Jose Corniell
P
Frisco RoughRiders
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA4.00
FIP4.00
xFIP7.44
SIERA5.84
K%23.4%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%14.8%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
K†5560
CH (20%)
SL (2%)
FB (49%)
CT-1.5 (29%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 13 | 9 | 39 | 176 | 44 | 14 | 7 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 6.75 | 5.84 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 22 | 4 | 66 | 292 | 71 | 34 | 9 | 18.0% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 5.45 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 23 | 17 | 102 | 400 | 119 | 31 | 11 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 2.92 | 4.26 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 14 | 13 | 40 | 155 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 23.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 1.87 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 14 | — | 14 | 61 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 23.9% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 24.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 24.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 24.4% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 24.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 24.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 24.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 43 | 246 | 1023 | 209 | 103 | 36 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.13 | 4.58 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 35 | 200 | 832 | 170 | 84 | 29 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.13 | 4.58 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Corniell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.00 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | — | 3.92 | 24.2% | 15.8% | 111 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Nick Mears R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.49 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | .279 | 4.53 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 67 | +1.04 | 3.06 | 254 | 83 |
| Derek Law R 2027 · 2.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.85 | 22.3% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .400 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 14.8% | 179 | +0.38 | 2.51 | 520 | 79 |
| Anthony Maldonado R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.99 | 18.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | .345 | 4.03 | 27.0% | 17.5% | 174 | +1.04 | 2.99 | 240 | 77 |
| Ryder Ryan R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.77 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .267 | 4.28 | 20.5% | 8.8% | 89 | +0.51 | 3.44 | 480 | 77 |
| Juan Minaya R 2027 · 3.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.19 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .331 | 3.51 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 185 | +0.32 | 3.19 | 446 | 77 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.93 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 1.6% | .314 | 3.71 | 19.9% | 6.2% | 166 | +0.78 | 2.93 | 188 | 77 |
| Peter Strzelecki R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.82 | 21.8% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.53 | 23.2% | 15.7% | 106 | -0.29 | 2.87 | 328 | 76 |
| Isaiah Campbell R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.7% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .220 | 3.50 | 25.4% | 17.1% | 115 | -0.69 | 3.29 | 192 | 76 |
| Brendan Beck R 2027 · 3.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.19 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 4.15 | 20.6% | 13.7% | 152 | +0.96 | 3.19 | 183 | 76 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.33 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.33 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.80 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.33 | 286 | 75 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .260 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 283 | 75 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.34 | 26.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | .306 | 3.38 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 73 | -0.96 | 3.18 | 146 | 75 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .340 | 4.39 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.65 | 3.74 | 223 | 75 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.76 | 20.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | .314 | 4.07 | 24.1% | 14.4% | 170 | +0.31 | 3.43 | 281 | 75 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.29 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .245 | 4.56 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 158 | +1.27 | 2.60 | 198 | 75 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.73 | 3.94 | 122 | 74 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .241 | 5.00 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 108 | +1.17 | 3.83 | 144 | 74 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2025 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.54 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.27 | 3.27 | 128 | 74 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.66 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.21 | 3.66 | 123 | 74 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.46 | 26.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .284 | 4.34 | 27.8% | 15.6% | 170 | +0.88 | 3.46 | 290 | 74 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2027
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2032
First FA Year 2033
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2027 | |||
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | -$0.1M |
| Totals | $7M | $11M | +$4M | ||