Carlos Rodriguez

Carlos Rodriguez P Nashville Sounds

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 203 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.31

FIP4.43

K%19.4%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5050

CT+0.6 (27%)

SL (8%)

CU (1%)

FB (27%)

CH-0.9 (37%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	108	428	129	40	7	77%	4.1	22.6%	10.9%	11.7%	1.9%	3.01	3.60	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	108	428	129	40	7	77%	4.1	30.1%	9.3%	20.8%	1.6%	3.01	2.66	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	128	539	158	57	10	100%	4.9	23.9%	11.3%	12.6%	2.2%	2.88	3.73	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	128	539	158	57	10	100%	4.9	23.9%	11.3%	12.6%	2.2%	2.88	3.73	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	128	539	158	57	10	100%	4.9	29.3%	10.6%	18.7%	1.9%	2.88	2.98	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	25	142	606	138	64	18	89%	5.1	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	3.5%	4.75	4.60	+0.5
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	25	142	606	138	64	18	89%	5.1	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	3.5%	4.75	4.60	+0.5
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	25	142	606	138	64	18	89%	5.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	3.0%	4.75	4.16	+1.2
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	17	94	416	97	47	10	74%	4.1	20.3%	11.1%	9.2%	2.3%	4.13	4.04	+1.0
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	17	94	416	97	47	10	74%	4.1	20.3%	11.1%	9.2%	2.3%	4.13	4.04	+1.0
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	17	94	416	97	47	10	74%	4.1	23.3%	11.3%	12.0%	2.4%	4.13	3.92	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			11	3	31	149	28	16	5	27%	2.8	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.4%	6.03	4.92	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	25	11	60	305	57	43	9	44%	2.4	15.6%	13.4%	2.2%	3.5%	7.46	5.37	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	25	11	60	305	57	43	9	44%	2.4	15.6%	13.4%	2.2%	3.5%	7.46	5.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	MIL	1	1	1	8	1	1	0	100%	1.3	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.0%	20.25	3.63	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	MIL	20	10	50	255	48	38	8	50%	2.5	18.8%	14.9%	3.9%	3.1%	7.79	5.12	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	MIL	4	0	9	42	8	4	1	0%	2.3	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	2.4%	3.86	4.00	—
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	MIL	4	0	9	42	8	4	1	0%	2.3	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	2.4%	3.86	4.00	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	MIL	13	0	14	58	11	6	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.31	4.43	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	MIL	13	0	14	59	11	7	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.31	4.43	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	74	363	68	49	11	—	—	18.8%	13.6%	5.2%	2.9%	6.88	5.20	-0.4
FULL	24	MLB A+C	MIL	—	—	23	97	68	49	11	—	—	70.3%	50.9%	19.4%	11.0%	22.14	9.64	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	30	30	175	739	153	73	21	100%	5.8	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	2.8%	4.53	4.53	+0.8
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	175	739	156	72	21	100%	6.0	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.49	4.48	+0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	172	728	154	70	21	100%	5.9	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	2.9%	4.50	4.51	+0.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	172	728	153	71	22	100%	5.9	21.0%	9.8%	11.2%	3.0%	4.55	4.59	+0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIL	27	27	165	695	142	69	22	100%	6.1	20.4%	10.0%	10.4%	3.1%	4.67	4.75	+0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIL	26	26	155	653	129	67	22	100%	5.9	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	3.3%	4.84	4.96	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	28	28	166	701	145	69	20	100%	5.9	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	2.8%	4.53	4.53	+0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	28	28	166	701	148	68	20	100%	5.9	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.49	4.48	+0.8
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIL	27	27	164	692	146	67	20	100%	6.1	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	2.9%	4.50	4.51	+0.7
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIL	27	27	164	692	145	68	21	100%	6.1	21.0%	9.8%	11.2%	3.0%	4.55	4.59	+0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIL	26	26	156	659	134	66	21	100%	6.0	20.4%	10.0%	10.4%	3.1%	4.67	4.75	+0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIL	24	24	147	621	122	64	21	100%	6.1	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	3.3%	4.84	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		185	164	1008	4274	881	424	129	89%	5.5	20.6%	9.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.63	4.27	+7.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	33	200	848	175	84	26	89%	5.4	20.6%	9.9%	10.7%	3.0%	4.63	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		128	99	532	2294	473	253	61	77%	4.2	20.6%	11.0%	9.6%	2.7%	4.14	4.21	+3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	37	200	862	178	95	23	77%	4.2	20.6%	11.0%	9.6%	2.7%	4.14	4.21	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	20.2%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.51	21.0%	11.2%	522	-0.20	—	—	—
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	78
Keith Rogalla R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	21.2%	11.7%	1.3%	.344	3.68	18.0%	5.9%	65	+0.16	3.10	113	78
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	77
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	76
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	76
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	75
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	73
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	73
James McArthur R 2021 · 3.81 FIP	24	SP-	3.81	19.7%	7.9%	2.5%	.310	4.14	21.6%	13.7%	194	+0.33	3.53	352	73
Nick Belzer R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	14.5%	9.1%	2.2%	.291	4.51	12.8%	4.2%	63	+0.28	4.23	112	72
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	72
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	72
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	72
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	72
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	72
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	71
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.9	168	20.6%	10.0%	1.15	4.59
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45