Jaden Woods
P
Altoona Curve
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115125vR 134
ERA5.09
FIP5.09
K%19.1%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 10 | 0 | 14 | 54 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.8% | 6.6% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 3.14 | 1.50 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 10 | 0 | 14 | 54 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 38.9% | 5.6% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3.14 | 0.80 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 60 | 266 | 74 | 28 | 5 | 2% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 60 | 266 | 74 | 28 | 5 | 2% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.12 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 44 | 0 | 62 | 299 | 68 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 5.81 | 4.49 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 44 | 0 | 62 | 299 | 68 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 1.7% | 5.81 | 3.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 28 | 1 | 37 | 158 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 4% | 1.3 | 28.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 4.58 | 3.15 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 54 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 105 | 442 | 109 | 52 | 11 | — | — | 24.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 4.91 | 4.40 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 57 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 58 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 110 | 64 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.48 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 100 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 2 | 174 | 777 | 175 | 88 | 18 | 2% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 4.61 | 3.92 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 2 | 200 | 895 | 202 | 101 | 21 | 2% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 4.61 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaden Woods (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 19.1% | 13.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.86 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 203 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 91 |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 91 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 89 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 88 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 87 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 86 |
| Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 86 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 86 |
| Kumar Nambiar L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 18.5% | 14.3% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.73 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 60 | -0.11 | 3.10 | 221 | 86 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 86 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 86 |
| Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.57 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .361 | 4.55 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 40 | -0.02 | 3.01 | 201 | 85 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 6.8% | 52 | -0.29 | 3.12 | 161 | 85 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.10 | 2.98 | 179 | 85 |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 85 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 85 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.52 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.51 | 17.7% | -2.7% | 32 | -1.01 | 4.30 | 128 | 85 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 84 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.05 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .345 | 4.96 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 121 | +0.91 | 3.35 | 263 | 84 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 2.6% | .325 | 5.16 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 28 | +0.65 | 3.98 | 153 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.12 | 4.93 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |