Sam Aldegheri
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AAA
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.8 · 2028
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 134
ERA4.79
FIP4.98
K%15.8%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 153 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p1520.4%
K%
p1014.6%
xwOBA vs
p140.355
CH (31%)
CT (5%)
CU (8%)
FB (47%)
SL-1.4 (9%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 2.6 | 24.7% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.95 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 2.6 | 34.8% | 10.9% | 23.9% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 1.48 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 8 | 4 | 12 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 16.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 3.34 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 8 | 4 | 12 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 31.5% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 2.05 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 84 | 363 | 99 | 35 | 9 | 95% | 4.2 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.20 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 84 | 363 | 99 | 35 | 9 | 95% | 4.2 | 27.3% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 108 | 467 | 144 | 51 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 1.4% | 3.74 | 3.32 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 108 | 467 | 144 | 51 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 30.8% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 1.1% | 3.74 | 2.45 | +3.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 26 | 147 | 651 | 125 | 70 | 16 | 93% | 5.2 | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.70 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 26 | 147 | 651 | 125 | 70 | 16 | 93% | 5.2 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 4.16 | 4.24 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 16 | 85 | 388 | 57 | 43 | 13 | 84% | 4.5 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.48 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.8% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.8% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 153 | 678 | 103 | 79 | 22 | — | — | 15.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.72 | 5.18 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 102 | 432 | 103 | 79 | 22 | — | — | 23.8% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.56 | 6.14 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 175 | 739 | 135 | 83 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 4.97 | 4.97 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 175 | 739 | 143 | 81 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.84 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 172 | 728 | 142 | 79 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.85 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 172 | 728 | 142 | 79 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.92 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 165 | 695 | 131 | 77 | 23 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 5.08 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 155 | 653 | 119 | 75 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 144 | 609 | 106 | 72 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.38 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 128 | 79 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 4.94 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 136 | 77 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.81 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 164 | 692 | 135 | 75 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.82 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 164 | 692 | 135 | 76 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.89 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 124 | 73 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 5.05 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 113 | 71 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 101 | 68 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.48 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 213 | 208 | 1229 | 5227 | 962 | 592 | 163 | 98% | 5.8 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.00 | 4.70 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 850 | 156 | 96 | 27 | 98% | 5.8 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.00 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 90 | 457 | 2015 | 381 | 241 | 50 | 86% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 4.38 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 39 | 200 | 882 | 167 | 106 | 22 | 86% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Aldegheri (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.89 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 522 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Matt Portland L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 75 |
| Zach Penrod L 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.3% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .263 | 4.44 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 133 | +0.11 | 3.47 | 165 | 75 |
| Josh Maciejewski L 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.16 | 12.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .225 | 4.45 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 136 | -0.71 | 2.84 | 378 | 75 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 74 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2028 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 73 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.29 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 119 | 73 |
| Jake Zokan L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 72 |
| Grant Watson L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.68 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 180 | 71 |
| James Paxton L 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 70 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 70 |
| David Peterson L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.28 | 19.5% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .228 | 3.88 | 25.7% | 15.2% | 346 | -0.40 | 2.80 | 1,080 | 70 |
| TJ House L 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.14 | 11.1% | 14.8% | 2.0% | .322 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.8% | 245 | -0.74 | 3.82 | 279 | 69 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.58 | 11.6% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .261 | 4.83 | 13.7% | 2.4% | 33 | +0.25 | 3.47 | 273 | 69 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.30 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 124 | 69 |
| Zach Thornton L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 69 |
| Justin Sinibaldi L 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.01 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 5.0% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 163 | 69 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2029 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 68 |
| Marco Gonzales L 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.20 | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .355 | 3.68 | 19.7% | 14.2% | 287 | -0.52 | 3.14 | 1,145 | 68 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.95 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .339 | 6.14 | 14.8% | 4.2% | 108 | +1.19 | 3.93 | 319 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 159 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 1.22 | 5.01 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |