Brock Selvidge

P Somerset Patriots

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #480

Scout OFP43ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	24	23	128	3.45	2.29	25.5%	6.5%	—	K 19.1% · BB 7.6% · FIP 3.07
2024	21	AANYY	16	16	85	4.25	3.48	22.4%	10.8%	—	K 18.2% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.11
2025	22	MIX3 levels	19	18	83	4.68	4.00	18.9%	12.2%	—	K 15.3% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.64
2027PROJ	24	MLBNYY	12	12	67	5.39	5.39	16.7%	14.1%	-0.4
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBNYY	6	6	33	5.20	5.14	18.2%	13.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBNYY	8	8	50	5.08	5.04	18.9%	12.8%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff46Control47Command30FB velo55

CompsBrandon Claussen (age 25) · J.C. Romero (age 24) · Jake Zokan (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 136

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%16.7%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%2.6%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4545

CTRL—45

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	3	2	4	14	4	1	0	67%	1.2	28.6%	7.1%	21.4%	0.0%	2.45	1.59	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	3	2	4	14	4	1	0	67%	1.2	28.6%	7.1%	21.4%	0.0%	2.45	1.74	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	11	9	43	181	53	17	2	82%	3.9	19.9%	11.7%	8.2%	1.5%	2.95	3.70	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	11	9	43	181	53	17	2	82%	3.9	29.3%	9.4%	19.9%	1.1%	2.95	2.42	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	128	537	137	35	5	96%	5.3	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	1.1%	3.45	3.07	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	128	537	137	35	5	96%	5.3	25.5%	6.5%	19.0%	0.9%	3.45	2.29	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	16	16	85	370	83	40	6	100%	5.3	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	1.9%	4.25	4.11	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	16	16	85	370	83	40	6	100%	5.3	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	1.9%	4.25	4.11	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	16	16	85	370	83	40	6	100%	5.3	22.4%	10.8%	11.6%	1.6%	4.25	3.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	18	83	360	68	44	6	95%	4.4	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	2.2%	4.68	4.64	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	18	83	360	68	44	6	95%	4.4	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	2.2%	4.68	4.64	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	18	83	360	68	44	6	95%	4.4	18.9%	12.2%	6.7%	1.7%	4.68	4.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	NYY	12	12	67	283	47	40	8	100%	5.6	16.7%	14.1%	2.6%	2.8%	5.39	5.39	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	13	13	75	318	58	42	9	100%	5.8	18.2%	13.1%	5.1%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	13	13	75	318	60	41	9	100%	5.8	18.9%	12.8%	6.2%	2.8%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	74	313	60	40	9	100%	6.2	19.1%	12.7%	6.5%	2.9%	5.05	5.05	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	72	304	58	39	9	100%	6.0	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.0%	5.08	5.11	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	69	290	55	38	9	100%	6.3	18.9%	13.0%	5.9%	3.1%	5.18	5.24	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	65	273	51	36	9	100%	5.9	18.5%	13.2%	5.3%	3.3%	5.32	5.42	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	6	6	33	139	25	18	4	100%	5.5	18.2%	13.1%	5.1%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	50	211	40	27	6	100%	6.2	18.9%	12.8%	6.2%	2.8%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	58	245	47	31	7	100%	5.8	19.1%	12.7%	6.5%	2.9%	5.05	5.05	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	61	258	49	33	8	100%	6.1	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.0%	5.08	5.11	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	60	253	48	33	8	100%	6.0	18.9%	13.0%	5.9%	3.1%	5.18	5.24	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	58	245	45	32	8	100%	5.8	18.5%	13.2%	5.3%	3.3%	5.32	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	54	320	1352	255	174	41	100%	5.9	18.8%	12.9%	5.9%	3.0%	5.15	4.79	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	159	109	26	100%	6.0	18.8%	12.9%	5.9%	3.0%	5.15	4.79	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		73	68	341	1462	265	154	24	93%	4.7	18.1%	10.5%	7.6%	1.6%	3.88	3.78	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	40	200	857	155	90	14	93%	4.7	18.1%	10.5%	7.6%	1.6%	3.88	3.78	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brock Selvidge (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	16.7%	14.1%	2.8%	—	5.08	18.7%	5.9%	225	-0.31	—	—	—
Brandon Claussen L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP	4.80	14.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.314	4.56	16.5%	9.2%	244	-0.24	4.41	310	84
J.C. Romero L 2000 · 4.58 FIP	24	SP	4.58	18.7%	11.2%	3.0%	.356	3.98	18.2%	8.4%	209	-0.60	2.88	652	83
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	82
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	82
Kyle Carr L 2024 · 4.24 FIP	22	SP	4.24	16.2%	14.0%	1.3%	.310	4.47	18.6%	7.1%	223	+0.23	4.19	327	81
Cameron Bishop L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	23	SP	4.65	16.6%	13.9%	2.2%	.316	3.42	23.8%	11.5%	66	-1.23	2.86	305	80
Drew Dowd L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	16.1%	11.7%	2.1%	.280	3.13	24.9%	16.0%	55	-1.23	3.13	166	80
Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	17.2%	12.3%	3.4%	.287	6.36	14.3%	-6.0%	32	+1.27	5.09	136	79
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	78
Andy Oliver L 2010 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP	4.66	17.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	187	77
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	77
Lucas Gordon L 2024 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.3%	15.7%	3.5%	.212	5.08	20.0%	8.1%	225	-0.53	4.44	338	77
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	77
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	77
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	77
Sean West L 2009 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP	4.32	15.0%	9.4%	2.4%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	103	77
Marc Rzepczynski L 2010 · 4.23 FIP	24	SP	4.23	19.9%	10.1%	2.8%	.332	3.54	21.2%	13.0%	139	-0.69	2.43	491	76
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	76
Scott Downs L 2000 · 4.63 FIP	24	SP	4.63	14.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.68	748	76
Nate Robertson L 2003 · 4.66 FIP	25	SP	4.66	16.3%	10.3%	3.0%	.343	4.54	16.1%	8.6%	602	-0.12	4.13	1,144	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	71	18.5%	13.1%	1.14	5.18
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*