlotte Knights

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 129

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%19.1%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	0%	1.4	28.8%	6.6%	22.2%	0.0%	3.14	1.50	—
2023	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	0%	1.4	28.8%	6.6%	22.2%	0.0%	3.14	1.50	—
2023	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	0%	1.4	38.9%	5.6%	33.3%	0.0%	3.14	0.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.5%	3.75	4.08	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.5%	3.75	4.08	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	27.8%	10.5%	17.3%	1.9%	3.75	3.12	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	2.3%	5.81	4.32	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	2.3%	5.81	4.32	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	1.7%	5.81	3.55	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	44	1	59	245	86	25	6	2%	1.3	28.8%	10.2%	18.7%	2.7%	3.99	3.45	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	44	1	59	245	86	25	6	2%	1.3	28.8%	10.2%	18.7%	2.7%	3.99	3.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	CWS	17	0	26	104	38	12	1	0%	1.5	36.5%	11.5%	25.0%	1.0%	3.16	2.00	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	CWS	27	1	33	141	48	13	5	4%	1.2	34.0%	9.2%	24.8%	3.5%	4.64	3.34	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	CWS	6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	13.1%	6.0%	2.8%	5.03	5.03	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	65	271	91	28	7	—	—	33.6%	10.5%	23.1%	2.5%	4.09	3.60	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	287	57	35	8	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	2.8%	4.89	4.84	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	287	58	34	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	2.8%	4.81	4.78	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	283	58	33	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.79	4.80	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	62	0	65	274	56	32	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.8%	8.6%	2.9%	4.83	4.87	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	31	0	33	139	28	17	4	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	2.8%	4.89	4.84	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	45	0	47	198	40	23	6	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	2.8%	4.81	4.78	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	50	0	53	224	46	26	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.79	4.80	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	52	0	55	232	48	27	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.8%	8.6%	2.9%	4.83	4.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	0	189	798	162	95	23	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.82	4.44	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	101	24	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.82	4.44	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		138	2	195	864	200	96	20	1%	1.4	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	2.3%	4.43	3.82	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	2	200	886	205	99	20	1%	1.4	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	2.3%	4.43	3.82	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaden Woods (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	19.1%	13.1%	2.8%	—	4.81	20.3%	8.4%	203	-0.22	—	—	—
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	92
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	91
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	89
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	88
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	88
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Andre Wheeler L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	24	SU	5.25	17.5%	12.1%	3.8%	.347	5.01	14.4%	2.4%	29	-0.24	3.82	150	86
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	86
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	86
Kumar Nambiar L 2022 · 4.75 FIP	24	SU	4.75	18.5%	14.3%	2.6%	.277	4.94	14.0%	1.0%	60	+0.19	3.10	221	86
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	85
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	85
José Manuel Fernández L 2017 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	18.1%	12.3%	1.9%	.345	4.91	17.5%	6.6%	121	+0.73	3.35	263	85
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	85
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	85
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	85
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	85
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	84
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	84
Jake Drehoff L 2016 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	18.4%	12.2%	2.8%	.325	5.21	16.8%	7.8%	28	+0.59	3.95	153	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	20.1%	12.1%	1.09	4.87
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91