Sam Aldegheri
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AAA
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 1.0 · 2028
ERA5.48
FIP4.84
xFIP5.85
SIERA5.31
K%19.2%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%7.7%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2028
K†4045
FB Velo
p1091.6
Whiff%
p2021.1%
K%
p1016.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.402
CH (29%)
CU (11%)
FB (44%)
SL-1.4 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 8 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 24.7% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.95 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 8 | 4 | 12 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 21.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 3.34 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 20 | 19 | 84 | 363 | 99 | 35 | 9 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.20 | 4.62 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 22 | 22 | 108 | 467 | 144 | 51 | 5 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 3.74 | 3.28 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 26 | 147 | 651 | 125 | 70 | 16 | 16.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.73 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 3 | 15 | 75 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 14.4% | 15.7% | 4.9% | 10.20 | 6.57 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 17.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 61 | 271 | 48 | 33 | 10 | 17.6% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 6.73 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 134 | 564 | 107 | 59 | 16 | 19.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 140 | 593 | 117 | 61 | 17 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.70 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 143 | 605 | 120 | 61 | 18 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.73 | 4.68 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 143 | 605 | 120 | 61 | 18 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.70 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 140 | 591 | 115 | 60 | 18 | 19.4% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.77 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 136 | 573 | 108 | 59 | 18 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.87 | +0.7 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 131 | 553 | 101 | 58 | 17 | 18.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.97 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 126 | 531 | 94 | 56 | 17 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.09 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 86 | 54 | 17 | 17.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 5.14 | 5.21 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 114 | 482 | 78 | 53 | 16 | 16.3% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 5.27 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 108 | 454 | 71 | 51 | 16 | 15.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 5.41 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 100 | 424 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 14.8% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 5.56 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 77 | 387 | 1702 | 339 | 209 | 39 | 19.9% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 4.25 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 40 | 200 | 879 | 175 | 108 | 20 | 19.9% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 4.25 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Aldegheri (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 17.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.72 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 417 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.67 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.92 | 3.81 | 147 | 84 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 2.8% | .294 | 3.59 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.06 | 2.63 | 160 | 83 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 81 |
| Andy Cox L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 13.9% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .318 | 3.70 | 22.2% | 4.7% | 52 | -1.62 | 2.51 | 120 | 80 |
| Ivan Salas L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .269 | 3.59 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 67 | -0.68 | 3.16 | 112 | 80 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.29 | 14.7% | 10.3% | 2.0% | .309 | 4.12 | 15.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.17 | 2.95 | 159 | 80 |
| Manuel Chavez L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.17 | 17.8% | 11.1% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.01 | 27.7% | 13.7% | 23 | -0.16 | 3.66 | 113 | 80 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.03 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.0% | .263 | 4.14 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.11 | 3.82 | 244 | 80 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .345 | 4.93 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 121 | +0.76 | 3.35 | 263 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.42 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.49 | 4.19 | 133 | 79 |
| Brennan Bernardino L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.13 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .326 | 3.79 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 94 | -0.34 | 2.52 | 406 | 78 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.13 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.27 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 82 | -0.86 | 4.16 | 101 | 78 |
| Zach Penrod L 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 17.3% | 14.2% | 1.5% | .263 | 4.23 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 95 | -0.02 | 3.49 | 127 | 78 |
| Jordan Mills L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.29 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .323 | 2.72 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 114 | -1.57 | 2.64 | 210 | 78 |
| John Beller L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 170 | 77 |
| Michael Boyle L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.97 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .237 | 5.39 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 54 | +0.42 | 2.97 | 406 | 77 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .338 | 4.79 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | +0.20 | 4.22 | 156 | 77 |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.43 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.46 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -0.97 | 3.11 | 151 | 77 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.3% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 115 | 77 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2024
Service 2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2030
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.3M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.5M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.8 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $4M | +1.0 | $8M | +$4M |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $7M | +1.0 | $9M | +$2M |
| Totals | $14M | $21M | +$8M | ||