Javier Sanoja — OGILVIE

Javier Sanoja2B Miami Marlins

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 150 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 1.134 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8183vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.264 / .311 / .399

PA208

HR3

K%12

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO135

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

903.2%

xwOBA

230.276

POWER35

Barrel%

101.5

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE50

Chase%

9019.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

8128.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 424 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

175

249

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

290

311

▶R

ISO

127

135

▶R

BABIP

259

286

▶R

12.6%

10.4%

▶▶R

BB%

5.7%

6.4%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.134 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$16M	+$16M
2028	Arb-1	$5M	+2.4	$16M	+$12M
2029	Arb-2	$9M	+2.4	$15M	+$9M
2030	Arb-3	$13M	+2.3	$14M	+$5M
Totals		$28M		$64M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	227	43	8	1	1	10	16	6	11	5	189	243	247	489	57	199	7	4	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	219	51	11	1	3	18	11	6	11	5	233	309	333	642	100	233	5	7	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	533	493	106	15	4	8	25	93	2	21	10	215	256	310	566	95	244	17	5	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	533	487	128	21	7	6	31	50	2	21	10	263	310	372	681	109	277	9	6	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	652	613	168	20	6	6	33	63	2	40	23	274	313	356	669	82	296	10	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	3 teams	—	652	603	179	21	10	5	43	44	2	40	23	297	346	390	735	93	312	7	7	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA	3 teams	—	589	543	143	32	6	7	33	47	2	17	7	263	308	383	691	120	274	8	6	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA	3 teams	—	589	528	149	34	6	7	48	40	2	17	7	282	344	409	753	127	290	7	8	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	342	313	78	23	4	6	19	41	2	6	5	249	296	406	702	157	267	12	6	304	91	-4	-1	+1	+1	+10	0.8
2025	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	342	313	76	22	4	6	19	41	2	6	5	243	290	396	687	153	259	12	6	297	86	-5	-1	+1	+1	+10	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	MIA	—	244	228	62	17	2	3	14	21	0	5	2	272	314	404	718	132	288	9	6	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
YTD	23	MLB	MIA	—	244	228	62	17	2	3	14	21	0	5	2	272	314	404	718	132	288	9	6	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	100%	208	193	51	13	2	3	12	24	1	4	1	264	311	399	710	135	281	12	6	310	95	-1	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.7
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	100%	208	193	49	12	2	3	12	24	1	4	1	254	301	383	684	130	276	12	6	303	90	-2	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.5
FULL	23	MLB	MIA	—	452	421	111	29	4	6	26	45	1	9	3	264	308	394	702	131	282	10	6	308	94	-3	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.3
TOT	23	MLB	MIA	—	452	421	113	30	4	6	26	45	1	9	3	268	312	401	714	133	288	10	6	312	97	-2	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	65%	625	580	151	37	5	10	38	72	2	13	4	260	308	393	701	133	281	12	6	313	97	-2	+1	+2	+2	+18	2.1
2028	25	MLB	MIA	65%	613	568	150	37	5	11	38	69	2	13	4	264	312	405	717	141	281	11	6	316	100	+0	+1	+2	+2	+17	2.3
2029	26	MLB	MIA	65%	601	557	147	36	5	11	37	68	2	13	4	264	312	406	718	142	281	11	6	317	101	+1	+1	+2	+2	+17	2.3
2030	27	MLB	MIA	65%	589	545	143	35	5	11	37	67	2	13	4	262	312	406	717	143	281	11	6	317	101	+1	+1	+1	+2	+17	2.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	65%	577	533	139	34	5	10	37	66	2	12	3	261	311	400	711	139	280	11	6	316	100	+0	+1	+1	+2	+16	2.1
2032	29	MLB	MIA	65%	565	521	136	33	5	10	37	66	2	11	3	261	312	401	714	140	280	12	7	315	99	-1	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.9
2033	30	MLB	MIA	65%	554	511	131	32	4	9	36	66	2	9	3	256	308	387	695	131	279	12	6	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+2	+16	1.6
2034	31	MLB	MIA	65%	543	501	127	31	4	9	35	66	2	8	2	253	305	385	690	132	276	12	6	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.3
2035	32	MLB	MIA	65%	532	491	123	30	4	8	34	67	2	7	2	251	302	377	678	126	272	13	6	300	88	-7	+1	-2	+2	+15	0.8
2027	24	MLB	MIA	65%	406	377	98	24	4	7	25	47	1	9	2	260	308	401	708	141	276	12	6	305	92	-4	+1	+1	+1	+12	1.1
2028	25	MLB	MIA	65%	398	370	95	23	3	7	24	45	1	9	2	257	304	392	696	135	276	11	6	309	94	-2	+1	+1	+1	+11	1.2
2029	26	MLB	MIA	65%	391	363	94	23	3	7	24	44	1	8	2	259	307	397	703	138	276	11	6	310	95	-2	+1	+1	+1	+11	1.2
2030	27	MLB	MIA	65%	383	355	91	22	3	7	24	43	1	8	2	256	305	394	700	138	276	11	6	310	95	-2	+1	+1	+1	+11	1.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	65%	375	347	90	22	3	7	24	43	1	8	2	259	309	401	710	141	276	11	6	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.1
2032	29	MLB	MIA	65%	367	339	86	21	3	6	24	43	1	7	2	254	305	386	691	133	275	12	7	307	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+10	1.0
2033	30	MLB	MIA	65%	360	333	85	21	3	6	23	43	1	6	2	255	305	390	696	135	274	12	6	304	91	-4	+0	-0	+1	+10	0.8
2034	31	MLB	MIA	65%	353	326	82	20	3	6	23	43	1	5	1	252	303	387	689	135	271	12	7	300	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.6
2035	32	MLB	MIA	65%	346	320	79	19	3	5	22	44	1	4	1	247	297	372	669	125	267	13	6	293	83	-7	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3965	3671	933	231	34	67	245	464	12	74	22	254	303	390	693	136	274	12	6	304	91	-41	+6	+3	+16	+112	9.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	154	38	6	11	40	76	2	12	4	256	304	394	698	138	276	12	6	304	91	-7	+1	+0	+3	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	7767	7189	1836	416	65	120	461	891	33	198	80	255	303	381	685	126	275	11	6	302	89	-96	+8	+4	+28	+220	16.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	153	35	5	10	39	75	3	17	7	254	304	379	682	125	274	12	6	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	244	219	51	11	1	3	18	11	6	11	5	233	309	333	642	100	233	5	7	293	83	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	286	268	64	6	4	3	13	41	1	9	6	239	277	325	601	86	268	14	5	267	63	-12	-1	—	—	+8	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	124	107	34	10	1	3	13	6	0	9	3	318	392	514	906	196	307	5	10	386	154	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	19	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	123	112	30	5	2	0	5	3	1	3	1	268	305	348	653	80	268	2	4	282	74	-4	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	142	131	35	2	0	3	10	10	1	6	6	267	324	351	675	84	271	7	7	308	94	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	434	400	123	18	8	1	31	32	0	31	16	307	357	400	757	93	331	7	7	338	117	+8	-0	—	—	+12	2.1
2023	20	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	76	72	21	1	2	1	2	2	1	3	1	292	320	403	723	111	286	3	3	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	21	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	36	35	8	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	229	250	286	536	57	258	11	3	242	43	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.0
2024	21	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	492	436	127	31	6	6	44	30	2	14	6	291	359	431	790	140	297	6	9	346	123	+13	+0	—	—	+14	2.8
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	61	57	14	1	0	1	3	6	0	3	1	246	283	316	599	70	255	10	5	267	63	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	342	313	76	22	4	6	19	41	2	6	5	243	290	396	687	153	259	12	6	297	86	-5	-1	+1	+1	+10	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	378	348	84	24	4	6	20	45	2	6	5	241	286	385	672	144	259	12	5	292	82	-8	-1	+0	+3	+11	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Cristian Guzmanlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,329 PA	10	5,329	61	116	275	311	392	+23	+24	16.8	16.7
	/162	664	8	14	275	311	392	+2.9	+3.0	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	9	4,089	92	25	262	292	395	+16	+24	10.7	10.8
#4Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	/162	664	15	4	262	292	395	+2.6	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,417	75	85	259	305	398	+16	+4	12.4	10.6
	/162	664	11	13	259	305	398	+2.4	+0.6	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Brett Lawrielast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA	6	2,417	71	41	261	315	419	+9	+1	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	20	11	261	315	419	+2.4	+0.3	2.6	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Sanoja (OGILVIE)	23	55	35	55	50	268/312/401	133	288	6	9	10%	6%	97	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nico Hoerner 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	42→45	49→60	46	238/281/348	110	264	9	10	14%	5%	73	-0.1	250/309/345	95	290	7	14	15%	7%	85	+0.7	280/340/376	96	305	7	31	10%	7%	103	+2.2
✕Jose Aguilar 2013 · AAA	23	57→61	41→45	52→55	46	271/322/371	100	315	7	16	16%	6%	97	+1.5	277/329/386	109	315	9	16	14%	6%	104	+2.0	284/341/397	113	319	9	16	13%	6%	107	+1.5
✕Tyler Freeman 2023 · MLB	24	56→60	40	48→55	48	268/335/356	88	297	8	10	13%	5%	99	+1.7	246/325/348	102	278	9	19	15%	7%	94	+1.3	235/322/331	96	266	8	24	14%	7%	86	+0.5
✕Ronny Cedeno 2006 · MLB	23	57	45	51→50	46	282/324/404	122	315	13	16	15%	5%	106	+2.2	260/297/372	112	307	11	11	18%	5%	86	+0.8	249/298/373	124	292	14	9	19%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Brent Abernathy 2002 · MLB	24	53	44→40	49→50	55	258/318/379	121	276	11	13	12%	8%	97	+1.5	233/284/322	89	253	6	12	10%	6%	68	-0.5	251/299/323	72	278	6	15	12%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Ozzie Martínez 2011 · MLB	23	55→59	39→40	48→50	47	259/306/349	90	298	5	11	15%	6%	84	+0.6	216/259/287	71	262	4	11	18%	5%	48	-1.9	215/247/273	57	256	5	9	18%	4%	36	-1.6
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2013 · MLB	23	52→61	42→45	51→60	47	252/295/358	106	287	9	17	16%	6%	82	+0.5	247/289/330	83	292	6	12	17%	5%	72	-0.2	249/291/316	66	293	4	10	16%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Chin-Lung Hu 2008 · MLB	24	55→61	44→45	48→50	45	268/302/391	124	294	10	12	14%	4%	94	+1.3	251/283/346	95	285	7	12	14%	4%	73	-0.1	247/277/321	73	281	4	13	13%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Nick Madrigal 2022 · MLB	25	58→57	40	49→50	51	275/323/371	96	289	6	13	8%	5%	97	+1.5	260/313/345	85	288	5	10	11%	5%	86	+0.8	261/321/336	75	283	4	12	9%	6%	86	+0.5
●Kevin Newman 2017 · AA	23	56→62	39→45	49→50	51	263/318/350	86	291	5	11	12%	6%	89	+1.0	257/298/348	91	292	6	15	14%	5%	81	+0.4	275/321/371	96	307	7	18	13%	6%	92	+0.9
●Nicky Lopez 2019 · AAA	24	53→63	39→40	52→55	50	252/305/339	87	281	6	14	13%	7%	81	+0.4	256/311/345	89	293	5	12	14%	7%	85	+0.7	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
●L.J. Hoes 2013 · AAA	23	55→63	40	49→50	49	263/317/358	96	314	6	15	18%	7%	91	+1.1	262/324/353	91	323	5	15	19%	8%	93	+1.3	265/332/348	83	329	4	18	19%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2013 · MLB	24	56→59	40→45	53→50	46	267/309/368	101	304	7	14	14%	5%	90	+1.0	249/281/320	71	284	4	12	13%	4%	66	-0.6	243/273/291	48	278	1	12	13%	3%	52	-0.9
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Roberto Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	24	50→58	41→45	46→45	49	238/291/338	100	263	9	8	14%	6%	76	+0.0	262/308/370	108	300	11	10	16%	5%	91	+1.1	281/326/377	96	319	11	8	15%	5%	95	+1.2
●Johnny Giavotella 2011 · AA	24	53→61	40→45	49→50	48	251/301/350	99	289	7	13	16%	6%	82	+0.5	267/313/371	104	312	7	10	16%	6%	93	+1.3	270/318/372	102	314	7	10	16%	6%	93	+1.2
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2017 · MLB	23	51→59	43→45	49→50	42	248/275/363	115	284	9	9	16%	4%	75	-0.0	263/300/382	119	305	11	6	17%	5%	90	+1.0	263/303/380	117	302	12	3	17%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Sean Burroughs 2004 · MLB	23	57→64	41→40	51→45	52	274/338/383	109	309	8	8	14%	7%	107	+2.2	268/326/350	82	304	5	7	13%	7%	93	+1.3	264/321/326	62	302	3	5	13%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Ronald Torreyes 2017 · MLB	24	53→57	38→45	47→50	48	247/288/335	88	270	5	8	11%	5%	72	-0.2	250/281/341	91	280	7	5	13%	4%	71	-0.3	249/275/336	87	274	9	3	13%	3%	66	-0.3
✕Alexi Amarista 2012 · MLB	23	53→60	39→45	51→55	44	250/287/347	97	288	5	17	15%	4%	76	+0.0	238/278/342	104	272	8	13	15%	5%	70	-0.3	237/280/339	102	267	8	13	14%	5%	67	-0.4