Koen Moreno
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 106
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
K%22.1%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 28 | 153 | 39 | 40 | 5 | 83% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 31.5% | -13.3% | 4.8% | 9.96 | 8.21 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 28 | 153 | 39 | 40 | 5 | 83% | 2.3 | 25.5% | 26.1% | -0.7% | 3.3% | 9.96 | 6.92 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 26 | 6 | 71 | 312 | 79 | 57 | 5 | 23% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 21.6% | -2.8% | 2.3% | 2.90 | 5.50 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 26 | 6 | 71 | 312 | 79 | 57 | 5 | 23% | 2.7 | 25.3% | 18.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 2.90 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 12 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 19 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 12.5% | 23.6% | -11.1% | 1.3% | 6.17 | 5.75 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 12 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 19 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.2% | 20.5% | -4.3% | 0.9% | 6.17 | 5.11 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 4 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 3.0 | 23.1% | 18.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 4 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 3.0 | 30.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 15 | 12 | 54 | 234 | 53 | 26 | 8 | 80% | 3.6 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.64 | 5.88 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 67 | 288 | 65 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.7 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.12 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 92 | 23 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 29 | 189 | 866 | 154 | 183 | 27 | 42% | 2.7 | 17.7% | 21.1% | -3.4% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 6.00 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 31 | 200 | 916 | 162 | 194 | 29 | 42% | 2.7 | 17.7% | 21.1% | -3.4% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 6.00 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Koen Moreno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.50 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 86 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 84 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 82 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 80 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 76 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 75 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 75 |
| Sean Harney R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 75 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 75 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 74 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 74 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 74 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .322 | 4.79 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 146 | +0.92 | 3.18 | 234 | 73 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 73 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 73 |