Carlos Rodriguez
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 24
RHP
5'11" / 203 lbs
AAA
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.34
FIP4.50
K%20.4%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+0.6 (27%)
SL (8%)
CU (1%)
FB (27%)
CH-0.9 (37%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 108 | 428 | 129 | 40 | 7 | 77% | 4.1 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 1.7% | 3.01 | 3.49 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 108 | 428 | 129 | 40 | 7 | 77% | 4.1 | 30.1% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 1.6% | 3.01 | 2.66 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 128 | 539 | 158 | 57 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 2.88 | 3.67 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 128 | 539 | 158 | 57 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 29.3% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 1.9% | 2.88 | 2.98 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 25 | 142 | 606 | 138 | 64 | 18 | 89% | 5.1 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.90 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 25 | 142 | 606 | 138 | 64 | 18 | 89% | 5.1 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.16 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 17 | 94 | 416 | 97 | 47 | 10 | 74% | 4.1 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 4.13 | 4.05 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 17 | 94 | 416 | 97 | 47 | 10 | 74% | 4.1 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 3.92 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 15 | 8 | 40 | 207 | 39 | 28 | 4 | 53% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 15.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 7.49 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 56 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 56 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 104 | 481 | 95 | 62 | 12 | — | — | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 5.54 | 4.61 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 74 | 313 | 95 | 62 | 12 | — | — | 30.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 7.80 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 30 | 175 | 739 | 158 | 79 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.60 | +1.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 29 | 29 | 175 | 739 | 159 | 77 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.55 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 29 | 29 | 172 | 728 | 157 | 76 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.58 | +1.7 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 149 | 75 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.60 | +1.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 151 | 73 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.55 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 27 | 164 | 692 | 149 | 72 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.58 | +1.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 99 | 592 | 2518 | 534 | 270 | 73 | 93% | 5.5 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.26 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 34 | 200 | 850 | 180 | 91 | 25 | 93% | 5.5 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 96 | 511 | 2196 | 471 | 259 | 55 | 81% | 4.3 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.15 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 38 | 200 | 859 | 184 | 101 | 21 | 81% | 4.3 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.58 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 522 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 80 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 77 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 77 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 76 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 75 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 73 |
| Burch Smith R 2029 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 73 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 73 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 72 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 72 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 71 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 71 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.64 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 5.1% | .314 | 4.81 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 54 | -0.83 | 4.03 | 152 | 71 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 71 |
| Nick Belzer R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.55 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.32 | 4.23 | 112 | 70 |
| Matt Magill R 2027 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.96 | 16.6% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .435 | 4.87 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 195 | -0.09 | 3.45 | 259 | 70 |
| Drue Hackenberg R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.92 | 23.7% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 219 | 70 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 70 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 70 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 168 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 1.12 | 4.59 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Edinson Volquez ('17) | 3 | 161 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 0.88 | 4.39 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Jaime García ('18) | 4 | 135 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 1.05 | 4.23 |