Wilny Moron prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Wilny Moron P DSL Rockies

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%22.9%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	0	12	58	10	12	0	0%	1.0	11.7%	25.9%	-14.1%	0.0%	3.00	5.39	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	0	12	58	10	12	0	0%	1.0	17.2%	20.7%	-3.4%	0.0%	3.00	4.43	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	0	14	66	16	7	1	0%	1.2	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	2.0%	3.86	4.47	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	0	14	66	16	7	1	0%	1.2	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	1.5%	3.86	3.24	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	25	0	25	115	24	10	2	0%	1.0	14.2%	10.9%	3.3%	2.0%	5.11	4.36	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	25	0	25	115	24	10	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	8.7%	12.2%	1.7%	5.11	3.42	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	26	109	26	7	1	0%	1.6	16.2%	8.0%	8.2%	1.3%	3.51	3.48	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	26	109	26	7	1	0%	1.6	16.2%	8.0%	8.2%	1.3%	3.51	3.48	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	16	0	26	109	26	7	1	0%	1.6	23.9%	6.4%	17.4%	0.9%	3.51	2.40	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	8.9%	14.0%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	20	7	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.0%	4.30	4.29	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.0%	4.30	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.0%	4.30	3.91	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.0%	4.30	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		65	0	76	348	52	45	5	0%	1.2	14.9%	12.9%	1.9%	1.4%	4.01	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		170	0	200	912	135	118	13	0%	1.2	14.9%	12.9%	1.9%	1.4%	4.01	4.27	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilny Moron (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	22.9%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.29	23.2%	14.3%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	90
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	90
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	89
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	87
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	87
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	86
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	86
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	86
Fernando Salas R 2010 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	21.8%	9.8%	3.2%	.276	3.29	23.5%	16.8%	162	-0.98	2.60	539	86
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	85
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	85
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	84
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	84
Vic Black R 2013 · 3.16 FIP	25	SU	3.16	19.7%	7.9%	1.3%	.296	4.35	19.8%	4.2%	61	+1.19	3.16	107	84
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	84