Carlos Franco — OGILVIE

Carlos FrancoC Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 R/R 5'8" / 150 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION163 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .244 / .267

PA157

HR2

K%21

BB%6

BABIP232

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	27	26	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	231	259	269	528	38	261	11	4	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	27	26	7	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	269	296	308	604	38	292	7	4	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	102	93	17	3	1	1	6	23	3	2	0	183	255	269	524	86	232	23	6	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	102	89	21	4	1	1	10	16	3	2	0	236	333	337	670	101	278	16	10	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	136	127	28	1	0	1	8	38	0	0	0	220	267	252	519	31	303	28	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	136	123	31	1	0	1	12	28	0	0	0	252	319	285	603	33	316	21	9	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	116	111	18	2	0	0	4	29	1	0	0	162	198	180	378	18	220	25	3	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	116	109	22	2	0	0	6	22	1	0	0	202	250	220	470	18	253	19	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	299	284	52	9	1	2	11	67	2	1	0	183	219	243	462	60	230	22	4	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	299	279	61	11	1	3	16	51	2	1	0	219	266	297	563	79	256	17	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	163	145	21	5	0	3	15	32	0	1	0	145	225	241	466	97	159	20	9	208	17	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	163	139	24	6	0	3	21	24	0	1	0	173	281	281	562	108	183	15	13	259	56	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
ROS	23	A+	OAK	0%	157	146	28	5	0	2	9	33	1	1	0	192	244	267	511	75	236	21	6	233	37	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						234	0	0	228	33	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	OAK	—	164	146	21	5	0	3	15	32	0	1	0	144	224	240	463	96	158	20	9	208	17	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
TOT	23	A+	OAK	—	320	291	49	10	0	5	24	65	1	2	0	168	234	254	488	86	196	20	8	220	27	-26	+0	+0	+6	+9	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	375	347	70	14	1	5	23	78	2	3	1	202	255	291	546	89	243	21	6	248	48	-22	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	419	387	79	15	1	7	27	87	2	4	1	204	260	302	562	98	247	21	6	257	55	-21	+0	+0	+7	+12	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	446	412	85	16	1	8	29	93	2	5	1	206	262	308	570	102	249	21	7	262	59	-21	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.0
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	455	418	88	17	1	9	31	96	3	5	1	211	270	321	590	110	250	21	7	264	60	-21	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.1
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	457	420	87	17	1	8	31	97	3	5	1	207	267	310	576	102	249	21	7	263	59	-21	+1	-1	+8	+13	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	114	105	21	4	0	2	7	24	1	1	0	200	257	295	552	95	241	21	6	242	44	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	185	170	36	7	1	3	12	39	1	2	0	212	268	318	585	106	245	21	6	251	50	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	226	208	43	8	1	4	15	47	1	3	0	207	263	312	576	106	247	21	7	256	54	-12	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	239	220	46	9	1	4	16	50	1	3	1	209	266	314	579	105	248	21	7	257	55	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	244	224	47	9	1	4	17	52	1	3	1	210	269	312	581	103	247	21	7	256	54	-13	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1009	928	193	37	4	17	67	212	5	12	2	208	265	311	576	103	250	21	7	254	52	-54	+2	-0	+18	+29	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	125	24	3	11	43	137	3	8	1	209	266	314	580	105	252	21	7	254	52	-35	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2989	2771	558	100	7	43	180	644	19	26	5	201	255	289	544	88	245	22	6	246	46	-181	+3	-1	+53	+85	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	122	22	2	9	39	140	4	6	1	202	255	290	546	88	247	22	6	246	46	-39	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	27	26	7	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	269	296	308	604	38	292	7	4	275	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	102	89	21	4	1	1	10	16	3	2	236	333	337	670	101	278	16	10	310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	136	123	31	1	0	1	12	28	0	0	252	319	285	603	33	316	21	9	279	72	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	116	109	22	2	0	0	6	22	1	0	202	250	220	470	18	253	19	5	221	27	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	49	48	5	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	104	122	104	227		125	16	2	107	-60	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	250	231	56	11	1	3	15	43	2	1	242	294	338	632	95	283	17	6	284	76	-7	+0	—	—	+7	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,009	18	11	209	263	313	+18	+8	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	12	7	209	263	313	+11.9	+5.3	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Franco (OGILVIE)	23	40	30	40	25	168/234/254	86	196	5	2	20%	8%	27	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Morales 2018 · AA	23	43→47	38→40	40→30	41	210/245/284	74	252	6	3	20%	4%	41	-2.3	211/256/283	72	261	5	3	20%	5%	46	-2.0	197/251/289	92	234	11	1	21%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Trevor Brown 2015 · AAA	23	44	37→30	42→40	43	210/249/277	68	252	5	5	19%	5%	41	-2.3	214/259/295	81	267	7	4	22%	5%	50	-1.7	197/242/264	66	247	7	4	23%	5%	33	-0.9
✕René García 2013 · AA	23	47	34→40	42→40	41	219/249/271	52	260	2	5	17%	3%	39	-2.5	240/268/321	81	278	6	5	16%	3%	60	-1.0	271/290/322	51	307	3	2	13%	2%	66	-0.2
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	37→45	37→40	41→30	40	184/232/251	67	245	5	5	27%	5%	27	-3.3	204/235/262	58	251	4	4	20%	4%	30	-3.1	251/279/300	49	306	2	1	18%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2012 · A	23	39	35→30	46→30	41	187/226/248	61	230	3	5	20%	4%	24	-3.5	214/259/272	58	268	3	3	20%	5%	44	-2.1	216/259/262	46	264	2	1	18%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Erick Castillo 2016 · A	23	43	36→30	45→30	41	202/237/262	60	244	3	4	19%	4%	32	-3.0	196/240/256	60	257	4	3	24%	4%	33	-2.9	192/250/234	43	239	4	0	20%	4%	29	-0.9
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2013 · AAA	23	50	35→30	41→50	40	235/262/288	53	283	2	8	18%	3%	48	-1.9	249/285/311	62	302	3	11	18%	4%	65	-0.7	267/306/320	53	321	2	12	17%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Victor Moscote 2016 · A	22	43	34→30	43→45	43	201/255/254	54	266	2	4	24%	6%	38	-2.6	204/261/269	65	280	3	4	26%	6%	45	-2.1	216/283/267	51	281	3	2	22%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Sharlon Schoop 2010 · AA	23	45→44	39→40	43→45	40	218/261/298	80	283	7	8	25%	5%	52	-1.6	221/262/310	89	285	8	7	24%	5%	56	-1.3	204/256/330	126	257	14	0	26%	5%	55	-0.4
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	193/251/249	55	267	2	4	27%	7%	35	-2.8	197/252/269	72	277	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	153/201/183	29	222	0	4	29%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	183/216/254	71	254	4	4	29%	4%	20	-3.8	193/237/282	89	283	7	3	33%	5%	38	-2.6	184/229/268	84	273	7	0	34%	5%	28	-1.5
✕Edwin Garcia 2015 · AA	24	45	35→30	41→45	42	212/249/267	56	266	3	6	21%	5%	38	-2.6	221/257/277	56	278	2	7	20%	5%	43	-2.2	226/259/270	44	279	1	5	18%	4%	40	-1.2
✕Ronaiker Palma 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	44→50	42	224/257/293	69	259	5	7	16%	4%	48	-1.9	211/256/271	60	258	4	9	19%	5%	43	-2.2	202/249/245	43	248	2	9	19%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Jose Rivera 2013 · A	23	43	37→40	40→45	40	206/242/276	70	251	4	5	20%	4%	38	-2.6	201/247/274	73	269	4	6	25%	4%	40	-2.4	186/230/248	62	261	2	4	28%	4%	23	-1.0
✕Jose Arevalo 2010 · AAA	23	45	35→30	37→40	35	215/240/270	55	281	3	6	25%	2%	35	-2.8	209/237/263	54	279	3	6	25%	3%	31	-3.0	192/216/214	22	261	0	3	26%	2%	5	-1.8
✕Luis Alberto Sanz 2013 · AA	22	43	36→30	47→40	44	201/249/263	62	248	3	8	20%	5%	38	-2.6	212/270/280	68	250	5	6	16%	7%	52	-1.6	217/279/252	35	248	2	2	12%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2011 · AA	23	49	35→40	41→40	43	230/259/289	59	266	3	3	15%	4%	48	-1.9	229/253/302	73	259	6	4	14%	3%	49	-1.8	264/287/331	68	286	6	2	10%	2%	67	-0.2
✕Kyle Knudson 2011 · A	23	43	37→30	44→30	36	207/250/280	73	299	5	4	31%	4%	43	-2.2	211/270/274	63	301	4	2	29%	6%	50	-1.7	216/286/269	53	298	3	0	26%	7%	54	-0.5
✕David Rodríguez 2019 · AA	23	44	39→40	43→40	41	212/263/301	89	283	7	4	27%	5%	54	-1.4	214/270/331	117	291	12	6	29%	7%	66	-0.6	199/258/324	126	271	16	4	32%	7%	55	-0.5
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	218/272/287	69	290	5	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	206/269/263	57	283	2	5	26%	8%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5