Juan Aparicio — OGILVIE

Juan AparicioSS ACL D-backs

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .271 / .277

PA4

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	116	23	6	0	0	21	23	5	5	4	198	345	250	595	52	245	16	15	288	81	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	110	29	5	2	0	19	28	1	2	1	264	377	345	722	82	349	21	14	327	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	121	29	3	0	1	14	18	4	2	1	240	338	289	627	50	275	13	10	297	87	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	21	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	63	53	10	1	0	0	8	14	2	0	0	189	317	208	525	19	256	22	13	262	63	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	124	18	4	0	0	13	32	5	5	4	145	254	177	431	32	186	22	9	201	22	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.1
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	117	22	3	1	0	12	41	1	2	1	188	269	231	500	43	280	31	9	232	43	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	127	23	2	0	1	8	26	4	2	1	181	252	220	472	39	217	19	6	214	31	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	63	56	8	1	0	0	5	21	2	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	205	33	8	174	4	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	124	18	4	0	0	13	32	5	5	4	145	254	177	431	32	194	22	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	116	23	6	0	0	21	23	5	5	4	198	345	250	595	52	245	16	15	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	117	22	3	1	0	12	41	1	2	1	188	269	231	500	43	286	31	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	110	29	5	2	0	19	28	1	2	1	264	377	345	722	82	349	21	14	327	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	127	23	2	0	1	8	26	4	2	1	181	252	220	472	39	220	19	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	121	29	3	0	1	14	18	4	2	1	240	338	289	627	50	275	13	10	297	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	63	56	8	1	0	0	5	21	2	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	229	33	8	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	63	53	10	1	0	0	8	14	2	0	0	189	317	208	525	19	256	22	13	262	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	144	125	18	4	0	0	13	32	5	5	4	144	254	176	430	32	186	22	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	133	119	22	3	1	0	12	41	1	2	1	185	269	227	496	42	280	31	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	126	23	2	0	1	8	26	4	2	1	183	252	222	474	40	217	19	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	63	56	8	1	0	0	5	21	2	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	205	33	8	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	139	126	23	2	0	1	8	26	4	2	1	183	252	222	474	40	217	19	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	63	56	8	1	0	0	5	21	2	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	205	33	8	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		284	25	0	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	104	95	20	3	1	1	7	28	1	1	0	211	272	295	567	84	286	27	7	265	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	221	200	43	7	1	3	16	59	3	2	1	215	283	305	588	90	287	27	7	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	305	276	61	10	2	5	22	80	4	3	1	221	288	326	614	105	287	26	7	276	73	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	352	318	70	11	2	6	26	92	5	4	1	220	289	324	613	104	287	26	7	278	74	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	381	344	75	12	2	6	29	101	5	4	1	218	288	317	605	99	287	27	8	277	73	-12	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	391	353	76	12	2	6	30	104	5	4	1	215	286	312	598	96	286	27	8	275	72	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	396	358	77	12	2	6	30	106	5	3	1	215	285	310	595	95	285	27	8	272	71	-14	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	31	29	6	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	207	258	241	499	34	292	26	6	258	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	98	90	19	3	1	1	7	26	1	1	0	211	276	300	576	89	292	27	7	265	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	155	141	31	5	1	2	11	41	2	2	1	220	286	312	598	92	293	26	7	270	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	184	166	37	6	1	3	14	48	2	2	1	223	291	325	617	102	293	26	8	271	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	203	183	40	7	1	3	15	54	3	2	1	219	289	317	605	98	292	27	7	270	73	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	205	184	41	7	1	3	16	55	3	2	1	223	296	321	616	98	292	27	8	268	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	206	185	41	7	1	3	16	55	3	2	1	222	294	319	613	97	291	27	8	266	71	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1082	978	215	36	6	15	81	287	14	11	5	220	289	315	604	95	294	27	7	268	64	-36	+0	-2	+12	+23	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	130	22	4	9	49	172	8	7	3	221	290	318	608	97	295	26	8	268	64	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2633	2372	494	77	13	34	198	691	40	30	12	208	280	295	575	86	277	26	8	263	64	-72	+2	-4	+23	+47	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	121	19	3	8	49	171	10	7	3	206	279	290	569	84	276	26	8	263	64	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,131	18	11	219	284	318	+12	+12	0.5	0.6
/162	664	11	7	+7.1	+7.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Aparicio (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/271/277	72	284	0	1	28%	7%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	42→41	36→45	47→50	41	197/257/265	68	280	4	7	30%	6%	49	-2.4	211/269/323	112	288	12	13	30%	6%	68	-1.0	212/261/335	123	271	15	11	27%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	206/280/300	94	283	7	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	205/276/339	134	277	16	4	31%	6%	74	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Cordova 2023 · A	23	43	36→40	49→50	38	203/256/271	67	296	3	8	31%	5%	50	-2.3	213/270/290	77	305	4	9	29%	6%	59	-1.6	229/290/316	87	306	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Danny Mendick 2017 · A	23	43→48	37→45	46→50	42	207/257/282	75	266	5	7	24%	5%	53	-2.1	213/273/318	105	261	10	12	21%	7%	68	-1.0	238/297/343	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	40	35→45	46→40	45	191/247/249	59	252	2	6	24%	7%	41	-3.0	213/270/306	93	274	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	218/284/324	106	265	7	3	19%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Martin Cervenka 2016 · A	23	38→48	37→45	47→40	39	185/228/255	70	254	4	4	29%	5%	35	-3.4	217/262/314	97	295	9	3	28%	6%	61	-1.5	221/267/330	109	291	11	1	27%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	41→48	41→45	47→50	42	198/274/300	102	281	8	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	216/287/309	93	288	7	13	26%	7%	71	-0.8	203/287/297	95	268	8	17	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/240/258	63	274	3	5	29%	4%	41	-3.0	209/269/304	95	272	8	3	25%	5%	63	-1.4	211/275/320	108	261	11	0	23%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Andrew Navigato 2021 · A	23	43→40	37→55	46→50	41	200/271/278	77	298	4	6	32%	7%	58	-1.7	211/275/343	132	274	14	12	27%	6%	74	-0.5	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Deibinson Romero 2010 · A	23	41→45	40→50	46→40	43	200/264/290	90	277	7	5	29%	7%	58	-1.7	209/275/318	109	276	11	3	27%	7%	69	-0.9	223/296/348	126	274	12	2	22%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	206/261/282	76	313	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	206/271/236	30	326	0	0	34%	7%	47	-0.4
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	40	38→50	48→40	41	192/245/272	80	264	5	4	28%	6%	46	-2.6	208/256/314	106	282	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	202/246/338	136	263	9	3	26%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→43	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	210/273/324	114	268	12	11	25%	6%	69	-0.9	206/269/325	118	259	13	11	25%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Joe Napoli 2006 · A	23	39→43	37→50	44→45	41	190/245/267	76	267	4	4	29%	6%	45	-2.7	208/266/312	104	303	8	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	211/274/343	132	288	12	7	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	61	-1.5	209/292/323	114	317	11	4	34%	10%	76	-0.4	198/289/313	115	298	12	2	34%	10%	72	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps