Juan Aparicio — OGILVIE

Juan AparicioSS ACL D-backs

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .270 / .278

PA48

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	124	17	4	0	0	13	32	5	5	4	137	246	169	416	32	183	22	9	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	116	23	6	0	0	21	23	5	5	4	198	345	250	595	52	245	16	15	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	118	23	3	2	0	11	41	1	2	1	195	269	254	523	59	295	31	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	110	29	5	2	0	19	28	1	2	1	264	377	345	722	82	349	21	14	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	127	22	2	0	1	8	26	4	2	1	173	245	213	457	39	210	19	6	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	121	29	3	0	1	14	18	4	2	1	240	338	289	627	50	275	13	10	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	63	57	8	1	0	0	4	22	2	0	0	140	222	158	380	18	229	35	6	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	63	53	10	1	0	0	8	14	2	0	0	189	317	208	525	19	256	22	13	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	ARI	—	48	44	8	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	182	250	205	455	23	284	27	6	253	52	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ARI	30%	104	95	20	3	1	1	7	28	1	1	0	211	272	295	567	84	286	27	7	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	ARI	44%	221	200	43	7	1	3	16	59	3	2	1	215	283	305	588	90	287	27	7	271	66	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	26	MLB	ARI	51%	305	276	61	10	2	5	22	81	4	3	1	221	288	326	614	105	287	27	7	276	69	-11	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2027	24	MLB	ARI	30%	31	29	6	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	207	258	241	499	34	288	26	6	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	ARI	44%	98	90	20	3	1	2	7	26	1	1	0	222	286	344	630	122	289	27	7	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	ARI	51%	155	141	32	5	1	3	11	41	2	2	1	227	292	340	633	113	290	26	7	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	284	260	58	9	2	5	20	75	3	3	1	223	286	331	617	108	293	26	7	266	61	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	133	21	5	11	46	172	7	7	2	224	287	331	618	108	295	26	7	266	61	-28	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1157	1041	202	31	6	10	84	302	21	16	8	194	268	264	532	70	261	26	7	245	46	-71	+0	+0	+12	+33	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	113	17	3	6	47	170	12	9	4	193	267	263	530	70	260	26	7	245	46	-40	+0	+0	+7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	116	23	6	0	0	21	23	5	5	4	198	345	250	595	52	245	16	15	288	78	-4	-1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	110	29	5	2	0	19	28	1	2	1	264	377	345	722	82	349	21	14	327	109	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	121	29	3	0	1	14	18	4	2	1	240	338	289	627	50	275	13	10	297	85	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	63	53	10	1	0	0	8	14	2	0	0	189	317	208	525	19	256	22	13	262	58	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	331	5	4	217	281	313	+4	+6	-0.0	0.0
	/162	664	10	7	217	281	313	+7.1	+12.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Aparicio (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/270/278	72	284	0	1	28%	7%	52	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/241/258	63	273	3	5	29%	4%	33	-2.9	203/264/294	91	266	8	3	26%	5%	53	-1.5	201/265/302	101	250	10	0	23%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Carter Aldrete 2021 · A	23	45→40	39→50	47→45	46	215/284/300	86	293	6	7	27%	8%	63	-0.8	207/257/338	131	294	16	6	34%	6%	62	-0.9	199/248/343	144	272	19	5	34%	6%	57	-0.8